The Genetics of Success: How Single-Nucleotide Polymorphisms Associated With Educational Attainment Relate to Life-Course Development
Open accessAbstract
A previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) of more than 100,000 individuals identified molecular-genetic predictors of educational attainment. We undertook in-depth life-course investigation of the polygenic score derived from this GWAS using the four-decade Dunedin Study ( N = 918). There were five main findings. First, polygenic scores predicted adult economic outcomes even after accounting for educational attainments. Second, genes and environments were correlated: Children with higher polygenic scores were born into better-off homes. Third, children’s polygenic scores predicted their adult outcomes even when analyses accounted for their social-class origins; social-mobility analysis showed that children with higher polygenic scores were more upwardly mobile than children with lower scores. Fourth, polygenic scores predicted behavior across the life course, from early acquisition of speech and reading skills through geographic mobility and mate choice and on to financial planning for retirement. Fifth, polygenic-score associations were mediated by psychological characteristics, including intelligence, self-control, and interpersonal skill. Effect sizes were small. Factors connecting DNA sequence with life outcomes may provide targets for interventions to promote population-wide positive development.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The unexplained remainder of the mate-pair PGI correlation is due to assortment on phenotypes correlated with the EA PGI other than EA, cognitive performance, and vocabulary-possibly including personality traits-and sources of social homogamy other than genetic ancestry captured by the top 40 PCs-possibly including geographic location at courtship age, socioeconomic status, and social class.
“This remainder is due to assortment on phenotypes correlated with the EA PGI other than EA, cognitive performance, and vocabulary—possibly including various personality traits42-44—and sources of social homogamy other than genetic ancestry captured by the top 40 PCs—possibly including geographic location at courtship age45,46, socioeconomic status, and social class47.”
From Polygenic prediction of educational attainment within and between families from genome-wide association analyses in 3 million individuals (2022) · cites this paper as [42]
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
No citation lists for this paper
No citation lists for this paper yet — checked again daily.
References 41 · Cited by 260
Research works printed but not linked: 31
- Baron RM Kenny DA 1986 The Moderator Mediator Variable Distinction in Social Psychological-Research - Conceptual, Strategic, and Statistical Considerations Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 51 1173 1182 3806354
- Belsky DW Moffitt TE Caspi A 2013 Genetics in population health science: strategies and opportunities American Journal of Public Health 103 Suppl 1 S73 83 http://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2012.301139 23927511 PMC3786748 · DOI
- Breen R Jonsson JO 2005 Inequality of Opportunity in Comparative Perspective: Recent Research on Educational Attainment and Social Mobility Annual Review of Sociology 31 223 243
- Breen R Salazar L 2011 Educational Assortative Mating and Earnings Inequality in the United States American Journal of Sociology 117 3 808 843 http://doi.org/10.1086/661778 · DOI
- Case A Paxson C 2008 Stature and status: Height, ability, and labor market outcomes Journal of Political Economy 116 499 532 19603086 PMC2709415
- Chabris CF Lee JJ Cesarini D Benjamin DJ Laibson DI 2015 The Fourth Law of Behavior Genetics Current Directions in Psychological Science 24 4 304 312 http://doi.org/10.1177/0963721415580430 26556960 PMC4635473 · DOI
- Conley D Domingue B Cesarini D Dawes CT Rietveld CA Boardman J 2015 Is the Effect of Parental Education on Offspring Biased or Moderated by Genotype? Sociological Science 2 6 82 105 http://doi.org/10.15195/v2.a6 PMC5644503 29051911 · DOI
- de Zeeuw EL van Beijsterveldt CEM Glasner TJ Bartels M Ehli EA Davies GE Boomsma DI 2014 Polygenic scores associated with educational attainment in adults predict educational achievement and ADHD symptoms in children American Journal of Medical Genetics. Part B, Neuropsychiatric Genetics: The Official Publication of the International Society of Psychiatric Genetics 165B 6 510 520 http://doi.org/10.1002/ajmg.b.32254 25044548 · DOI
- Domingue BW Belsky DW Conley D Harris KM Boardman JD 2015 Polygenic Influence on Educational Attainment AERA Open 1 3 2332858415599972, http://doi.org/10.1177/2332858415599972 PMC5291340 28164148 · DOI · Paper page
- Euesden J Lewis CM O’Reilly PF 2015 PRSice: Polygenic Risk Score software Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) 31 9 1466 1468 http://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btu848 PMC4410663 25550326 · DOI
- Firkowska AN Ostrowska A Sokolowska M Stein Z Susser M Wald I 1978 Cognitive development and social policy Science New York, N.Y 200 4348 1357 1362 663616
- Heckman JJ 2006 Skill formation and the economics of investing in disadvantaged children Science New York, N.Y 312 5782 1900 1902 http://doi.org/10.1126/science.1128898 16809525 · DOI · Paper page
- Khoury MJ Evans JP 2015 A public health perspective on a national precision medicine cohort: balancing long-term knowledge generation with early health benefit JAMA 313 21 2117 2118 http://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2015.3382 26034952 PMC4685667 · DOI
- Krapohl E Plomin R 2015 Genetic link between family socioeconomic status and children’s educational achievement estimated from genome-wide SNPs Molecular Psychiatry http://doi.org/10.1038/mp.2015.2 PMC4486001 25754083 · DOI · Paper page
- Krapohl E Rimfeld K Shakeshaft NG Trzaskowski M McMillan A Pingault JB Plomin R 2014 The high heritability of educational achievement reflects many genetically influenced traits, not just intelligence Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111 42 15273 15278 http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1408777111 25288728 PMC4210287 · DOI
- Lander ES 2015 Cutting the Gordian helix–regulating genomic testing in the era of precision medicine The New England Journal of Medicine 372 13 1185 1186 http://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp1501964 25689017 · DOI
- Lezak DM Howieson DB Loring DW Hannay HJ Fischer JS 2004 Neuropsychological Assessment 4th Oxford University Press
- Moffitt TE Arseneault L Belsky D Dickson N Hancox RJ Harrington H Caspi A 2011 A gradient of childhood self-control predicts health, wealth, and public safety Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108 7 2693 8 http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1010076108 PMC3041102 21262822 · DOI · Paper page
- Plomin R 2012 Genetics: How intelligence changes with age Nature 482 7384 165 166 http://doi.org/10.1038/482165a 22318596 · DOI
- Plomin R Bergeman CS 1991 The nature of nurture: Genetic influence on “environmental” measures Behavioral and Brain Sciences 14 03 414 427 http://doi.org/10.1017/S0140525X00070588 · DOI
- Poulton R Moffitt TE Silva PA 2015 The Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study: overview of the first 40 years, with an eye to the future Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology 50 5 679 693 http://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-015-1048-8 25835958 PMC4412685 · DOI
- Preacher KJ Kelley K 2011 Effect size measures for mediation models: Quantitative strategies for communicating indirect effects Psychological Methods 16 93 115 http://doi.org/10.1037/A0022658 21500915 · DOI · Paper page
- Price AL Patterson NJ Plenge RM Weinblatt ME Shadick NA Reich D 2006 Principal components analysis corrects for stratification in genome-wide association studies Nature Genetics 38 904 909 http://doi.org/10.1038/ng1847 16862161 · DOI · Paper page
- Price AL Zaitlen NA Reich D Patterson N 2010 New approaches to population stratification in genome-wide association studies Nature Reviews Genetics 11 7 459 463 http://doi.org/10.1038/nrg2813 PMC2975875 20548291 · DOI
- Rietveld CA Esko T Davies G Pers TH Turley P Benyamin B Koellinger PD 2014 Common genetic variants associated with cognitive performance identified using the proxy-phenotype method Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111 38 13790 13794 http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1404623111 25201988 PMC4183313 · DOI · Paper page
- Rietveld CA Medland SE Derringer J Yang J Esko T Martin NW Koellinger PD 2013 GWAS of 126,559 individuals identifies genetic variants associated with educational attainment Science New York, N.Y 340 6139 1467 71 http://doi.org/10.1126/science.1235488 23722424 PMC3751588 · DOI · Paper page
- Roberts NJ Vogelstein JT Parmigiani G Kinzler KW Vogelstein B Velculescu VE 2012 The predictive capacity of personal genome sequencing Science Translational Medicine 4 133 133ra58 http://doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.3003380 PMC3741669 22472521 · DOI
- Schwartz CR 2013 Trends and Variation in Assortative Mating: Causes and Consequences Annual Review of Sociology 39 1 451 470 http://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-soc-071312-145544 · DOI
- Singer JD Willett JB 2003 Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis New York Oxford University Press
- Ward ME McMahon G St Pourcain B Evans DM Rietveld CA Benjamin DJ Timpson NJ 2014 Genetic variation associated with differential educational attainment in adults has anticipated associations with school performance in children PloS One 9 7 e100248 http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0100248 25032841 PMC4102483 · DOI
- Wood AR Esko T Yang J Vedantam S Pers TH Gustafsson S Frayling TM 2014 Defining the role of common variation in the genomic and biological architecture of adult human height Nature Genetics 46 11 1173 1186 http://doi.org/10.1038/ng.3097 25282103 PMC4250049 · DOI · Paper page
- Authors
- Belsky, D. W., Moffitt, T. E., Corcoran, D. L., Domingue, B., Harrington, H., Hogan, S., Houts, R., Ramrakha, S., Sugden, K., Williams, B. S., Poulton, R., & Caspi, A.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- Stanford University (US)
- University of Otago (NZ)
- Corresponding author
- Belsky, Daniel W.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Psychological Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2016-06-01
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 957-972
- ISSN
- 0956-7976 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-9280
- PMC
- PMC4946990
- OpenAlex
- W2794827279
- Cited by
- 260
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 20 · 2023: 29 · 2022: 31 · 2021: 36 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 28 · 2017: 23 · 2016: 6
- FWCI
- 84.83
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Psychological Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DukeSpace (Duke University) (submittedVersion)
- Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (AG032282)
- Jacobs Foundation (AG032282, P30AG028716)
- Medical Research Council (MR/K00381X, MR/K00381X/1, AG032282)
- Economic and Social Research Council (ES/M010309/1)
- National Institute on Aging (R01AG048895, P30AG034424, P30AG028716, R01AG032282, R01AG049789)
- National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (AG032282)
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (P2CHD065563, AG032282, R21HD078031)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Cognitive Abilities and Testing
- Keywords
- educational attainment, polygenic risk score, Dunedin Study, social mobility, economic outcomes, gene-environment correlation, life course development, intelligence, self-control, social skills, mate choice, retirement planning, spatial mobility
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Educational Status, Female, Humans, Human Development, Intelligence, Longitudinal Studies, Male, New Zealand, Social Class, Multifactorial Inheritance, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, Genome-Wide Association Study
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review