Cited by 24Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology ResearchCancer Genomics and DiagnosticsBreast Cancer Treatment Studies

A novel tp53-associated nomogram to predict the overall survival in patients with pancreatic cancer

Open access
Liu, Xun, Chen, Bobo, Chen, Jiahui, Sun, Shaolong·2021·BMC Cancer

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Gene mutations play critical roles in tumorigenesis and cancer development. Our study aimed to screen survival-related mutations and explore a novel gene signature to predict the overall survival in pancreatic cancer. METHODS: Somatic mutation data from three cohorts were used to identify the common survival-related gene mutation with Kaplan-Meier curves. RNA-sequencing data were used to explore the signature for survival prediction. First, Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis was conducted to identify candidate genes. Then, the ICGC-PACA-CA cohort was applied as the training set and the TCGA-PAAD cohort was used as the external validation set. A TP53-associated signature calculating the risk score of every patient was developed with univariate Cox, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and stepwise regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier and receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to verify the accuracy. The independence of the signature was confirmed by the multivariate Cox regression analysis. Finally, a prognostic nomogram including 359 patients was constructed based on the combined expression data and the risk scores. RESULTS: TP53 mutation was screened to be the robust and survival-related mutation type, and was associated with immune cell infiltration. Two thousand, four hundred fifty-five genes included in the six modules generated in the WGCNA were screened as candidate survival related TP53-associated genes. A seven-gene signature was constructed: Risk score = (0.1254 × ERRFI1) - (0.1365 × IL6R) - (0.4400 × PPP1R10) - (0.3397 × PTOV1-AS2) + (0.1544 × SCEL) - (0.4412 × SSX2IP) - (0.2231 × TXNL4A). Area Under Curves of 1-, 3-, and 5-year ROC curves were 0.731, 0.808, and 0.873 in the training set and 0.703, 0.677, and 0.737 in the validation set. A prognostic nomogram including 359 patients was constructed and well-calibrated, with the Area Under Curves of 1-, 3-, and 5-year ROC curves as 0.713, 0.753, and 0.823. CONCLUSIONS: The TP53-associated signature exhibited good prognostic efficacy in predicting the overall survival of PC patients.

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  • The TP53 mutational status-based genomic signature is a critical factor for disease prognosis and therapeutic responses.

    “The TP53 mutational status-based genomic signature emerges as a critical factor for disease prognosis and therapeutic responses.”

    From Significance of TP53, CDKN2A, SMAD4 and KRAS in Pancreatic Cancer (2024) · cites this paper as [23]

    The Results report that TP53-mutated patients had significantly worse overall survival in three pancreatic cancer cohorts, and the Discussion describes a seven-gene TP53-related signature for prognosis prediction. The cited passages do not establish that the signature predicts therapeutic responses. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • The TP53 mutational status-based genomic signature has independent predictive value for overall survival and good prognostic estimate in pancreatic cancer patients.

    “Studies demonstrate its independent predictive value for overall survival and good prognostic estimate in pancreatic cancer patients.”
  • The accuracy of the TP53 genomic signature is underscored by its association with the immunophenotype of PDAC.

    “The accuracy of this genomic signature is underscored by its association with the immunophenotype of PDAC [21,22,23].”

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Liu, X., Chen, B., Chen, J., & Sun, S.
Affiliations
Sheng Jing Hospital (CN)
Corresponding author
Sun, Shaolong
Venue
BMC Cancer
Published
2021-03-31
Volume
21
Issue
1
Pages
335-335
ISSN
1471-2407 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3152072428
Cited by
24
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 4
FWCI
1.64
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • BMC Cancer (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cancer Research › Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cancer Research › Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
Keywords
pancreatic cancer, TP53 mutation, prognostic gene signature, nomogram, overall survival prediction, risk score, immune cell infiltration, gene co-expression network, ERRFI1, IL-6 receptor, somatic mutations, prognostic factors, risk stratification
MeSH terms
Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Mutation, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Prognosis, Cohort Studies, Survival Analysis, Tumor Suppressor Protein p53, Sequence Analysis, RNA, Nomograms

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