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Evidence-based Policy: In Search of a Method
Abstract
Evaluation research is tortured by time constraints. The policy cycle revolves quicker than the research cycle, with the result that `real time' evaluations often have little influence on policy making. As a result, the quest for evidence-based policy has turned increasingly to systematic reviews of the results of previous inquiries in the relevant policy domain. However, this shifting of the temporal frame for evaluation is in itself no guarantee of success. Evidence, whether new or old, never speaks for itself. Accordingly, there is debate about the best strategy of marshalling bygone research results into the policy process. This article joins the imbroglio by examining the logic of the two main strategies of systematic review: `meta-analysis' and `narrative review'. Whilst they are often presented as diametrically opposed perspectives, this article argues that they share common limitations in their understanding of how to provide a template for impending policy decisions. This review provides the background for Part II of the article (to be published in the next issue, Evaluation 8[3]), which considers the merits of a new model for evidence-based policy, namely `realist synthesis'.
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“Our charting approach was akin to a 'narrative review' (Pawson 2002: 171)”
From Scoping studies: towards a methodological framework (2005) · cites this paper as Pawson 2002: 171
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“Simply producing a short summary or profile of each study does not guarantee helping those readers who might have to make important decisions based on the study findings (Pawson, 2002).”
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“For example, ‘naming and shaming’ works well in many contexts, but when used in the non-payment of council tax in the UK, it was found for certain communities to create ‘heroes’ rather than ‘villains’ (Pawson 2002a).”
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“These often use broad inclusion criteria for evidence (qualitative and quantitative) to facilitate comparison of impact evaluation methods, develop a transferable theory, and attempt to provide policy-makers with knowledge in response to time sensitive and emerging issues (Victora et al., 2011; Saul et al., 2013; Paws…”
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A time-responsive tool for informing policy making: rapid realist review
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“In other words, how does a change in context generate a particular mechanism that in turn produces specific outcomes? In developing these program theories, realist reviews assume a broad inclusion of evidence, both quantitative and qualitative, which is used to develop an understanding of ‘what works, for whom, in wha…”
BackgroundReview Research as Scientific Inquiry
Kunisch, S., Denyer, D., Bartunek, J. M., Menz, M., & Cardinal, L. B. (2022) · Organizational Research Methods · doi:10.1177/10944281221127292 · Cited by 297
“It requires in-depth knowledge of the studies included in the review but is also capable of generating findings that can be generalized to other situations by means of developing and examining theory (Pawson, 2002a).”
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“Acknowledging the problems of observational (non‐manipulated) studies, critics stress the limited scope of RCT methods for studying important social and organizational issues (Pawson, 2002a , 2002b ), noting the progress made in statistics and social science in working with observational data (eg, Nagin, 2005 ; Rubin,…”
BackgroundEvidence‐based practice in educational research: a critical realist critique of systematic review
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“While at the sociopolitical level Pawson remains recognisably in the social engineering rather than critical mode, his synthesis offers considerably more sophistication than that which informs most reviews ( Pawson, 2002a ), which base their quality criteria on the method of RCTs (Torgerson & Torgerson, 2001) as such,…”
BackgroundResultInfluentialNothing as Practical as a Good Theory
Pawson, R. (2003) · Evaluation · doi:10.1177/1356389003094007 · Cited by 194
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“It is possible – in fact common – for a promising social project to be ‘let down’ by failings in another part of the support system that the target group need if they are to have a reasonable prospect of improving their situation (Pawson, 2002).”
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“Synthesis is particularly useful in areas of contested findings, to present evidence, consolidate knowledge and therefore progress an area of inquiry (Pawson, 2002).”
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Realistic Evaluation Bloodlines
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“Therefore the synthesis is by definition narrative and descriptive, rather than statistical (Pawson, 2002; Shadish, Cook, & Campbell, 2002).”
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“Focusing on the use of meta-analysis Pawson (2002a) puts forward a number of objections.”
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“In a couple of recent articles (Pawson, 2002a, b) I have joined the imbroglio and argued that an approach termed ‘realist synthesis’ has many advantages over the more standard approaches of ‘meta-analysis’ and ‘narrative review’.”
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“…certainly does link (and should take us back) to some rather hoary debates in public policy such as decision-making (Russel and Jordan 2009), policy co-ordination (Schout and Jordan 2007), and the development and (non-)utilization of evidence in politics (Dowie 1996; Pawson 2002; Sanderson 2006).”
BackgroundThe Evidence For and Against Evidence-Based Practice
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“In turning to a discussion of this question, we draw from prior analyses of arguments for and against EBP (Gambrill, 1999, 2001, 2003; Gibbs & Gambrill, 2002; Pawson, 2002; Sackett et al., 2000; Straus & McAlister, 2000; Webb, 2001).”
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BackgroundInnovation and Organisational Performance: Evidence and a Research AgendaPreprint
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“The narrative reviews approach (Pawson, 2002) was used to extract data on study characteristics, including author(s), year of publication, study location, study populations, study objectives, research design, ACEs measurement, child outcomes, mechanisms tested, and main findings (See Supplemental…”
MethodRobotic Gait Training for Individuals With Cerebral Palsy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
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“This component, which is part of the descriptive analytical method within the narrative review tradition, ensured data were collected in a standard way, enhancing their usefulness [23].”
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“The ‘narrative review’ approach by Pawson [31], adopted in this review, aims to include a broader context of the results to provide readers with a better understanding.”
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“Seven sources address conceptualization of synthesizing opportunities (The Joanna Briggs Institute 2014; Thomas et al. 2004; Popay et al. 2006; Jones 2005; Pope et al. 2007; Pawson 2002; Lucas et al. 2007).”
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“2000, Sanderson, 2002a and 2002b, Campbell, 2002, Packwood, 2002) and within the evaluation (Pawson, 2002), statistics (Smith, 1996) and public finance (Nutley and Davies, 1999) communities.”
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MacDonald, M., Pauly, B., Wong, G., Schick‐Makaroff, K., van Roode, T., Strosher, H., Kothari, A. R., Valaitis, R. K., Manson, H. E., O’Briain, W., et al. (2016) · Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1186/s13643-016-0229-1 · Cited by 84
“or synthesis [20–23], which may be more helpful to knowledge users [21, 22] in public health for synthesizing evidence on effective implementation [23–26].”
Dealing With Complex Causality in Realist Synthesis
Sager, F., & Andereggen, C. (2011) · American Journal of Evaluation · doi:10.1177/1098214011411574 · Cited by 74
“Realist synthesis adopts this logic for systematic review (Pawson, 2002b).”
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Evidence‐based Engagement in the Voluntary Sector: Lessons from Canada
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Partnership, policy and politics: initial teacher education in England under New Labour
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“The commissioning of evaluations of major policy initiatives has become routine under New Labour with an increased interest in ‘what works’ (Pawson, 2002 ).”
MethodOverseas and over here: policy transfer and evidence-based policy-making
Legrand, T. (2012) · Policy Studies · doi:10.1080/01442872.2012.695945 · Cited by 71
Persson, J., Johansson, E. L., & Olsson, L. (2018) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-10608-230438 · Cited by 69
“The aim is to minimize the risk of bias and inaccuracy in policy makers’ reasoning by providing an antidote to “crowd pleasing, political pandering, window dressing, and god-acting” (Pawson 2002:160).”
BackgroundPrinciples and purposes of European Union Cohesion policy evaluation
Batterbury, S. C. E. (2006) · Regional Studies · doi:10.1080/00343400600600504 · Cited by 153
“It involves approaches such as systematic review, realist synthesis (PAWSON, 2002a, b), action learning (LINCOLN, 2001) and meta-evaluation.”
MethodEmpowering change: Realist evaluation of a Scottish Government programme to support normal birth
Cheyne, H., Abhyankar, P., & McCourt, C. (2013) · Midwifery · doi:10.1016/j.midw.2013.07.018 · Cited by 68
“It proposes that programmes work (i.e. have successful outcomes) only where they introduce appropriate ideas and opportunities (mechanisms) into appropriate contexts (Pawson and Tilley, 1997, Pawson, 2002).”
BackgroundBrennan, R., & Hout, M. C. V. (2014) · Journal of Psychoactive Drugs · doi:10.1080/02791072.2014.921746 · Cited by 76
“The findings are mapped into these themes as they relate to the drug GHB and presented as a broadbased “narrative review” design (Pawson 2002: 171) of existing literature on the drug GHB as situated within certain user groups.”
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“In line with other researchers' views, and as a realist synthesis approach for the data synthesis was adopted, every contribution was additionally judged based on its t for purpose [24], whether it added anything important to our understanding of the phenomenon under review [25], and on its quality as it was establish…”
ResultDisparities in diabetes mellitus among Caribbean populations: a scoping review
Bennett, N. R., Francis, D., Ferguson, T. S., Hennis, A. J. M., Wilks, R., Harris, E. N., MacLeish, M. M., & Sullivan, L. W. (2015) · International Journal for Equity in Health · doi:10.1186/s12939-015-0149-z · Cited by 63
“The charting approach was akin to a ‘narrative review’ [12] to include detailed information of population characteristics according to identified indicators of health disparities.”
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Alexandraki, I., Rosasco, R. E., & Mooradian, A. D. (2020) · Academic Medicine · doi:10.1097/acm.0000000000003813 · Cited by 62
Matthews, P. J., & Hastings, A. (2012) · Social Policy and Administration · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9515.2012.00866.x · Cited by 58
“…focus on the importance of wider contextual factors, such as policy domain, bureaucratic structures, or participant behaviour, capable of influencing whether or not a particular mechanism is are successful in delivering a desired outcome (Pawson, 2002b; 2006; Pawson, Greenhalgh et al., 2005).”
BackgroundHamer, O., Larkin, D. T., Relph, N., & Dey, P. (2021) · Obesity Reviews · doi:10.1111/obr.13307 · Cited by 59
“From the guidance of Arksey and O'Malley,(17) a narrative synthesis was chosen to summarize the data because it allowed the data to be analyzed and contextualized, improving the likelihood it would be understood by the reader.(23,24) In summarizing the findings on fear and its impact on activity, the template set out…”
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Monks, P. S., & Williams, M. L. (2020) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2019.0326 · Cited by 54
Suicide in later life: public health and practitioner perspectives
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“Aggregative review methods, typified by meta-analysis, are not currently useful for analysing evidence about suicide in later life because of the lack of trials, and would be problematic even when more trial results are published because meta-analysis produces decontextualized lessons (Pawson, 2002).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSport and Social Inclusion: Evidence-Based Policy and Practice
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The judgement process in evidence-based medicine and health technology assessment
Kelly, M. P., & Moore, T. A. (2011) · Social Theory & Health · doi:10.1057/sth.2011.21 · Cited by 52
“In areas where the judgements involve a long causal chain from the intervention to the outcome as in public health or other social care or educational interventions (Kelly et al, 2010; Kelly and Moore, 2010), the problem of external validity is still more vexing (See also Pawson, 2002, 2006).”
BackgroundConcepts and approaches in the evaluation of health promotion
de Carvalho, A. I., Bodstein, R., Hartz, Z., & Matida, Á. H. (2004) · Ciência & Saúde Coletiva · doi:10.1590/s1413-81232004000300002 · Cited by 51
Gender, health, labor, and inequities: a review of the fair and alternative trade literature
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“literature by drawing on Pawson’s (2002) descriptive-”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialKey findings about hearing loss in the working-life: a scoping review from a well-being perspective
Granberg, S., & Gustafsson, J. (2021) · International Journal of Audiology · doi:10.1080/14992027.2021.1881628 · Cited by 48
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“[43–45] The process of navigating and redefining the findings was iterative, and with each stage reflexive, by fine tuning and repeating steps so as to ensure comprehensive coverage of available literature.”
BackgroundCognitive skills programmes for offenders
Hollin, C. R., & Palmer, E. J. (2009) · Psychology Crime and Law · doi:10.1080/10683160802190871 · Cited by 48
“In reality, there are demands from quick returns for research within the criminal justice system (Pawson, 2002).”
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Meta-Evaluation: Discovering What Works Best in Welfare Provision
Ashworth, K., Cebulla, A., Greenberg, D. H., & Walker, R. (2004) · Evaluation · doi:10.1177/1356389004045075 · Cited by 48
“Equally, quantitative meta-evaluation has the potential to be far more than the simplistic parody suggested by some critics (Pawson, 2002a, 2002b).”
BackgroundConceptualising the built environment to inform sustainable urban transitions
Nielsen, J., & Farrelly, M. A. (2019) · Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions · doi:10.1016/j.eist.2019.07.001 · Cited by 47
Disparities in cardiovascular disease among Caribbean populations: a systematic literature review
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“Pawson R. Evidence-based policy: in search of a method.”
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Walach, H., & Loef, M. (2015) · Journal of Clinical Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.03.027 · Cited by 47
Age at referral for diagnosis and rehabilitation services for cerebral palsy: a scoping review
Boychuck, Z., Bussières, A., Goldschleger, J., Majnemer, A., & The Prompt Group (2018) · Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology · doi:10.1111/dmcn.14034 · Cited by 44
Does regulatory impact assessment lead to better policy?
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“The first, somewhat contentiously, is as a social movement representing the efforts of persons inside and outside formal decision-making processes to improve policy outcomes by applying rational means and techniques (Jackson, 2007; Mintrom, 2007; Packwood, 2002; Pawson, 2002).”
BackgroundDaigneault, P., Jacob, S., & Ouimet, M. (2012) · International Journal of Social Research Methodology · doi:10.1080/13645579.2012.730704 · Cited by 43
“…and research syntheses are becoming increasingly popular in the social sciences (Arksey & O’Malley, 2005; Davies, Nutley, & Smith, 1999; Grant & Booth, 2009; Hansen & Rieper, 2009; Learmonth & Harding, 2006; Pawson, 2002; Petticrew & Roberts, 2006; Sandelowski & Barroso, 2006; Sanderson, 2002).”
BackgroundRitter, A. J., & Lancaster, K. (2012) · International Journal of Drug Policy · doi:10.1016/j.drugpo.2012.02.005 · Cited by 43
Do Orthopaedic Surgeons Acknowledge Uncertainty?
Teunis, T., Janssen, S. J., Guitton, T. G., Ring, D., & Parisien, R. C. (2015) · Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research · doi:10.1007/s11999-015-4623-0 · Cited by 43
“Well-designed randomized controlled trials frequently show no difference or a small and possibly unimportant differences between two treatments [8, 19].”
BackgroundHollin, C. R. (2006) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9780470713341.ch2 · Cited by 43
Dayson, C. (2016) · Policy & Politics · doi:10.1332/030557316x14564838832035 · Cited by 42
Thomson, L., Fayed, N., Sedarous, F., & Ronen, G. M. (2013) · Developmental Medicine & Child Neurology · doi:10.1111/dmcn.12335 · Cited by 41
“Charting the data To collect data systematically, standard information was extracted from each article using the descriptive-analytical method.(18) The collected data included author(s), year of publication, study location, area of health or QOL, participant information, study design, and specific identified issues.”
MethodMenon, D., Stafinski, T., Dunn, A., & Short, H. (2014) · Patient · doi:10.1007/s40271-014-0106-8 · Cited by 40
“Adapting descriptive–analytical methods traditionally used in narrative reviews and in published guidelines for scoping reviews similar to this project, information from selected papers was systematically extracted using a standard data abstraction form [23].”
MethodGoals of evaluation and types of evidence
Berriet-Solliec, M., Labarthe, P., & Laurent, C. (2014) · Evaluation · doi:10.1177/1356389014529836 · Cited by 39
“Many authors have pointed out the importance of basing an evaluation on a theory, on a precise understanding of the mechanisms operating in the programs being studied (Chen, 1990; Chen and Rossi, 1983; Jordan et al., 2008; Pawson, 2002; Pawson and Tilley, 1997; Shadish et al., 1991).”
BackgroundPoor Quality of Data in Africa: What Are the Issues?
Kinyondo, A., & Pelizzo, R. (2018) · Politics & Policy · doi:10.1111/polp.12277 · Cited by 43
Evaluating change in health care practice: lessons from three studies
Redfern, S., Christian, S., & Norman, I. J. (2003) · Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2753.2003.00387.x · Cited by 40
Gumbo, D., Moombe, K. B., Kabwe, G., Ojanen, M., Ndhlovu, E., Sunderland, T. C. H., & Kandulu, M. M. (2013) · Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) eBooks · doi:10.17528/cifor/004113 · Cited by 39
Chen, S., & Henry, I. P. (2015) · Leisure Studies · doi:10.1080/02614367.2015.1040827 · Cited by 40
“The approach adopted in this study in ontological terms is related to the Realist Evaluation approach of Pawson and his colleagues (Pawson, 2001; Pawson, 2006; Pawson, 2013; Pawson & Tilley, 2004).”
MethodTaylor, P. (2020) · Professional Development in Education · doi:10.1080/19415257.2020.1747106 · Cited by 39
“However, ‘[o]utcome measurement is a tourniquet of compression’, squeezing out variation and diversity within and between studies through repeated averaging (Pawson 2002, p. 166).”
BackgroundHowlett, M. P., & Cuenca, J. S. (2016) · Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning · doi:10.1080/1523908x.2016.1207507 · Cited by 39
“But what kinds of knowledge or evidence are used, how and by whom in this process is unclear a priori (Feldman, 1989; Howlett, Tan, Wellstead, Migone, & Evans, 2014; Nutley, Walter, & Davies, 2007; Pawson, 2002; Sanderson, 2009).”
BackgroundWater governance research in Africa: progress, challenges and an agenda for research and action
Olagunju, A. O., Thondhlana, G., Chilima, J. S., Sène-Harper, A. L., Compaoré, W. R. N., & Ohiozebau, E. (2019) · Water International · doi:10.1080/02508060.2019.1594576 · Cited by 38
“This approach follows what Pawson (2002) describes as a ‘descriptiveanalytical’ method, ‘where studies are examined in relation to a common analytical framework, so the same template of features is applied to each study scrutinized’ (p. 172).”
MethodBest, M., Knight, P., Lietz, P. N., Lockwood, C. S., Nugroho, D., & Tobin, M. (2013) · ACEReSearch Repository (Australian Council for Educational Research) · Cited by 37
How Surgeons Make Decisions When the Evidence Is Inconclusive
Hageman, M. G. J. S., Guitton, T. G., & Ring, D. (2013) · The Journal Of Hand Surgery · doi:10.1016/j.jhsa.2013.02.032 · Cited by 37
Saunders, M. (2006) · London Review of Education · doi:10.1080/14748460600855526 · Cited by 36
“Again, we now know that this is not as straightforward as we might think in either syntheses of narrative evaluations or the integration of statistical studies (Pawson, 2002) The presence of evaluation in social policy levels is identified at an earlier stage in this paper.”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Pawson, R.
- Affiliations
- Queen Mary University of London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Pawson, Ray
- ORCID
- Pawson, Ray
- Venue
- Evaluation
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2002-04
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 157-181
- ISSN
- 1356-3890 (ISSN-L)
- 1461-7153
- OpenAlex
- W2073020593
- Semantic Scholar
- 0a46f8e2fe3872100f441ff87ecd471f3fcf7e09
- Cited by
- 403
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 25 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 30 · 2013: 18 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 17.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Evaluation (publishedVersion)
- OpenGrey (Institut de l'Information Scientifique et Technique) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Public Administration › Evaluation and Performance Assessment
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health Policy Implementation Science
- Keywords
- evidence-based policy, systematic reviews, meta-analysis, realist synthesis, policy cycle, science-policy interface, policy decision-making
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