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Cited by 359Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods in Epidemiologyscientometrics and bibliometrics research

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 34 of the 34 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Modeling Publication Selection Effects in Meta-Analysis

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Hedges, Larry V.·1992·Statistical Science
DOI 10.1214/ss/1177011364
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Abstract

Publication selection effects arise in meta-analysis when the effect magnitude estimates are observed in (available from) only a subset of the studies that were actually conducted and the probability that an estimate is observed is related to the size of that estimate. Such selection effects can lead to substantial bias in estimates of effect magnitude. Research on the selection process suggests that much of the selection occurs because researchers, reviewers and editors view the results of studies as more conclusive when they are more highly statistically significant. This suggests a model of the selection process that depends on effect magnitude via the p-value or significance level. A model of the selection process involving a step function relating the p-value to the probability of selection is introduced in the context of a random effects model for meta-analysis. The model permits estimation of a weight function representing selection along the mean and variance of effects. Some ideas for graphical procedures and a test for publication selection are also introduced. The method is then applied to a meta-analysis of test validity studies.

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Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. CHAmPNEY, T. F. (1983). Adjustments for selection: Publication bias in quantitative research synthesis. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, Univ. Chicago.
  2. CoopER, H. M. (1984). The Integrative Research Review. Sage, Beverly Hills.
  3. HeDGEs, L. V. (1984). Estimation of effect size under nonrandom sampling: The effects of censoring studies yielding statistically insignificant mean differences. Journal of Educational Statistics 9 61–85.
  4. MELToN, A. W. (1962). Editorial. Journal of Experimental Psychology 64 553–557.
  5. WHITE, K. R. (1982). The relation between socioeconomic status and achievement. Psychological Bulletin 91 461-481.

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Metadata

Authors
Hedges, L. V.
Corresponding author
Hedges, Larry V.
ORCID
Hedges, Larry V.
Venue
Statistical Science
Publisher
Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Published
1992-05-01
Volume
7
Issue
2
Pages
246-255
ISSN
  • 0883-4237 (ISSN-L)
  • 2168-8745
DOI
10.1214/ss/1177011364
OpenAlex
W2087875612
Cited by
359
References
34
Citations by year
2026: 11 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 39 · 2019: 17 · 2018: 14 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 13 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 11
FWCI
10.09
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Statistical Science (publishedVersion)
  • Project Euclid (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
  • Social Sciences › Library and Information Sciences › scientometrics and bibliometrics research
Keywords
publication bias, meta-analysis, p-values, significance level, selection probability, random effects models, weight functions, test validity, graphical procedure

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