The DOI matches its Crossref record; 4 of the 4 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis
Abstract
Exploratory modeling is using computational experiments to assist in reasoning about systems where there is significant uncertainty. While frequently confused with the use of models to consolidate knowledge into a package that is used to predict system behavior, exploratory modeling is a very different kind of use, requiring a different methodology for model development. This paper distinguishes these two broad classes of model use describes some of the approaches used in exploratory modeling, and suggests some technological innovations needed to facilitate it.
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Citations
Cites
The Jackknife, the Bootstrap and Other Resampling Plans
Efron, B. (1982) · Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics eBooks · doi:10.1137/1.9781611970319 · Cited by 8,120
Neural Networks and the Bias/Variance Dilemma
Geman, S., Bienenstock, E., & Doursat, R. (1992) · Neural Computation · doi:10.1162/neco.1992.4.1.1 · Cited by 3,578
A leisurely look at the bootstrap, the jackknife, and cross-validation
Efron, B., & Gong, G. (1983) · The American Statistician · doi:10.1080/00031305.1983.10483087 · Cited by 3,229
A practical Bayesian framework for backpropagation networks
MacKay, D. J. C. (1992) · Neural Computation · doi:10.1162/neco.1992.4.3.448 · Cited by 2,917
Cited by
Defining Uncertainty: A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support
Walker, W. E., Harremoës, P., Rotmans, J., van der Sluijs, J. P., van Asselt, M. B. A., Janssen, P., & Krayer von Krauss, M. P. (2003) · Integrated Assessment · doi:10.1076/iaij.4.1.5.16466 · Cited by 2,067
OR/MS research in disaster operations management
Altay, N., & Green, W. G. (2006) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2005.05.016 · Cited by 1,639
Evaluating the economic impact of water scarcity in a changing world
Dolan, F., Lamontagne, J., Link, R., Hejazi, M., Reed, P., & Edmonds, J. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22194-0 · Cited by 574
Conceptual modelling for simulation Part I: definition and requirements
Robinson, S. (2008) · Journal of the Operational Research Society · doi:10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602368 · Cited by 482
Kwakkel, J. H., Haasnoot, M., & Walker, W. E. (2016) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.09.017 · Cited by 261
Metadata
- Authors
- Bankes, S.
- Venue
- Operations Research
- Published
- 1993-06
- Volume
- 41
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 435-449
- ISSN
- 0030-364X (ISSN-L)
- 1526-5463
- OpenAlex
- W2117690866
- Cited by
- 706
- References
- 4
- FWCI
- 5.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Bankes, S. (1993). Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis. Operations Research. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.3.435
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
