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Cited by 1,544

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 53 of the 53 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices

Open access
Barberis, Nicholas, Huang, Ming·2008·American Economic Review

Abstract

We study the asset pricing implications of Tversky and Kahneman's (1992) cumulative prospect theory, with a particular focus on its probability weighting component. Our main result, derived from a novel equilibrium with nonunique global optima, is that, in contrast to the prediction of a standard expected utility model, a security's own skewness can be priced: a positively skewed security can be “overpriced” and can earn a negative average excess return. We argue that our analysis offers a unifying way of thinking about a number of seemingly unrelated financial phenomena. (JEL D81, G11, G12)

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Metadata

Authors
Barberis, N., & Huang, M.
Venue
American Economic Review
Published
2008-11-01
Volume
98
Issue
5
Pages
2066-2100
ISSN
0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3121253679
Cited by
1,544
References
53
FWCI
90.40
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/aer.98.5.2066
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Barberis, N., & Huang, M. (2008). Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices. American Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.5.2066

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.