Patient length of stay and mortality prediction: A survey
Abstract
Over the past few years, there has been increased interest in data mining and machine learning methods to improve hospital performance, in particular hospitals want to improve their intensive care unit statistics by reducing the number of patients dying inside the intensive care unit. Research has focused on prediction of measurable outcomes, including risk of complications, mortality and length of hospital stay. The length of stay is an important metric both for healthcare providers and patients, influenced by numerous factors. In particular, the length of stay in critical care is of great significance, both to patient experience and the cost of care, and is influenced by factors specific to the highly complex environment of the intensive care unit. The length of stay is often used as a surrogate for other outcomes, where those outcomes cannot be measured; for example as a surrogate for hospital or intensive care unit mortality. The length of stay is also a parameter, which has been used to identify the severity of illnesses and healthcare resource utilisation. This paper examines a range of length of stay and mortality prediction applications in acute medicine and the critical care unit. It also focuses on the methods of analysing length of stay and mortality prediction. Moreover, the paper provides a classification and evaluation for the analytical methods of the length of stay and mortality prediction associated with a grouping of relevant research papers published in the years 1984 to 2016 related to the domain of survival analysis. In addition, the paper highlights some of the gaps and challenges of the domain.
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Current standards of estimating patient severity, such as the Acute Physiologic Assessment and Chronic Health Evaluation score, fail to incorporate medical characteristics beyond acute physiology.
“However, current standards of estimating patient severity, such as the Acute Physiologic Assessment and Chronic Health Evaluation score, fail to incorporate medical characteristics beyond acute physiology45.”
From Integrated multimodal artificial intelligence framework for healthcare applications (2022) · cites this paper as [45]
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Developing a Bayesian belief network for the management of geriatric hospital care
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Is the Current Management of Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Really Evidence Based?
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Integrated multimodal artificial intelligence framework for healthcare applications
Soenksen, L. R., Ma, Y., Zeng, C., Boussioux, L., Villalobos Carballo, K., Na, L., Wiberg, H. M., Li, M. L., Fuentes, I., & Bertsimas, D. (2022) · npj Digital Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41746-022-00689-4 · Cited by 380 · see citing works
Awad, A., Bader-El-Den, M., McNicholas, J., & Briggs, J. (2017) · International Journal of Medical Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2017.10.002 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
Self-citationBardak, B., & Tan, M. (2021) · Artificial Intelligence in Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.artmed.2021.102112 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Predicting next-day discharge via electronic health record access logs
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- Authors
- Awad, A., Bader–El–Den, M., & McNicholas, J.
- Affiliations
- University of Portsmouth (GB)
- School of Computing, University of Portsmouth, UK
- Queen Alexandra Hospital (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Awad, Aya
- Venue
- Health Services Management Research
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2017-03-22
- Volume
- 30
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 105-120
- ISSN
- 0951-4848 (ISSN-L)
- 1758-1044
- OpenAlex
- W2597843262
- Cited by
- 128
- References
- 135
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 4.24
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Health Services Management Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
- Keywords
- length of stay prediction, mortality prediction, intensive care unit, intensive care, survival analysis, acute medicine, hospital performance, health care utilization, surrogate endpoints
- MeSH terms
- Critical Care, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Length of Stay, Prognosis, Surveys and Questionnaires, Hospital Mortality
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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