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Cited by 267Political Conflict and GovernanceTerrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political ViolencePeacebuilding and International Security

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Organized violence 1989–2022, and the return of conflict between states

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Davies, Shawn, Pettersson, Therése, Öberg, Magnus·2023·Journal of Peace Research
DOI 10.1177/00223433231185169
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Abstract

This article reports on trends in organized violence, building on new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). In 2022, fatalities from organized violence increased by a staggering 97%, compared to the previous year, from 120,000 in 2021 to 237,000 in 2022, making 2022 the deadliest year since the Rwandan genocide in 1994. The increase was driven by two, particularly deadly, state-based armed conflicts: the Russia–Ukraine war, and the war in Ethiopia against TPLF (Tigray People’s Liberation Front). With more than 81,500 and 101,000 fatalities respectively, these are the two most deadly state-based conflict-years recorded in the post-1989 period. The Russian invasion of Ukraine is the first large-scale interstate war in 20 years, and the first interstate armed conflict since World War II where a major power in the international system seeks both territorial gains for itself and the subjugation of another state through regime change. We have witnessed an emerging trend of increased conflict between states in the last decade, including cases where major powers support opposite sides in internationalized intrastate conflict. UCDP recorded 55 active state-based armed conflicts in 2022, an increase of one compared to the previous year. Eight of these conflicts reached the level of war. While the fatalities caused by non-state conflict decreased somewhat when compared to 2021, the number of non-state conflicts, as well as both the number of civilians killed in one-sided violence and the number of actors carrying out such violence, increased in 2022.

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Research works printed but not linked: 9

  1. Berg, 2022, Tussle for the Amazon: New frontiers in Brazil’s organized crime landscape
  2. Braddick, 2022, Chilling moment Mexico’s deadliest cartel drops bombs from a drone onto rival camp in new turf war
  3. Brands, 2021, The new cold war: America, China, and the echoes of history, Foreign Affairs, 100, 10
  4. Economy, 2014, China’s imperial president: Xi Jinping tightens his grip, Foreign Affairs, 93, 80
  5. Harter, 2023, Tigray aid access improves as peace deal makes headway
  6. Kelly, 2023, Hundreds massacred in Ethiopia even as peace deal was being reached
  7. Kotkin, 2022, The cold war never ended: Ukraine, the China challenge, and the revival of the West, Foreign Affairs, 101, 64
  8. Merz, 2022, The jihadist threat in northern Ghana and Togo: Stocktaking and prospects for containing the expansion
  9. SIPRI, 2022, SIPRI Year Book 2022: Armaments, Disarmament, and International Security

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Metadata

Authors
Davies, S., Pettersson, T., & Öberg, M.
Affiliations
Uppsala University (SE)
Corresponding author
Pettersson, Therése
ORCID
Venue
Journal of Peace Research
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published
2023-07-01
Volume
60
Issue
4
Pages
691-708
ISSN
  • 0022-3433 (ISSN-L)
  • 1460-3578
DOI
10.1177/00223433231185169
OpenAlex
W4384130853
Cited by
266
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 73 · 2025: 103 · 2024: 77 · 2023: 13
FWCI
115.22
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Journal of Peace Research (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Uppsala University Publications (Uppsala University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
Uppsala Universitet
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Peacebuilding and International Security
Keywords
organized violence, interstate war, Russian invasion of Ukraine, Tigray People's Liberation Front, Ethiopia, conflict fatalities, civilian casualties, regime change, Uppsala Conflict Data Program

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