Urban form and extreme heat events: are sprawling cities more vulnerable to climate change than compact cities?
Abstract
Background: Extreme heat events (EHEs) are increasing in frequency in large U.S. cities and are responsible for a greater annual number of climate-related fatalities, on average, than any other form of extreme weather. In addition, low-density, sprawling patterns of urban development have been associated with enhanced surface temperatures in urbanized areas. Objectives: In this study. we examined the association between urban form at the level of the metropolitan region and the frequency of EHEs over a five-decade period. Methods: We employed a widely published sprawl index to measure the association between urban form in 2000 and the mean annual rate of change in EHEs between 1956 and 2005. Results: We found that the rate of increase in the annual number of EHEs between 1956 and 2005 in the most sprawling metropolitan regions was more than double the rate of increase observed in the most compact metropolitan regions. Conclusions: The design and management of land use in metropolitan regions may offer an important tool for adapting to the heat-related health effects associated with ongoing climate change.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The primary causes of the urban heat island are low albedo surfaces, low evapotranspiration rates, and anthropogenic heat production.
“The primary causes of the urban heat island are the prevalence of low albedo surfaces (i.e., the proportion of solar radiation reflected by a surface), low evapotranspiration rates, and anthropogenic heat production (Akbari et al., 1992; Jones et al., 2012; Stone et al., 2010).”
From Review of emerging contaminants in green stormwater infrastructure: antibiotic resistance genes, microplastics, tire wear particles, PFAS, and temperature (2024) · cites this paper as Stone et al., 2010
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe during the summer of 2003
Robine, J.-M., Cheung, S. L. K., Le Roy, S., Van Oyen, H., Griffiths, C., Michel, J.-P., & Herrmann, F. R. (2007) · Comptes Rendus. Biologies · doi:10.1016/j.crvi.2007.12.001 · Cited by 2,127 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 25
- Bernard SM McGeehin MA 2004 Municipal heat wave response plans Am J Public Health 94 9 1520 1522 15333307 PMC1448486
- Bouchama A Dehbi M Mohamed G Matthies F Shoukri M Menne B 2007 Prognostic factors in heat wave related deaths: a meta-analysis Arch Intern Med 167 20 2170 2176 17698676
- CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) 1995 Heat-related illnesses and deaths—United States, 1994–1995 MMWR 44 25 465 468 7783729
- CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) 1999 Heat-related illnesses and deaths—Missouri, 1998, and United States, 1979–1996 MMWR 48 22 469 472 10428101
- CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) 2002a Heat-related deaths—four states, July–August 2001, and United States, 1979–1999 MMWR 51 26 567 570 12139182
- CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) 2002b Heat-related deaths—four states, July–August 2001, and United States, 1979–1999 MMWR 51 26 567 570 12139182
- Clarke JF 1972 Some effects of the urban structure on heat mortality Environ Res 5 1 93 104 5032928
- Ewing R Schieber RA Zegeer CV 2003c Urban sprawl as a risk factor in motor vehicle occupant and pedestrian fatalities Am J Public Health 93 9 1541 1545 12948977 PMC1448007
- Ewing R Schmid T Killingsworth R Zlot A Raudenbush S 2003b Relationship between urban sprawl and physical activity, obesity, and morbidity Am J Health Promot 18 1 47 57 13677962
- Frumkin H Frank L Jackson RJ 2004 Urban Sprawl and Public Health: Designing, Planning, and Building for Healthy Communities Washington, DC Island Press
- Garden FL Jalaludin BB 2009 Impact of urban sprawl on overweight, obesity, and physical activity in Sydney, Australia J Urban Health 86 1 19 30 19052877 PMC2629517
- International Panel on Climate Change Solomon S Qin D Manning M Marquis M Averyt K Tignor MMB 2007 Climate change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Cambridge Cambridge University Press
- Lopez R 2004 Urban sprawl and risk for being overweight or obese Am J Public Health 94 9 1574 1579 15333317 PMC1448496
- Lucy WH 2003 Mortality risk associated with leaving home: recognizing the relevance of the built environment Am J Public Health 93 9 1564 1569 12948981 PMC1448011
- Naughton MP Henderson A Mirabelli MC Kaiser R Wilhelm JL Kieszak SM 2002 Heat-related mortality during a 1999 heat wave in Chicago Am J Prev Med 22 4 221 227 11988377
- Rashad I 2009 Associations of cycling with urban sprawl and the gasoline price Am J Health Promot 24 1 27 36 19750960
- Schlundt D Warren R Miller S 2004 Reducing unintentional injuries on the nation’s highways: a literature review J Health Care Poor Underserved 15 1 76 98 15359976
- Silva HR Phelan PE Golden JS 2010 Modeling effects of urban heat island mitigation strategies on heat-related morbidity: a case study for Phoenix, Arizona, USA Int J Biometeorol 54 1 13 22 19633989
- Squires GD Squires GD 2002 Urban sprawl and the uneven development of metropolitan America Urban Sprawl: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses Washington, DC Urban Institute Press 1 22
- Stone B Jr 2008 Urban sprawl and air quality in large U.S. cities J Environ Manage 86 4 688 698 17368703
- Tan J Zheng Y Tang X Guo C Li L Song G 2010 The urban heat island and its impact on heat waves and human health in Shanghai Int J Biometeorol 54 1 75 84 19727842
- Trowbridge M McDonald NC 2008 Urban sprawl and miles driven daily by teenagers in the United States Am J Prev Med 34 3 202 206 18312807
- Tu J Xia ZG Clarke KC Frei A 2007 Impact of urban sprawl on water quality in eastern Massachusetts, USA Environ Manage 40 2 183 200 17557170
- Whitman S Good G Donoghue ER Benbow N Shou W Mou S 1997 Mortality in Chicago attributed to the July 1995 heat wave Am J Public Health 87 9 1515 1518 9314806 PMC1380980
- Younger M Morrow-Almeida HR Vindigni SM Dannenberg AL 2008 The built environment, climate change, and health: opportunities for co-benefits Am J Prev Med 35 5 517 526 18929978
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Whitmee, S., Haines, A., Beyrer, C., Boltz, F., Capon, A. G., de Souza Dias, B. F., Ezeh, A., Frumkin, H., Gong, P., Head, P., et al. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(15)60901-1 · Cited by 2,998 · see citing works
Self-citationPrinciples and criteria for assessing urban energy resilience: a literature review
Sharifi, A., & Yamagata, Y. (2016) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2016.03.028 · Cited by 592 · see citing works
Sharifi, A. (2021) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141642 · Cited by 465 · see citing works
Global environmental change and noncommunicable disease risks
Frumkin, H., & Haines, A. (2019) · Annual Review of Public Health · doi:10.1146/annurev-publhealth-040218-043706 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
Self-citationMinimization of heatwave morbidity and mortality
Kravchenko, J., Abernethy, A. P., Fawzy, M., & Lyerly, H. K. (2013) · American Journal of Preventive Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.amepre.2012.11.015 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
A systematic review of the health co-benefits of urban climate change adaptation
Sharifi, A., Pathak, M., Joshi, C., & He, B.-J. (2021) · Sustainable Cities and Society · doi:10.1016/j.scs.2021.103190 · Cited by 168 · see citing works
Bodus, B., O'Malley, K., Dieter, G., Gunawardana, C., & McDonald, W. (2024) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167195 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Mapping vulnerability to extreme heat events: Lessons from metropolitan Chicago
Wilson, B., & Chakraborty, A. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Planning and Management · doi:10.1080/09640568.2018.1462475 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Internet of things for environmental sustainability and climate change
Salam, A. (2020) · Internet of things · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-35291-2_2 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Making cities resilient to climate change: identifying “win–win” interventions
Dulal, H. B. (2017) · Local Environment · doi:10.1080/13549839.2016.1168790 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Houghton, A., & Castillo-Salgado, C. (2019) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph16040663 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
- Authors
- Stone, B., Hess, J. J., & Frumkin, H.
- Affiliations
- School of City and Regional Planning, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- National Center for Environmental Health, Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Venue
- Environmental Health Perspectives
- Publisher
- American Chemical Society (ACS)
- Published
- 2010-06-23
- Volume
- 118
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 1425-1428
- ISSN
- 0091-6765
- 1552-9924
- PMC
- PMC2957923
- Cited by
- 508
- References
- 1
- Language
- en
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review