Cited by 238Financial Distress and Bankruptcy PredictionFinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital FinanceComputational and Text Analysis Methods

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 76 of the 76 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

When Words Sweat: Identifying Signals for Loan Default in the Text of Loan Applications

Netzer, Oded, Lemaire, Alain, Herzenstein, Michal·2019·Journal of Marketing Research

Abstract

The authors present empirical evidence that borrowers, consciously or not, leave traces of their intentions, circumstances, and personality traits in the text they write when applying for a loan. This textual information has a substantial and significant ability to predict whether borrowers will pay back the loan above and beyond the financial and demographic variables commonly used in models predicting default. The authors use text-mining and machine learning tools to automatically process and analyze the raw text in over 120,000 loan requests from Prosper, an online crowdfunding platform. Including in the predictive model the textual information in the loan significantly helps predict loan default and can have substantial financial implications. The authors find that loan requests written by defaulting borrowers are more likely to include words related to their family, mentions of God, the borrower’s financial and general hardship, pleading lenders for help, and short-term-focused words. The authors further observe that defaulting loan requests are written in a manner consistent with the writing styles of extroverts and liars.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1177/0022243719852959

Cites

76 of 76 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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Citations

Cites

Show all 76 references

Research works printed but not linked: 7

  1. Anderson Jon, Burks Stephen, DeYoung Colin, Rustichini Aldo (2011), “Toward the Integration of Personality Theory and Decision Theory in the Explanation of Economic Behavior,” presented at the IZA Workshop: Cognitive and Non-Cognitive Skills, Bonn, Germany (January 25–27), https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/db58/6683a98173dba870d5e8fc93920fa867a1d2.pdf.
  2. Bergstra James, 2012, Journal of Machine Learning Research, 13, 281
  3. Brown Meta, 2015, Federal Reserve Bank
  4. Gross Jacob P.K., 2009, Journal of Student Financial Aid, 39, 19
  5. McLaughlin G. Harry, 1969, Journal of Reading, 12, 639
  6. 10.1353/jhr.2011.0025 · DOI
  7. Ventrella Jeffrey, 2011, Virtual Body Language

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Metadata

Authors
Netzer, O., Lemaire, A., & Herzenstein, M.
Affiliations
  • Columbia University (US)
  • University of Delaware (US)
Corresponding author
Netzer, Oded
Venue
Journal of Marketing Research
Published
2019-08-15
Volume
56
Issue
6
Pages
960-980
ISSN
  • 0022-2437 (ISSN-L)
  • 1547-7193
OpenAlex
W3015337523
Cited by
238
References
76
Citations by year
2026: 17 · 2025: 43 · 2024: 39 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 6
FWCI
61.21
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
Journal of Marketing Research (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Management Information Systems › FinTech, Crowdfunding, Digital Finance
  • Social Sciences › General Social Sciences › Computational and Text Analysis Methods
Keywords
loan default prediction, extraversion, dishonesty, financial hardship, crowdfunding, PROSPER, text mining, writing style

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