Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach
Open accessAbstract
We provide evidence of the stock market consumption wealth effect by using a local labor market analysis. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, with no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model of geographic heterogeneity in stock wealth, these responses imply an MPC of 3.2 cents per year and that a 20 percent increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7 percent and aggregate hours by at least 0.7 percent two years after the shock. (JEL E21, E24, E52, G12, G51, R22, R23 )
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Student debt forgiveness has a much larger MPC than mortgage balance reductions or stock appreciation.
“Compared to mortgage balance reductions (Agarwal et al., 2017) or stock appreciation (Chodorow-Reich et al., 2021; Di Maggio et al., 2020), student debt forgiveness has a much larger MPC.”
From Student Loan Forgiveness (2025) · cites this paper as Chodorow-Reich et al., 2021
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- Authors
- Chodorow-Reich, G., Nenov, P. T., & Simsek, A.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- BI Norwegian Business School (NO)
- Center for Economic and Policy Research (US)
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2021-05-01
- Volume
- 111
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1613-1657
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2952572411
- Cited by
- 165
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 26 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 28 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 32.19
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.nber.org
- Locations
- American Economic Review (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1455319)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic theories and models
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economic Theory and Policy
- Keywords
- stock market wealth, wealth effects, consumption, local labor markets, marginal propensity to consume, payroll, working hours, stock price shocks, monetary policy
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