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Burden, risk factors and maternal and offspring outcomes of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA): a systematic review and meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
Background: The burden, determinants and outcomes of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in sub-Saharan Africa are not known. We summarized existing evidence on the prevalence, risk factors and complications of GDM in the region. Methods: PubMed was searched from inception to January 31st 2019. Studies were included if carried out in any of the sub-Saharan Africa countries and were available as abstracts or full texts. Interventional studies and those only including qualitative data were excluded. We employed random effects modelling to estimate the pooled GDM prevalence and risk ratios (RRs) for risk factors and outcomes of GDM and their 95%CI. Results: 283 papers were identified in the initial search, 33 of which met the inclusion criteria. Data on GDM burden suggest a pooled prevalence of 9% (95%CI, 7–12%). Family history of type 2 diabetes and previous history of GDM, macrosomia, stillbirth and abortion were important risk factors of GDM. In addition, being overweight or obese, over 25 years of age or hypertensive increased the risk of GDM. In terms of complications, GDM more than doubles the risk macrosomia (RR; 95%CI: 2.2; 1.1–4.4). Conclusions: There is a high burden of gestational diabetes mellitus in sub-Saharan Africa, but more studies are needed to document locally important risk factors as well as maternal and offspring outcomes. Interventions to reduce obesity among older African women might lead to reduced risk of GDM in sub-Saharan Africa.
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“Even after changing the criteria for a GDM diagnosis in the WHO/IADPSG 2013, the overall prevalence of GDM is still unknown.”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“Several studies concerning GDM in Africa were performed to try to fill in the gap regarding GDM prevalence, risk factors, outcomes and management, but the majority of them focused on specific populations [30,31,32].”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“According to Natamba et al.’s systematic review, the incidence of GDM was assessed at 3% before 2010 and approximately 13% between 2010 and 2018”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
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“This is connected with urbanization, changing lifestyles, and newer and more common GDM screening methods [30,31].”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“Additionally, an age greater than 25 years, overweight, or obesity, and mutliparity also increased the risk of GDM, but primiparity decreased this risk.”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“According to Natamba et al. the most important risk factors for GDM in subSaharan Africa were: GDM, stillbirth, abortion, macrosomia in previous pregnancies, family history of T2DM and hypertension.”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“On the African continent, a few ways diagnosing GDM diagnosis have still exist. The WHO 1985, WHO 1999, WHO 2006, CC criteria, ADA 2003/2004, WHO/IADPSG 2013 or individual protocols are taken into account [30,31].”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“Other parameters (e.g., HIV infection) were not statistically significant [30].”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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“but if the IADPSG criteria were used the prevalence was approximately 16% in sub-Saharan Africa [30].”
From Evolution of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus across Continents in 21st Century (2022) · cites this paper as [30]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Natamba, B. K., Namara, A. A., & Nyirenda, M. J.
- Affiliations
- MRC/UVRI & LSHTM Uganda Research Unit (UG)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Natamba, Barnabas Kahiira
- Venue
- BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
- Published
- 2019-11-28
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 450-450
- ISSN
- 1471-2393 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6883645
- OpenAlex
- W2990004610
- Cited by
- 100
- References
- 71
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 6
- FWCI
- 1.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Obstetrics and Gynecology › Gestational Diabetes Research and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Maternal and Neonatal Healthcare
- Keywords
- gestational diabetes mellitus, sub-Saharan Africa, prevalence, risk factors, macrosomia, stillbirth, abortion, maternal outcomes, offspring outcomes, family history of type 2 diabetes, maternal obesity, maternal age, hypertension in pregnancy, maternal overweight
- MeSH terms
- Abortion, Spontaneous, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Family Health, Female, Fetal Macrosomia, Humans, Hypertension, Obesity, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Outcome, Risk Factors, Prevalence, Diabetes, Gestational, Africa South of the Sahara, Stillbirth
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