The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: A Comment
Open accessAbstract
Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, and Ernest Sergenti (2004), henceforth MSS, argue that lower rainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflict risk in sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on their finding of a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall growth between t — 1 and t — 2. I show that this finding is driven by a (counterintuitive) positive correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t — 2. If lower rainfall levels or negative rainfall shocks increased conflict, MSS's finding should have been due to a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t – 1. In the latest data, conflict is unrelated to rainfall. (JEL D74, E32, O11, O17, O47)
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Cites
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
FEARON, J. D., & LAITIN, D. D. (2003) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055403000534 · Cited by 7,366
Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset
GLEDITSCH, N. P., WALLENSTEEN, P., ERIKSSON, M., SOLLENBERG, M., & STRAND, H. (2002) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343302039005007 · Cited by 3,846
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., & Sergenti, E. (2004) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/421174 · Cited by 2,460
Climate not to blame for African civil wars
Buhaug, H. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1005739107 · Cited by 429
Chassang, S., & Miquel, G. P. I. (2009) · Quarterly Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1561/100.00008072 · Cited by 194
Cited by
What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature
Dell, M., Jones, B. F., & Olken, B. A. (2014) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.52.3.740 · Cited by 2,300
Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict
Hsiang, S. M., Burke, M., & Miguel, E. (2013) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1235367 · Cited by 1,827
Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M., & Miguel, E. (2015) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-080614-115430 · Cited by 655
Climate change, rainfall, and social conflict in Africa
Hendrix, C. S., & Salehyan, I. (2012) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343311426165 · Cited by 559
An empirical analysis of land property lawsuits and rainfalls
Chou, L.-C., & Fu, C.-Y. (2016) · SpringerPlus · doi:10.1186/s40064-015-1659-2 · Cited by 558
Metadata
- Authors
- Ciccone, A.
- Venue
- American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2011-10-01
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 215-227
- ISSN
- 1945-7782 (ISSN-L)
- 1945-7790
- OpenAlex
- W2116120759
- Cited by
- 228
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 81.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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