TP53-mutant variant allele frequency and cytogenetics determine prognostic groups in MDS/AML for transplantation
Open accessAbstract
Results after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) for TP53-mutated myeloid malignancies are disappointing. Several HSCT centers decline to perform HSCT for patients with TP53 mutation because of poor outcomes. In this study, we analyzed 240 patients with TP53-mutated myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) who underwent HSCT. We aimed to identify the patients who benefit most from HSCT. The primary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Of the cohort, 52% had AML and the median age was 62 years. AML and MDS outcomes were similar. We identified several favorable prognostic factors for PFS, including absence of complex cytogenetics/5q deletion/7q deletion, a lower variant allele frequency (VAF), a monohit status, and use of a matched-related donor. Using classification and regression tree analysis, we identified VAF and cytogenetics as the 2 most important prognostic factors. Patients with TP53mut VAF ≥ 50% had a 2-year PFS of 3%, and patients with TP53mut VAF < 50% and complex/5q/7q cytogenetic abnormalities had 2-year PFS of 22%. Patients with TP53mut VAF < 50% and without complex/5q/7q cytogenetics had 2-year PFS of 60%. These data inform clinical practice and help patients decide whether to pursue HSCT.
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In that cohort, 2-year PFS was 3% for patients with VAF ≥ 50%; 22% for VAF < 50% + CK [±5/7 abnormalities]; 60% if VAF < 50% and absence of CK.
“(3% for patients with VAF ≥ 50%; 22% for VAF < 50% + CK [±5/7 abnormalities]; 60% if VAF < 50% and absence of CK).”
From Long‐term follow‐up and combined Phase 2 results of eprenetapopt and azacitidine in patients with <i>TP53</i> mutant MDS/AML (2025) · cites this paper as [45]
The Results (HSCT outcomes) report the stated 2-year PFS values of 3%, 22%, and 60%. The cytogenetic groups are less accurately described: the 22% group had complex cytogenetics OR 5q/7q abnormalities, while the 60% group had neither complex cytogenetics NOR 5q/7q abnormalities. Absence of complex karyotype alone does not define the 60% group. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA recent large cohort of 240 patients identified cytogenetic complexity and VAF as the strongest predictive factors of 2-year PFS.
“a recent large cohort of 240 patients identified both cytogenetic complexity and VAF to be the strongest predictive factors of 2‐year PFS”
From Long‐term follow‐up and combined Phase 2 results of eprenetapopt and azacitidine in patients with <i>TP53</i> mutant MDS/AML (2025) · cites this paper as [45]
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“45 MRD is a good surrogate marker for OS as recently shown in a prospective frontline HR ‐ MDS study.”
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- Authors
- Lontos, K., Saliba, R. M., Kanagal-Shamanna, R., Özcan, G., Ramdial, J., Chen, G., Kadia, T., Short, N. J., Daver, N. G., Kantarjian, H., Marin, D., Kebriaei, P., Popat, U., Champlin, R., Shpall, E., & Oran, B.
- Affiliations
- The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
- 2Department of Hematopathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX
- 3Department of Hematology Oncology, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
- Corresponding author
- Oran, Betül
- ORCID
- Venue
- Blood Advances
- Publisher
- American Society of Hematology
- Published
- 2025-06-10
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2845-2854
- ISSN
- 2473-9529 (ISSN-L)
- 2473-9537
- PMC
- PMC12198588
- OpenAlex
- W4406798090
- Cited by
- 35
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 20 · 2025: 15
- FWCI
- 25.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc-nd
- Locations
- Blood Advances (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hematology › Acute Myeloid Leukemia Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hematology › Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hematology › Chronic Myeloid Leukemia Treatments
- Keywords
- TP53 mutation, variant allele frequency, myelodysplastic syndrome, acute myeloid leukemia, hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, prognostic factors, cytogenetics, 5q deletion, 7q deletion, monosomy 7, matched related donor, progression-free survival, classification and regression trees
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Female, Gene Frequency, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Mutation, Myelodysplastic Syndromes, Prognosis, Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute, Tumor Suppressor Protein p53, Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Young Adult
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