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Risk factors for all-cause hospital readmission following exacerbation of COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Readmission rates following hospitalisation for COPD exacerbations are unacceptably high, and the contributing factors are poorly understood. Our objective was to summarise and evaluate the factors associated with 30- and 90-day all-cause readmission following hospitalisation for an exacerbation of COPD. METHODS: We systematically searched electronic databases from inception to 5 November 2019. Data were extracted by two independent authors in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We synthesised a narrative from eligible studies and conducted a meta-analysis where this was possible using a random-effects model. RESULTS: In total, 3533 abstracts were screened and 208 full-text manuscripts were reviewed. A total of 32 papers met the inclusion criteria, and 14 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The readmission rate ranged from 8.8-26.0% at 30 days and from 17.5-39.0% at 90 days. Our narrative synthesis showed that comorbidities, previous exacerbations and hospitalisations, and increased length of initial hospital stay were the major risk factors for readmission at 30 and 90 days. Pooled adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) revealed that heart failure (1.29 (1.22-1.37)), renal failure (1.26 (1.19-1.33)), depression (1.19 (1.05-1.34)) and alcohol use (1.11 (1.07-1.16)) were all associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause readmission, whereas being female was a protective factor (0.91 (0.88-0.94)). CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities, previous exacerbations and hospitalisation, and increased length of stay were significant risk factors for 30- and 90-day all-cause readmission after an index hospitalisation with an exacerbation of COPD.
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“the 90-day readmission rate estimated for the UAE (35.9%) falls in the upper range of the published readmission rates [16,23].”
From Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in the Gulf Cooperation Council: Acute-Care Utilization and Medication Adherence: A PRISMA-ScR Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as [23]
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“These findings are consistent with the international COPD literature demonstrating that multimorbidity and greater disease severity are associated with an increased risk of hospital readmission following COPD exacerbation [23].”
From Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in the Gulf Cooperation Council: Acute-Care Utilization and Medication Adherence: A PRISMA-ScR Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as [23]
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“In other studies, the rate of 30-day readmissions was between 8.8% and 26.0%, whereas the rate of 90-day readmissions was between 17.5% and 39.0% [23].”
From Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in the Gulf Cooperation Council: Acute-Care Utilization and Medication Adherence: A PRISMA-ScR Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as [23]
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A systematic review and meta-analysis of heart rate variability in COPD
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“Recent study reported comorbidities (heart failure, renal failure, depression, and alcohol use), previous exacerbation and hospitalization, and longer duration of admission were associated with risk factors for readmission.(38) Although one study showed frequency of AECOPD is related to the frequency of the common col…”
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Fate or coincidence: do COPD and major depression share genetic risk factors?
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Finn, A., Tanzer, J. R., Jindal, A., Selvaraj, V., Collins, B., & Dapaah-Afriyie, K. (2022) · Southern Medical Journal · doi:10.14423/smj.0000000000001472 · Cited by 8
“Comorbid conditions also have strong associations with readmission in other conditions requiring hospitalization, including influenza, congestive heart failure, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.(14,24,25) Our analysis is broadly consistent with findings from other reports that underlying pulmonary and cardiac…”
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“Typically, only one diagnosis is considered in review articles (e.g., heart failure (Mahajan et al., 2018), kidney injury (Zhao & Chen, 2020), liver resection (Zhao et al., 2017) and COPD (Alqahtani et al., 2020)).”
BackgroundThe Association with COPD Readmission Rate and Access to Medical Institutions in Elderly Patients
Kim, T. W., Choi, E. S., Kim, W. J., & Jo, H. S. (2021) · International Journal of COPD · doi:10.2147/copd.s302631 · Cited by 8
Xu, T., Sun, W., Zhao, H., Wang, X., Yuan, Q., Zhang, X., Mao, S., Zhang, X., Zhao, M., Sheng, Z., et al. (2022) · International Journal of COPD · doi:10.2147/copd.s376909 · Cited by 7
“Furthermore, studies mostly focused on short-term readmission such as 30 days or 90 days after discharge.(11,12) Several studies have explored rates and risk factors related to readmission within 12 months, most were retrospective studies.”
BackgroundBhutani, M., Müllerová, H., Patel, D., Barjaktarević, I., Loke, W. J., Pollack, M. F., Roberts, M. H., Tamondong-Lachica, D. R., Tang, F., & Celli, B. R. (2025) · Respiratory Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.rmed.2025.108337 · Cited by 7
COPD and Depression Analysis in Regard to Obstructive Pulmonary Levels
Jelić, I., Mihajlović, G., Mihajlović, F., Minić, N., Ratinac, M., & Pantović-Stefanović, M. (2023) · Healthcare · doi:10.3390/healthcare11081175 · Cited by 7
“Our study included patients below 50 years, correlating with [4] and [19].”
BackgroundRecent functional decline and outpatient follow-up after hospital discharge: a cohort study
Bogler, O., Kirkwood, D. H., Austin, P. C., Jones, A., Sinn, C. J., Okrainec, K., Costa, A. P., & Lapointe‐Shaw, L. (2023) · BMC Geriatrics · doi:10.1186/s12877-023-04192-7 · Cited by 7
“The evidence supporting the benefit of early physician follow-up for preventing read-missions is strongest for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and congestive heart failure (CHF), where rates of readmission post-hospital-ization are high [20, 24–30].”
BackgroundKee, Y. S., Wong, C. K., Aziz, M. A. A., Zakaria, M. I., Shaarif, F. M., Ng, K. S., Liam, C. K., Pang, Y. K., & Khoo, E. M. (2023) · International Journal of COPD · doi:10.2147/copd.s429108 · Cited by 7
“…findings showed a higher baseline mMRC grading is statistically associated with 30-day readmission, but it was not significant in Alqahtani et al. 22 The reason behind was Alqahtani et al looked at the patients’ mMRC grading on admission and before discharge, which usually will be higher as…”
BackgroundNew insights into the pathophysiology and epidemiology of COPD exacerbations
Finney, L., MacLeod, M. A., & Wedzicha, J. A. (2024) · European Respiratory Society eBooks · doi:10.1183/2312508x.10007923 · Cited by 7
Al-Moamary, M. S., Köktürk, N., Idrees, M. M., Şen, E., Juvelekian, G. S., Saleh, W. A., Zoumot, Z., Behbehani, N., Hatem, A., Masoud, H. H., et al. (2021) · Respiratory Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.rmed.2021.106641 · Cited by 7
The Role of Early Warning Scoring Systems NEWS and MEWS in the Acute Exacerbation of COPD
Triantafyllidou, C., Effraimidis, P., Vougas, K. N., Agholme, J., Schimanke, M., & Cederquist, K. (2023) · Clinical Medicine Insights Circulatory Respiratory and Pulmonary Medicine · doi:10.1177/11795484231152305 · Cited by 7
“A systematic review and meta-analysis investigating the all-cause hospital readmission following hospitalization for exacerbation AECOPD identified co-morbidities, previous exacerbations and increased length of stay as major risk factors for both 30- and 90-day all-cause readmission.(43) In a recent study on prognosti…”
BackgroundKarloh, M., Gavenda, S. G., de Araujo, J. E., Alexandre, H. F., Silva, I. J. C. S., Gulart, A. A., Munari, A. B., Vlachopoulos, S. P., Matias, T. S., & Mayer, A. F. (2023) · Chronic Respiratory Disease · doi:10.1177/14799731231183445 · Cited by 7
“15,46 Besides, the BPNES scores in each assessment con fi rm the agreement and stability of the measurements.”
BackgroundHuebner, S. T., Henny, S., Giezendanner, S., Brack, T., Brutsche, M. H., Chhajed, P. N., Clarenbach, C. F., Dieterle, T., Egli, A., Frey, M., et al. (2021) · Respiration · doi:10.1159/000520196 · Cited by 7
Moger, T. A., Holte, J. H., Amundsen, O., Haavaag, S. B., Edvardsen, A., Bragstad, L. K., Hellesø, R., Tjerbo, T., & Vøllestad, N. K. (2024) · BMC Health Services Research · doi:10.1186/s12913-024-10975-4 · Cited by 6
“Previous analyses of readmissions [13, 17, 30, 31] have lacked the inclusion of variables related to out-patient healthcare use.”
Wang, Y., He, R., Ren, X., Huang, K., Lei, J., Niu, H., Li, W., Dong, F., Li, B., Yang, T., et al. (2024) · BMJ Open Respiratory Research · doi:10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001881 · Cited by 6
MacDonell, R., Woods, O., Whelan, S., Cushen, B., Carroll, Á. M., Brennan, J., Kelly, E. M., Bolger, K., McNamara, N., Lanigan, A., et al. (2020) · BMJ Open Respiratory Research · doi:10.1136/bmjresp-2020-000733 · Cited by 6
Yılmaz, C., Özkan, S., & Erer, O. F. (2021) · Tuberkuloz ve Toraks · doi:10.5578/tt.20219705 · Cited by 6
“Some studies have also found patients with the shortest LOS were at higher risk than those who stayed slightly longer (6,14).”
InfluentialLevack, W., Weatherall, M., McNaughton, H., McNaughton, A., Hobman, A., Jones, B. H., Ingham, T. R., & Fingleton, J. (2023) · International Journal of COPD · doi:10.2147/copd.s393644 · Cited by 6
Ren, X., Wang, Y., He, R., Dong, F., Liu, D.-Y., Yang, T., & Wang, C. (2023) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-071560 · Cited by 7
Sleep Apnea, Obesity, and Readmissions: Real Risks or Residual Confounding?
Donovan, L. M., & Au, D. H. (2022) · Annals of the American Thoracic Society · doi:10.1513/annalsats.202111-1304ed · Cited by 6
Alpaydın, A. Ö., Ermiş, S. S. Ö., Şahan, C., Tertemiz, K. C., & Russell, R. E. K. (2021) · Turkish Thoracic Journal · doi:10.5152/turkthoracj.2021.0189 · Cited by 5
Fox, M. T., Sidani, S., Zaheer, S., & Butler, J. I. (2022) · Worldviews on Evidence-Based Nursing · doi:10.1111/wvn.12599 · Cited by 6
Forstner, J., Koetsenruijter, J., Arnold, C., Laux, G., & Wensing, M. (2022) · Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Diseases Journal of the COPD Foundation · doi:10.15326/jcopdf.2022.0359 · Cited by 5
Suárez‐González, P., Suárez‐Elosegui, A., Arias‐Fernández, L., Regueiro, I. P., Jimeno-Demuth, F. J., & Lana, A. (2024) · Nursing Open · doi:10.1002/nop2.2182 · Cited by 5
“(Alqahtani et al., 2020; Press et al., 2021; Ruan et al., 2023).”
Alqahtani, J. S., Rajeh, A. M. A., Aldhahir, A. M., Aldabayan, Y. S., Hurst, J. R., & Mandal, S. (2021) · ERJ Open Research · doi:10.1183/23120541.00448-2021 · Cited by 5
Frequency of emergency medical service contacts after hospital admissions
Sigvardt, E., Olsen, M. H., Folke, F., Aasvang, E. K., & Meyhoff, C. S. (2025) · Internal and Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1007/s11739-024-03852-9 · Cited by 4
“Nationwide attention is given to COPD among the medical diseases, as these have readmission rates between 9 and 26% within 30 days [16].”
Inflammatory Response in Exacerbations of COPD: Clinical and Predictive Roles of C-Reactive Protein
Sartori, G., Fantin, A., Sartori, F., & Crisafulli, E. (2026) · Seminars in Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1055/a-2818-1526 · Cited by 4
Sang, B., Wen, H., Junek, G. V., Neveu, W. A., Francesco, L. D., Romberg, J., & Ayazi, F. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-93011-7 · Cited by 5
Visconti-Lopez, F. J., Hernández‐Vásquez, A., Solorzano-Salazar, D. M., & Azañedo, D. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0274697 · Cited by 4
Fox, M. T., & Butler, J. I. (2023) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076149 · Cited by 4
“2 Furthermore, although patients play a key role in communicating warning signs to healthcare professionals, older patients tend to have atypical illness presentations, which may manifest as reduced cognition 26 and undermine their ability to do so independently.”
BackgroundHospital Readmission Due to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Longitudinal Study
Njoku, C. M., Wimmer, B. C., Peterson, G. M., Kinsman, L., & Bereznicki, B. J. (2022) · International Journal of Health Policy and Management · doi:10.34172/ijhpm.2022.5770 · Cited by 4
Fox, M. T., Butler, J. I., Sidani, S., & Nguyen, A. M. (2022) · BMC Health Services Research · doi:10.1186/s12913-022-08289-4 · Cited by 4
“Rural communities also typically have higher proportions of older people and people with multiple chronic conditions [10], which are risk factors for physical inactivity [11] and hospital readmission [2].”
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Preventing readmissions of COPD patients: more prospective studies are needed
Núñez, A., & Miravitlles, M. (2020) · European Respiratory Review · doi:10.1183/16000617.0097-2020 · Cited by 4
Konstantinoudis, G., Minelli, C., Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Ballester, J., Gasparrini, A., & Blangiardo, M. (2021) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2021.10.19.21265213 · Cited by 4
Zhang, C., Ling, W., He, P., Tan, H., & He, L. (2025) · European journal of medical research · doi:10.1186/s40001-025-03042-z · Cited by 3
“LOHS may signal the severity of the index exacerbation or unresolved comorbidities, both of which increase the risk of early relapse [36].”
Duong, M., Qian, C. J., Talukdar, M., Kayaniyil, S., Karissa, J., Nordon, C., & Penz, E. D. (2025) · BMJ Open Respiratory Research · doi:10.1136/bmjresp-2024-002976 · Cited by 3
Predicting outcomes after hospitalisation for COPD exacerbation using machine learning
Wu, C., Hsu, C., Wang, C. I., Chien, J., Wang, C., & Lin, F. (2024) · ERJ Open Research · doi:10.1183/23120541.00651-2024 · Cited by 3
“…precipitate accelerated declines in lung function, decreased quality of life and increased mortality. regression to explore a variety of patient, provider and system-related factors, yet these studies often show only moderate predictive performance and lack comprehensive validation [9, 10, 13, 14].”
Readmission rates within the first 30 and 90 days after severe COPD exacerbations (RACE study)
Baydar, O., Polatlı, M., Baha, A., Köktürk, N., Yapar, D., Ozkan, S., Şen, E., Çiftçi, F., Ozturk, B., Cengiz, S. K., et al. (2024) · Medicine · doi:10.1097/md.0000000000040483 · Cited by 3
Ruan, H., Lei, S., Zhao, H., Zhang, H., Zhou, X., & Li, J. (2025) · Therapeutic Advances in Respiratory Disease · doi:10.1177/17534666251348393 · Cited by 3
“57 A bidirectional association between depression and COPD has been reported in previous studies, whether this association is causal remains to be further clarified.”
Pulmonary rehabilitation and exacerbations of COPD
Man, W. D., & Jones, A. W. (2021) · European Respiratory Society eBooks · doi:10.1183/2312508x.10018320 · Cited by 3
The Impact of Re-Admissions in COPD
Alqahtani, J. S., Mandal, S., & Hurst, J. R. (2021) · Archivos de Bronconeumología · doi:10.1016/j.arbres.2021.06.006 · Cited by 3
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Metadata
- Authors
- Alqahtani, J. S., Njoku, C. M., Bereznicki, B., Wimmer, B. C., Peterson, G. M., Kinsman, L., Aldabayan, Y. S., Alrajeh, A. M., Aldhahir, A. M., Mandal, S., & Hurst, J. R.
- Affiliations
- Prince Sultan Military College of Health Sciences (SA)
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- University of Newcastle Australia (AU)
- University College London (GB)
- Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Alqahtani, Jaber S.
- ORCID
- Venue
- European Respiratory Review
- Publisher
- European Respiratory Society (ERS)
- Published
- 2020-06-03
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 156
- Pages
- 190166
- ISSN
- 0905-9180 (ISSN-L)
- 1600-0617
- PMC
- PMC9488450
- OpenAlex
- W3033975634
- Cited by
- 149
- References
- 57
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 34 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 7
- FWCI
- 3.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- European Respiratory Review (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UTAS Research Repository (acceptedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- NOVA (University of Newcastle Australia) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Asthma and respiratory diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Cystic Fibrosis Research Advances
- Keywords
- COPD exacerbations, hospital readmission, all-cause readmission, risk factors, comorbidities, heart failure, renal failure, depression, alcohol consumption, length of hospital stay, sex differences
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Humans, Length of Stay, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Readmission, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Comorbidity, Disease Progression, Risk Assessment, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
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