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Amplified effect of social vulnerability on health inequality regarding COVID-19 mortality in the USA: the mediating role of vaccination allocation
Open accessAbstract
Background: Vaccination reduces the overall burden of COVID-19, while its allocation procedure may introduce additional health inequality, since populations characterized with certain social vulnerabilities have received less vaccination and been affected more by COVID-19. We used structural equation modeling to quantitatively evaluate the extent to which vaccination disparity would amplify health inequality, where it functioned as a mediator in the effect pathways from social vulnerabilities to COVID-19 mortality. Methods: We used USA nationwide county (n = 3112, 99% of the total) level data during 2021 in an ecological study design. Theme-specific rankings of social vulnerability index published by CDC (latest data of 2018, including socioeconomic status, household composition & disability, minority status & language, and housing type & transportation) were the exposure variables. Vaccination coverage rate (VCR) during 2021 published by CDC was the mediator variable, while COVID-19 case fatality rate (CFR) during 2021 published by John Hopkinson University, the outcome variable. Results: Greater vulnerabilities in socioeconomic status, household composition & disability, and minority status & language were inversely associated with VCR, together explaining 11.3% of the variance of VCR. Greater vulnerabilities in socioeconomic status and household composition & disability were positively associated with CFR, while VCR was inversely associated with CFR, together explaining 10.4% of the variance of CFR. Our mediation analysis, based on the mid-year data (30 th June 2021), found that 37.6% (mediation/total effect, 0.0014/0.0037), 10% (0.0003/0.0030) and 100% (0.0005/0.0005) of the effects in the pathways involving socioeconomic status, household composition & disability and minority status & language, respectively, were mediated by VCR. As a whole, the mediation effect significantly counted for 30.6% of COVID-19 CFR disparity. Such a mediation effect was seen throughout 2021, with proportions ranging from 12 to 32%. Conclusions: Allocation of COVID-19 vaccination in the USA during 2021 led to additional inequality with respect to COVID-19 mortality. Viable public health interventions should be taken to guarantee an equitable deployment of healthcare recourses across different population groups.
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“However, these studies were limited by their ecological design(10,11) and/or inability to account for potential confounders including comorbidities(9,11).”
From Social inequalities in COVID-19 death by area-level income in 11.2 million people in Ontario, Canada: patterns over time and the mediating role of vaccination. (2026) · cites this paper as [10]
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“Data are emerging to suggest social inequalities in COVID-19 deaths might have persisted into later pandemic waves in the UK(9), the US(10) and Canada(11).”
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“An ecological study in the US found that social inequalities in vaccination coverage between regions contributed to social inequalities in COVID-19 case fatality between regions(10)”
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Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine
Polack, F. P., Thomas, S. J., Kitchin, N., Absalon, J., Gurtman, A., Lockhart, S., Perez, J. L., Pérez Marc, G., Moreira, E. D., Zerbini, C., et al. (2020) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2034577 · Cited by 14,592
Efficacy and Safety of the mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine
Baden, L. R., El Sahly, H. M., Essink, B., Kotloff, K., Frey, S., Novak, R., Diemert, D., Spector, S. A., Rouphael, N., Creech, C. B., et al. (2021) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2035389 · Cited by 10,119
Changing the narrative: structural barriers and racial and ethnic inequities in COVID-19 vaccination
Njoku, A., Joseph, M., & Felix, R. (2021) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph18189904 · Cited by 164
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Wang, L., Swayze, S., Bodner, K., Calzavara, A., Harrigan, S. P., Siddiqi, A., Baral, S. D., Austin, P. C., Smylie, J., Koh, M., et al. (2026) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwaf051 · Cited by 5
Metadata
- Authors
- Chen, Y., Zhang, L., Li, T., & Li, L.
- Affiliations
- Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Chen, Ying
- Venue
- BMC Public Health
- Published
- 2022-11-19
- Volume
- 22
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 2131-2131
- ISSN
- 1471-2458 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9675971
- OpenAlex
- W4309562637
- Cited by
- 18
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 6
- FWCI
- 2.50
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMC Public Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Health › Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Keywords
- health disparities, social vulnerability, COVID-19 mortality, case fatality rate, vaccination coverage, socioeconomic status, minority status, health equity, mediation analysis
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, COVID-19 Vaccines, Social Vulnerability, Humans, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Vaccination, Health Status Disparities
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