The DOI matches its Crossref record; 39 of the 39 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Expert Status and Performance
Open accessAbstract
Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback.
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Cites
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Kahneman, D. J., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (1982) · Cited by 4,670
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Cited by
A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol
Hemming, V., Burgman, M. A., Hanea, A. M., McBride, M. F., & Wintle, B. C. (2018) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.12857 · Cited by 528
Self-citationTEASIng apart alien species risk assessments: a framework for best practices
Leung, B., Roura‐Pascual, N., Bacher, S., Heikkilä, J., Brotons, L., Burgman, M. A., Dehnen‐Schmutz, K., Essl, F., Hulme, P. E., Richardson, D. M., et al. (2012) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/ele.12003 · Cited by 309
Self-citationExpert perspectives on global biodiversity loss and its drivers and impacts on people
Isbell, F., Balvanera, P., Mori, A. S., He, J., Bullock, J. M., Regmi, G. R., Seabloom, E. W., Ferrier, S., Sala, O. E., Guerrero‐Ramírez, N. R., et al. (2023) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1002/fee.2536 · Cited by 291
Navigating uncertainty in environmental composite indicators
Burgass, M. J., Halpern, B. S., Nicholson, E., & Milner-Gulland, E. J. (2017) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.12.034 · Cited by 176
Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation
Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S. J., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Scherer, L., et al. (2022) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6 · Cited by 41
Metadata
- Authors
- Burgman, M. A., McBride, M., Ashton, R., Speirs-Bridge, A., Flander, L., Wintle, B., Fidler, F., Rumpff, L., & Twardy, C.
- Venue
- PLoS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2011-07-29
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- e22998
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1978548769
- Cited by
- 314
- References
- 39
- FWCI
- 6.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Burgman, M. A., McBride, M., Ashton, R., Speirs-Bridge, A., Flander, L., Wintle, B., Fidler, F., Rumpff, L., & Twardy, C. (2011). Expert Status and Performance. PLoS ONE. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
