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Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Agriculture
Open accessAbstract
Understanding the potential impacts of climate change on economic outcomes requires knowing how agents might adapt to a changing climate. We exploit large variation in recent temperature and precipitation trends to identify adaptation to climate change in US agriculture, and use this information to generate new estimates of the potential impact of future climate change on agricultural outcomes. Longer run adaptations appear to have mitigated less than half—and more likely none—of the large negative short-run impacts of extreme heat on productivity. Limited recent adaptation implies substantial losses under future climate change in the absence of countervailing investments. (JEL Q11, Q15, Q51, Q54)
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Metadata
- Authors
- Burke, M., & Emerick, K.
- Affiliations
- Stanford University (US)
- Tufts University (US)
- Venue
- American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2016-08-01
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 106-140
- ISSN
- 1945-7731 (ISSN-L)
- 1945-774X
- OpenAlex
- W2208007485
- Cited by
- 922
- References
- 46
- Citations by year
- 2026: 85 · 2025: 106 · 2024: 120 · 2023: 112 · 2022: 107 · 2021: 117 · 2020: 74 · 2019: 52 · 2018: 54 · 2017: 33 · 2016: 23
- FWCI
- 11.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Economic Journal Economic Policy (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Agricultural risk and resilience
- Keywords
- climate change adaptation, agricultural productivity, extreme heat, temperature trends, precipitation trends, climate change impacts on agriculture, United States agriculture
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