Cited by 3HIV, Drug Use, Sexual RiskHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of LifeHIV/AIDS Research and Interventions

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 64 of the 64 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 1 of the 59 sources its claims cite were checked for support.

Economic evaluation of the effect of needle and syringe programs on skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections in people who inject drugs: a microsimulation modelling approach

Open access
Lim, Jihoon, Russell, W. Alton, El-Sheikh, Mariam, Buckeridge, David L., Panagiotoglou, Dimitra·2024·Harm Reduction Journal

Abstract

Background: Needle and syringe programs (NSP) are effective harm-reduction strategies against HIV and hepatitis C. Although skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections (SSTVI) are the most common morbidities in people who inject drugs (PWID), the extent to which NSP are clinically and cost-effective in relation to SSTVI in PWID remains unclear. The objective of this study was to model the clinical- and cost-effectiveness of NSP with respect to treatment of SSTVI in PWID. Methods: We performed a model-based, economic evaluation comparing a scenario with NSP to a scenario without NSP. We developed a microsimulation model to generate two cohorts of 100,000 individuals corresponding to each NSP scenario and estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) and cost (in 2022 Canadian dollars) over a 5-year time horizon (1.5% per annum for costs and outcomes). To assess the clinical effectiveness of NSP, we conducted survival analysis that accounted for the recurrent use of health care services for treating SSTVI and SSTVI mortality in the presence of competing risks. Results: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio associated with NSP was $70,278 per QALY, with incremental cost and QALY gains corresponding to $1207 and 0.017 QALY, respectively. Under the scenario with NSP, there were 788 fewer SSTVI deaths per 100,000 PWID, corresponding to 24% lower relative hazard of mortality from SSTVI (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.72–0.80). Health service utilization over the 5-year period remained lower under the scenario with NSP (outpatient: 66,511 vs. 86,879; emergency department: 9920 vs. 12,922; inpatient: 4282 vs. 5596). Relatedly, having NSP was associated with a modest reduction in the relative hazard of recurrent outpatient visits (HR = 0.96; 95% CI = 0.95–0.97) for purulent SSTVI as well as outpatient (HR = 0.88; 95% CI = 0.87–0.88) and emergency department visits (HR = 0.98; 95% CI = 0.97–0.99) for non-purulent SSTVI. Conclusions: Both the individuals and the healthcare system benefit from NSP through lower risk of SSTVI mortality and prevention of recurrent outpatient and emergency department visits to treat SSTVI. The microsimulation framework provides insights into clinical and economic implications of NSP, which can serve as valuable evidence that can aid decision-making in expansion of NSP services.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This microsimulation economic evaluation found that needle and syringe programs (NSP) reduced skin, soft tissue, and vascular infection (SSTVI) mortality and recurrent health service use among people who inject drugs in Quebec, but at an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $70,278 per QALY. The authors conclude NSP provide clinical and economic benefits for SSTVI beyond HIV/HCV prevention.

Key findings

  • NSP was associated with 788 fewer SSTVI deaths per 100,000 PWID over 5 years (2,572 with NSP vs. 3,360 without NSP), corresponding to a hazard ratio of 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.80).
  • Health service utilization was lower with NSP: outpatient visits 66,511 vs. 86,879; emergency department visits 9,920 vs. 12,922; inpatient visits 4,282 vs. 5,596.
  • Recurrent-event analysis showed modest reductions in outpatient visits for purulent SSTVI (HR 0.96; 95% CI 0.95–0.97) and outpatient (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.87–0.88) and ED visits (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.97–0.99) for non-purulent SSTVI; inpatient recurrent hazards were similar.
  • Base-case cost-utility analysis gave an incremental cost of $1,207 and 0.017 QALY gain, yielding an ICER of $70,278 per QALY; at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $100,000 and $200,000 per QALY, the probability NSP was cost-effective was 65.1% and 90.9%, respectively.

Methods

  • Model-based economic evaluation comparing NSP versus no NSP using a 13-state transition microsimulation model, with two synthetic cohorts of 100,000 Quebec adults aged 18–65, a 5-year time horizon, and 1-week cycles.
  • Parameters were derived from six Quebec administrative health databases (2009–2019), INSPQ surveillance of PWID, and published literature; costs were in 2022 Canadian dollars, discounted at 1.5% per annum.
  • Analyses included cost-utility analysis with ICER, recurrent-event survival analysis using marginal means models, competing-risk survival analysis using Fine-Gray models, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1,000 model runs.

Limitations

  • The paper states that the model may not adequately capture real-world clinical variability because it assumed quality of care and health system performance remained the same for both cohorts over follow-up.
  • The paper states that NSP costs were unavailable for Quebec and were taken from Ontario; fixed and variable NSP cost components could not be separated, and NSP effectiveness estimates came from studies outside Quebec.
  • The paper states uncertainty around interactions among multiple injection risk behaviours, addressed through Bayesian model calibration; the text also makes evident that recurrent-event findings came from a simulated cohort with simplified assumptions, so real-world data may be needed to strengthen the findings.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1186/s12954-024-01037-3

Cites

64 of 64 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Figures

Fig. 1 Model schematic for progression of SSTVI in PWID. Keys: H = healthy; np = non-purulent; p = purulent; OP = outpatient; ED = emergency department; IP = inpatient; IPC = inpatient complications; SSTVI = skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections; Trt = treatment. Note: H and H* indicate the same health state with the same health state utilities. For ease of visualization, we created the H* state in the diagram
Fig. 1 Model schematic for progression of SSTVI in PWID. Keys: H = healthy; np = non-purulent; p = purulent; OP = outpatient; ED = emergency department; IP = inpatient; IPC = inpatient complications; SSTVI = skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections; Trt = treatment. Note: H and H* indicate the same health state with the same health state utilities. For ease of visualization, we created the H* state in the diagramCC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 2 Cumulative incidence function for SSTVI mortality with and without NSP. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)
Fig. 2 Cumulative incidence function for SSTVI mortality with and without NSP. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 3 Cost-effectiveness plane of incremental costs and incremental QALY from probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1,000 iterations of the simulation. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)
Fig. 3 Cost-effectiveness plane of incremental costs and incremental QALY from probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1,000 iterations of the simulation. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)CC BY · PubMed Central
Fig. 4 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve with the probability of cost-effectiveness of NSP by willingness-to-pay thresholds from probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1,000 iterations of the simulation. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)
Fig. 4 Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve with the probability of cost-effectiveness of NSP by willingness-to-pay thresholds from probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1,000 iterations of the simulation. Note: The results in this figure were compiled using data from the © Government of Québec (Research file publication date: 2009–2019; Data use approval date: 20 September 2021)CC BY · PubMed Central

Verification

Claims the paper makes

26 Own result · 17 Own method · 13 Own interpretation · 12 Check pending · 6 No basis given · 3 No full text of the sources · 3 Not checked yet · 2 Sources not found · 1 Partly supported · accuracy not yet measured

Verify all 48 references — free account

Show all 51 claims

  • Probably not a substantial claim. 13
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 20
32 of 32
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Hospitalization longer than 7 days with a record of surgical procedures constituted a complication in inpatient settings.

    “We assumed that hospitalization longer than 7 days with a record of surgical procedures constituted complication in inpatient settings, which we designated as the ‘inpatient complication’ health state.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    PWID identified in administrative databases had initiated injection drug use 6 months before being captured in the data.

    “We assumed that PWID identified in the administrative databases had initiated injection drug use 6 months before being captured in the data.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Each year had 52 weeks.

    “The time horizon for this study was 5 years, and we assumed that each year had 52 weeks”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Quality of care delivered and health system performance remained the same over the course of follow-up for both cohorts.

    “we assumed that the quality of care delivered, and health system performance remained the same over the course of follow-up for both cohorts.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No prior study had evaluated the cost-effectiveness of needle and syringe programs in relation to skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections for people who inject drugs.

    “To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate cost-effectiveness of needle and syringe programs in relation to skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections for people who inject drugs.”
5 of 5

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Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

2 of 2

Citations

Cites

Show all 64 references

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Hankins CA, et al. Le programme d’échange de seringues de CACTUS-Montréal: Description du service et profil comportemental de la clientèle. Revue sexologique. 1993;1:57–75.

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Metadata

Authors
Lim, J., Russell, W. A., El-Sheikh, M., Buckeridge, D. L., & Panagiotoglou, D.
Affiliations
McGill University (CA)
Corresponding author
Panagiotoglou, Dimitra
Venue
Harm Reduction Journal
Published
2024-06-28
Volume
21
Issue
1
Pages
126-126
ISSN
1477-7517 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4400126400
Cited by
3
References
64
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2024: 1
FWCI
0.82
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Harm Reduction Journal (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
Canadian Institutes of Health Research (436351)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
Keywords
needle exchange programs, people who inject drugs, harm reduction, cost-effectiveness, microsimulation model, quality-adjusted life years, emergency department visits, health care utilization, syringe exchange, hepatitis C, Canada, Quebec, British Columbia
MeSH terms
Adult, Canada, Computer Simulation, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Female, Humans, Male, Skin Diseases, Infectious, Vascular Diseases, Substance Abuse, Intravenous, Soft Tissue Infections, Needle-Exchange Programs, Models, Economic, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Harm Reduction

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Economic evaluation of the effect of needle and syringe programs on skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections in people who inject drugs: a microsimulation modelling approach. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1186/s12954-024-01037-3
The paper
Lim, J., Russell, W. A., El-Sheikh, M., Buckeridge, D. L., & Panagiotoglou, D. (2024). Economic evaluation of the effect of needle and syringe programs on skin, soft tissue, and vascular infections in people who inject drugs: a microsimulation modelling approach. Harm Reduction Journal. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12954-024-01037-3