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Political Extremism Predicts Belief in Conspiracy Theories
Abstract
Historical records suggest that the political extremes—at both the “left” and the “right”—substantially endorsed conspiracy beliefs about other-minded groups. The present contribution empirically tests whether extreme political ideologies, at either side of the political spectrum, are positively associated with an increased tendency to believe in conspiracy theories. Four studies conducted in the United States and the Netherlands revealed a quadratic relationship between strength of political ideology and conspiracy beliefs about various political issues. Moreover, participants’ belief in simple political solutions to societal problems mediated conspiracy beliefs among both left- and right-wing extremists. Finally, the effects described here were not attributable to general attitude extremity. Our conclusion is that political extremism and conspiracy beliefs are strongly associated due to a highly structured thinking style that is aimed at making sense of societal events.
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“…and facilitates other conspiratorial ideas, rendering belief in one conspiracy theory an excellent predictor of belief in other conspiracy theories (Goertzel, 1994; Lewandowski, Oberauer, & Gignac, 2013; Swami, Chamorro-Premuzic, & Furnham, 2010; Swami et al., 2011, 2013; Wood, Douglas, & Sutton,…”
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“Various authors noted that the crippled epistemology that characterizes political extremism is also inherent to conspiracy beliefs (Sunstein & Vermeule, 2009; Swami et al., 2013).”
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“Indeed, studies demonstrate that conspiracy beliefs find greater support on the extremes of the political spectrum, particularly on the extreme right (Imhoff, Zimmer, et al., 2022; Thórisdóttir et al., 2020; Van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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“In other words, this type of analysis allows us to explore the nexus between superstitious mindset and extreme right political orientation.”
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“…and contextual factors involved in the endorsement of CTs have also been investigated, although they have attracted less attention (van Prooijen and Jostmann, 2013; Mashuri and Zaduqisti, 2015; van Prooijen and van Dijk, 2014; Van Prooijen et al., 2015; Uenal, 2016; Van Prooijen and Douglas, 2017).”
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“[22] advance a similar argument in their study of political extremism and belief in conspiracy theories, since they maintain that support for different types of conspiracies might be moderated by the ideological inclinations of citizens.”
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Left–right political orientations are not systematically related to conspiracism
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Pseudo-Media Sites, Polarization, and Pandemic Skepticism in Spain
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Marino, G., & Iannelli, L. (2023) · Frontiers in Sociology · doi:10.3389/fsoc.2023.1174161 · Cited by 26
Conspiracism in Populist Radical Right Candidates: Rallying the Base or Mainstreaming the Fringe?
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“A burgeoning literature in social sciences now examines the origins of conspiracy theories and conspiratorial thinking (Miller, Saunders, and Farhart 2016; Uscinski, Klofstad, and Atkinson 2016; van Prooijen and Jostmann 2013; van Prooijen, Krouwel, and Pollet 2015).”
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“Van Prooijen, Krouwel, and Pollet (2015) have shown that people at political extremes endorse conspiracy theories more strongly than those at the political center.”
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Deprived, Radical, Alternatively Informed
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“The conspirators can be anyone perceived as powerful, such as a government, scientists, CEOs, religious organizations, but also socially marginalised groups (van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
BackgroundInfluentialMedia Marginalization of Racial Minorities
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“…large body of research suggests that political extremism predicts a general susceptibility to conspiracy theory belief (see, e.g. Amarasingam, 2019; van Prooijen et al., 2015; Warner & Neville-Shepard, 2014) and recent research on this interplay has documented the consistency and frequency with…”
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“…of misinformation on podcasts, we propose the following hypothesis: Political scientists have found that beliefs in misinformation and conspiracy theories are linked to adverse political outcomes such as increased criminal behavior and extremism (Jolley et al., 2019; van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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“A recent multinational study has reported little to no moderation by country on psychographic and demographic correlates of conspiracy beliefs (Walter & Drochon, 2022).”
Conspiracy Theories and Violent Extremism
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Théories du complot et COVID-19 : comment naissent les croyances complotistes ?
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“Recent research shows that individuals situated at ideological extremes are most susceptible to conspiratorial explanations, with those on the extreme right leading the way in terms of conspiracy beliefs (Sutton and Douglas, 2020; Van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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Conspiracy Narratives as a Type of Social Myth
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“This is what we find in various extremist political groups, which have been shown to be much more prone to con-spiracy thinking (van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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“…events can be viewed as rare and extreme violent occurrences perpetrated by “lone wolf” attackers, the associated conspiracy-driven ideology thrives within the communities that endorse extreme political views (Hebel-Sela et al., 2022; Kaplan, 2021; Rousis et al., 2022; van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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Validation of the Spanish Version of the Generic Conspiracist Beliefs Scale
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“This can concomitantly facilitate the appearance of radical political movements (Escolà-Gascón, 2020; van Prooijen et al., 2015; Wood & Gray, 2019).”
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Zhang, R., Yan, J., Jia, H.-P., Luo, X., Lin, J.-K., & Liu, Q. (2023) · Vaccine: X · doi:10.1016/j.jvacx.2023.100263 · Cited by 9
Pourquoi les théories du complot se portent-elles si bien ? L’exemple de Charlie Hebdo
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Kreis, E. (2016) · Diogène · doi:10.3917/dio.249.0051 · Cited by 11
I want to believe: The relationship between conspiratorial beliefs and populist attitudes in Spain
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Bordignon, F. (2023) · Journal of Contemporary European Studies · doi:10.1080/14782804.2023.2177838 · Cited by 10
“…of literature has suggested a link between conspiracy beliefs, distrust of political institutions, extremist (especially right-wing) and populist electoral orientations (Vezzoni et al. 2022; Mancosu, Vassallo, and Vezzoni 2017; Einstein and Glick 2015; van Prooijen, Krouwel, and Pollet 2015).”
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“The explanation for this might be that people on the right are more likely to have personality predispositions that stimulate conspiracy thinking, such as low tolerance for uncertainty or a desire for simple solutions (van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
BackgroundAssessing Susceptibility Factors of Confirmation Bias in News Feed Reading
Boonprakong, N., Pareek, S., Tag, B., Gonçalves, J., & Dingler, T. (2025) · CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems · doi:10.1145/3706598.3713873 · Cited by 13
Conspiracy Theories in U.S. History
Olmstead, K. S. (2018) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0019 · Cited by 10
Factors affecting conspiracy theory endorsement in paranoia
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“We also find that SECS was associated with conspiracy thinking, coinciding with evidence that conservatives in the United States are more likely to endorse and espouse conspiratorial theories and world views ([13]; but see [14]).”
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“63 Moreover, according to Rottweiler and Gill’s analysis of a representative German survey, there is a causal relationship between a stronger conspiracy mentality and violent extremist intentions, especially when someone has less self-control, weaker law-relevant morality, and more self-efficiency.”
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Alternative beliefs in psychedelic drug users
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“In line with these results, van Prooijen et al. (2015) observed that individuals with extreme political ideologies, were more likely to belief in conspiracy theories.”
Dorling, D., & Gietel‐Basten, S. (2022) · Journal of Economic Sociology · doi:10.17323/1726-3247-2022-2-36-64 · Cited by 8
Bondani, M., Galano, S., Malgieri, M., Onorato, P., Sciarretta, W., & Testa, I. (2024) · Research in Science & Technological Education · doi:10.1080/02635143.2024.2390847 · Cited by 9
“Research has shown that supporters of a conspiracy theory are more likely to also believe in other unrelated conspiracy theories (Swami et al. 2013) and to adopt authoritarian and identity-protective psychological mechanisms (van Prooijen, Krouwel, and Pollet 2015).”
Teaching and confronting digital extremism: contexts, challenges and opportunities
Rea, S. C. (2022) · Information and Learning Sciences · doi:10.1108/ils-08-2021-0065 · Cited by 9
Furnham, A. F., & Horne, G. (2022) · Journal of Work and Organizational Psychology · doi:10.5093/jwop2022a2 · Cited by 9
“There has been a great increase of studies on CTs (Barron et al., 2014; Brotherton & French, 2014; Douglas et al., 2016; Imhoff & Lamberty, 2017; van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
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Religions and Conspiracy Theories as the Authoritarian “Other” of Democracy?
Hidalgo, O. F. (2022) · Politics and Governance · doi:10.17645/pag.v10i4.5826 · Cited by 12
“…ideologies (e.g.Wood&Gray, 2019) or also for (right‐wing) populism and extremism (e.g. Bartlett & Miller, 2010; Bergmann, 2018; Bergmann & Butter, 2020; Lipset & Raab, 1970; Van Prooijen et al., 2015), the focus on the general relationship between democracy and conspiracy is rather one‐sided.”
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The Conspiratorial Style in Turkish Politics
Nefes, T. S. (2018) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0026 · Cited by 9
Teorias da conspiração: significados em contexto brasileiro
Rezende, A. T., da Silva, F. M. D. S. M., Ribeiro, M. G. C., Loureto, G. D. L., Neta, O. F. D. S., & Gouveia, V. V. (2019) · Estudos de Psicologia (Campinas) · doi:10.1590/1982-0275201936e180010 · Cited by 12
Lermer, E., Hudecek, M. F. C., Gaube, S., Raue, M., & Batz, F. (2021) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2021.769206 · Cited by 12
The Psychology and Neuroscience of Partisanship
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“These results also shed some light on findings suggested by previous contributions [31,25,43] regarding the role of conspiracy beliefs in shaping individual attitudes toward vaccination.”
InfluentialConspiracy Thinking, Tolerance, and Democracy
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Of Precarity and Conspiracy: Introducing A Socio-Functional Model of Conspiracy BeliefsPreprint
Adam‐Troian, J., Chayinska, M., Paladino, M. P., Uluğ, Ö. M., Vaes, J., & Wagner‐Egger, P. (2021) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/mnfrd · Cited by 9
«3D-модель» российской экономики
Chepurenko, A. Y. (2022) · Journal of Economic Sociology · doi:10.17323/1726-3247-2022-2-118-128 · Cited by 8
Role of Conspiracy Mentality and Paranormal Beliefs in Predicting Conspiracy Beliefs Among Neopagans
Dyrendal, A., Kennair, L. E. O., & Lewis, J. (2018) · International Journal for the Study of New Religions · doi:10.1558/ijsnr.36716 · Cited by 8
Alternative Epistemology in Far-Right Anti-Publics: A Qualitative Study of Australian Activists
Peucker, M., & Spaaij, R. (2023) · International Journal of Politics Culture and Society · doi:10.1007/s10767-023-09456-z · Cited by 14
“Notwithstanding the ‘ordi-nariness’ of conspiratorial thinking, research has also shown that conspiratorial thinking is more common at the radical political fringes, in particular within the far right (van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
Vanderwee, J., & Droogan, J. (2023) · Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression · doi:10.1080/19434472.2023.2258952 · Cited by 8
“Since this time, conspiracy theories have been shown to be wielded members of the extreme political left and right (van Prooijen et al., 2015), and to commonly target minority outgroups that are perceived as threatening (McArthur, 1995).”
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“It is acknowledged that self-placement on such a scale is a crude measure of ideology, but it is widely used in studies both of antisemitism 69 and of conspiracism 68,70 .”
ResultThe Status Foundations of Conspiracy Beliefs
Roscigno, S. (2024) · Socius Sociological Research for a Dynamic World · doi:10.1177/23780231241237654 · Cited by 8
“Following prior findings (Imhoff et al. 2022; van Prooijen et al. 2015), I recode this into an indicator representing political polarization, measured as the distance from the center of the standard political scale (0 = moderate, 3 = very conservative or very liberal).”
Byington, B. (2019) · Journal of Contemporary Antisemitism · doi:10.26613/jca/2.1.19 · Cited by 9
Matthews, M., Migacheva, K., & Brown, R. (2021) · RAND Corporation eBooks · doi:10.7249/rr-a112-11 · Cited by 11
Schultz, T., Ziegele, M., Jackob, N., Jakobs, I., Quiring, O., & Schemer, C. (2021) · ZRex – Zeitschrift für Rechtsextremismusforschung · doi:10.3224/zrex.v1i1.05 · Cited by 8
Social Prevalence Is Rationally Integrated in Belief Updating
Orticio, E., Martí, L., & Kidd, C. (2022) · Open Mind · doi:10.1162/opmi_a_00056 · Cited by 8
“…beliefs has sought to explain them away by appealing to ancillary influences on belief formation, like emotionality (Vlasceanu et al., 2020), political extremism (Van Prooijen et al., 2015), inattentiveness (Pennycook & Rand, 2019), and bullshit receptivity (Pennycook & Rand, 2020).”
BackgroundPolitical Extremism and a Generalized Propensity to Discriminate Among Values
Rigoli, F. (2022) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12839 · Cited by 8
The Truth Is Around Here Somewhere
Bost, P. R. (2018) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0018 · Cited by 8
Why the Powerful (in Weak States) Prefer Conspiracy Theories
Radnitz, S. (2018) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780190844073.003.0023 · Cited by 8
Uncritical Patriotism and Belief in COVID-19 Conspiracies
Rieger, M. O. (2022) · Frontiers in Sociology · doi:10.3389/fsoc.2022.777650 · Cited by 8
Hartmann, M., & Müller, P. (2021) · doi:10.31124/advance.16644889.v1 · Cited by 8
From Populism to the ‘Plandemic’: Why populists believe in COVID-19 conspiraciesPreprint
Eberl, J., Huber, R. A., & Greussing, E. (2020) · SocArXiv (OSF Preprints) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/ejpw7 · Cited by 9
Democracy and belief in conspiracy theories in New ZealandPreprint
Marques, M. D., Hill, S., Clarke, E. J. R., Williams, M. N., Ling, M., Kerr, J. R., Douglas, K. M., Cichocka, A. K., & Sibley, C. G. (2022) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/s8qf4 · Cited by 8
Pärnamets, P., Alfano, M., Bavel, J. J. V., & Ross, R. M. (2022) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/2ujra · Cited by 9
Metadata
- Authors
- van Prooijen, J.-W., Krouwel, A. P. M., & Pollet, T. V.
- Affiliations
- VU University Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- Venue
- Social Psychological and Personality Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2015-01-12
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 570-578
- ISSN
- 1948-5506 (ISSN-L)
- 1948-5514
- OpenAlex
- W2327590731
- Cited by
- 626
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2026: 38 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 69 · 2023: 71 · 2022: 115 · 2021: 111 · 2020: 44 · 2019: 29 · 2018: 54 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 8
- FWCI
- 96.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Social Psychological and Personality Science (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion)
- Northumbria Research Link (Northumbria University) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Keywords
- political extremism, conspiracy beliefs, political ideology, left-wing extremism, right-wing extremism, attitude extremity
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