Characterisation of 22445 patients attending UK emergency departments with suspected COVID-19 infection: Observational cohort study
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Background: Hospital emergency departments play a crucial role in the initial assessment and management of suspected COVID-19 infection. This needs to be guided by studies of people presenting with suspected COVID-19, including those admitted and discharged, and those who do not ultimately have COVID-19 confirmed. We aimed to characterise patients attending emergency departments with suspected COVID-19, including subgroups based on sex, ethnicity and COVID-19 test results. Methods and findings: We undertook a mixed prospective and retrospective observational cohort study in 70 emergency departments across the United Kingdom (UK). We collected presenting data from 22445 people attending with suspected COVID-19 between 26 March 2020 and 28 May 2020. Outcomes were admission to hospital, COVID-19 result, organ support (respiratory, cardiovascular or renal), and death, by record review at 30 days. Mean age was 58.4 years, 11200 (50.4%) were female and 11034 (49.6%) male. Adults (age >16 years) were acutely unwell (median NEWS2 score of 4), frequently had limited performance status (46.9%) and had high rates of admission (67.1%), COVID-19 positivity (31.2%), organ support (9.8%) and death (15.5%). Children had much lower rates of admission (27.4%), COVID-19 positivity (1.2%), organ support (1.4%) and death (0.3%). Similar numbers of men and women presented to the ED, but men were more likely to be admitted (72.9% v 61.4%), require organ support (12.2% v 7.7%) and die (18.2% v 13.0%). Black or Asian adults tended to be younger than White adults (median age 54, 50 and 67 years), were less likely to have impaired performance status (43.1%, 26.8% and 51.6%), be admitted to hospital (60.8%, 57.3%, 69.6%) or die (11.6%, 11.2%, 16.4%), but were more likely to require organ support (15.9%, 14.3%, 8.9%) or have a positive COVID-19 test (40.8%, 42.1%, 30.0%). Adults admitted with suspected and confirmed COVID-19 had similar age, performance status and comorbidities (except chronic lung disease) to those who did not have COVID-19 confirmed, but were much more likely to need organ support (22.2% v 8.9%) or die (32.1% v 15.5%). Conclusions: Important differences exist between patient groups presenting to the emergency department with suspected COVID-19. Adults and children differ markedly and require different approaches to emergency triage. Admission and adverse outcome rates among adults suggest that policies to avoid unnecessary ED attendance achieved their aim. Subsequent COVID-19 confirmation confers a worse prognosis and greater need for organ support. Registration: ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN56149622, http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN28342533 .
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Children with suspected COVID-19 had very low rates of confirmed COVID-19 or adverse outcome.
“We also only included adults (age ≥ 16 years) because previous analysis15 showed that children with suspected COVID-19 had very low rates of confirmed COVID-19 or adverse outcome.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 in China
Guan, W.-J., Ni, Z.-Y., Hu, Y., Liang, W.-H., Ou, C.-Q., He, J.-X., Liu, L., Shan, H., Lei, C.-L., Hui, D. S. C., et al. (2020) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2002032 · Cited by 30,246 · see citing works
Zhou, F., Yu, T., Du, R., Fan, G., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Xiang, J., Wang, Y., Song, B., Gu, X., et al. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30566-3 · Cited by 27,263 · see citing works
Richardson, S., Hirsch, J. S., Narasimhan, M., Crawford, J. M., McGinn, T., Davidson, K. W., and the Northwell COVID-19 Research Consortium, Barnaby, D. P., Becker, L. B., Chelico, J. D., et al. (2020) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2020.6775 · Cited by 9,254 · see citing works
Docherty, A. B., Harrison, E. M., Green, C. A., Hardwick, H. E., Pius, R., Norman, L., Holden, K. A., Read, J. M., Dondelinger, F., Carson, G., et al. (2020) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.m1985 · Cited by 3,481 · see citing works
Petrilli, C. M., Jones, S. A., Yang, J., Rajagopalan, H., O’Donnell, L., Chernyak, Y., Tobin, K. A., Cerfolio, R. J., François, F., & Horwitz, L. I. (2020) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.m1966 · Cited by 3,045 · see citing works
Cummings, M. J., Baldwin, M. R., Abrams, D. C., Jacobson, S. D., Meyer, B. J., Balough, E. M., Aaron, J. G., Claassen, J., Rabbani, L. E., Hastie, J. M., et al. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)31189-2 · Cited by 2,198 · see citing works
Hospitalization and mortality among Black patients and White patients with Covid-19.
Price-Haywood, E. G., Burton, J., Fort, D., & Seoane, L. (2020) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsa2011686 · Cited by 1,660 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In contrast, Price-Heywood et al found that high mortality associated with Black ethnicity in Louisiana was explained by sociodemographic and clinical characteristics [23], while Table 5.”
MethodAmerican college of emergency physicians
Haeck, W. T. (1980) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0196-0644(80)80511-7 · Cited by 1,539 · see citing works
Liang, W., Liang, H., Ou, L., Chen, B., Chen, A., Li, C., Li, Y., Guan, W., Sang, L., Lu, J., et al. (2020) · JAMA Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.2033 · Cited by 1,387 · see citing works
Argenziano, M., Bruce, S. L., Slater, C. L., Tiao, J. R., Baldwin, M. R., Barr, R. G., Chang, B., Chau, K. H.-Y., Choi, J. J., Gavin, N. P., et al. (2020) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.m1996 · Cited by 804 · see citing works
The impact of ethnicity on clinical outcomes in COVID-19: A systematic review
Pan, D., Sze, S., Minhas, J. S., Bangash, M. N., Pareek, N., Divall, P., Williams, C., Oggioni, M. R., Squire, I. B., Nellums, L. B., et al. (2020) · EClinicalMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100404 · Cited by 520 · see citing works
Shah, S. J., Barish, P. N., Prasad, P. A., Kistler, A. L., Neff, N. F., Kamm, J., Li, L. M., Chiu, C. Y., Babik, J. M., Fang, M. C., et al. (2020) · EClinicalMedicine · doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100518 · Cited by 97 · see citing works
Harrison, E. M., Docherty, A. B., Barr, B., Buchan, I. E., Carson, G., Drake, T. M., Dunning, J. W., Fairfield, C. J., Gamble, C. L., Green, C., et al. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3618215 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Patient and public involvement in emergency care research
Hirst, E., Irving, A., & Goodacre, S. W. (2016) · Emergency Medicine Journal · doi:10.1136/emermed-2016-205700 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Self-citationRoland, D., Arshad, F., Coats, T., & Davies, F. (2017) · BioMed Research International · doi:10.1155/2017/9060852 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
The PAndemic INfluenza Triage in the Emergency Department (PAINTED) pilot cohort study
Goodacre, S. W., Irving, A., Wilson, R. W., Beever, D., & Challen, K. (2015) · Health Technology Assessment · doi:10.3310/hta19030 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citationThe UK hibernated pandemic influenza research portfolio: triggered for COVID-19
Simpson, C. R., Thomas, B., Challen, K., Angelis, D. D., Fragaszy, E., Goodacre, S. W., Hayward, A. C., Lim, W. S., Rubin, G. J., Semple, M. G., et al. (2020) · The Lancet Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30398-4 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
1 of the 18 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [4]National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. COVID-19 rapid guideline: managing suspected or confirmed pneumonia in adults in the community. Published: 3 April 2020. www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng165 (accessed 28/04/2020) 33497157
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Struyf, T., Deeks, J. J., Dinnes, J., Takwoingi, Y., Davenport, C. F., Leeflang, M., Spijker, R., Hooft, L., Emperador, D., Domen, J., et al. (2022) · Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews · doi:10.1002/14651858.cd013665.pub3 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Asthma in Adult Patients with COVID-19. Prevalence and Risk of Severe Disease
Terry, P., Heidel, R. E., & Dhand, R. (2021) · American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1164/rccm.202008-3266oc · Cited by 107 · see citing works
Goodacre, S., Thomas, B., Sutton, L., Burnsall, M., Lee, E., Bradburn, M., Loban, A., Waterhouse, S., Simmonds, R., Biggs, K., et al. (2021) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0245840 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Self-citationDandel, M. (2021) · Heart Failure Reviews · doi:10.1007/s10741-021-10108-7 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Thomas, B., Goodacre, S. W., Lee, E. C., Sutton, L., Bursnall, M., Loban, A., Waterhouse, S., Simmonds, R., Biggs, K., Marincowitz, C., et al. (2021) · Emergency Medicine Journal · doi:10.1136/emermed-2020-210783 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Self-citationComposite Outcomes in Clinical Prediction Modeling: Are We Trying to Predict Apples and Oranges?
Dash, K., Goodacre, S. W., & Sutton, L. (2022) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2022.01.046 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Self-citationSutton, L., Goodacre, S., Thomas, B., & Connelly, S. (2021) · Resuscitation · doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2021.04.028 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
“1) Median (IQR) 12 (10, 15) 9 (6, 12) 4 R E S U S C I T A T I O N X X X ( 2 0 2 1 ) X X X X X X RESUS 9004 No.”
Self-citationUnexpectedly lower mortality rates in COVID-19 patients with and without type 2 diabetes in Istanbul
Satman, İ., Demirci, İ., Haymana, C., Taşçı, İ., Salman, S., Ata, N., Dağdelen, S., Sahin, I., Emral, R., Çakal, E., et al. (2021) · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2021.108753 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Rezel‐Potts, E., Douiri, A., Chowienczyk, P., & Gulliford, M. C. (2021) · British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology · doi:10.1111/bcp.14873 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Marincowitz, C., Sutton, L., Stone, T., Pilbery, R., Campbell, R., Thomas, B., Turner, J., Bath, P. A., Bell, F., Biggs, K., et al. (2022) · Emergency Medicine Journal · doi:10.1136/emermed-2021-211934 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationEuden, J., Thomas‐Jones, E., Aston, S., Brookes‐Howell, L., Carman, J., Carrol, E. D., Gilbert, S., Howard, P., Hood, K., Inada-Kim, M., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063424 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Stevenson, M., Metry, A., & Messenger, M. P. (2021) · Health Technology Assessment · doi:10.3310/hta25210 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Marincowitz, C., Stone, T., Bath, P. A., Campbell, R., Turner, J., Hasan, M., Pilbery, R., Thomas, B., Sutton, L., Bell, F., et al. (2022) · BMJ Quality & Safety · doi:10.1136/bmjqs-2021-014382 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationRadiography-based triage for COVID-19 in the Emergency Department in a Spanish cohort of patients
Sempere, A., Llaneras, J., Pinal‐Fernandez, I., Cañas‐Ruano, E., Orozco-Gálvez, O., Baldrich, E. D., Vegas, X. M., Meza, B., García-Vives, E., Gil‐Vila, A., et al. (2021) · Medicina Clínica · doi:10.1016/j.medcli.2021.05.013 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Dell'Aquila, P., Raimondo, P., Orso, D., Luca, P. D., Pozzessere, P., Parisi, C. V., Bove, T., Vetrugno, L., Grasso, S., & Procacci, V. (2021) · Acta bio-medica dell'Ateneo parmense/Acta biomedica · doi:10.23750/abm.v92i4.11479 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Marincowitz, C., Hodkinson, P. W., McAlpine, D., Fuller, G. W., Goodacre, S. W., Bath, P. A., Sbaffi, L., Hasan, M., Omer, Y., & Wallis, L. A. (2023) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0287091 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationMarincowitz, C., Sbaffi, L., Hodkinson, P., McAlpine, D., Fuller, G., Goodacre, S., Bath, P. A., Hasan, M., Omer, Y., & Wallis, L. A. (2023) · Emergency Medicine Journal · doi:10.1136/emermed-2022-212827 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Self-citationPopovych, V., Koshel, I. V., Haman, Y., Leshak, V., Malofiichuk, O., Kapustina, N., Shevaga, I., Shevaga, O., & Kunytska, T. (2021) · Clinical Phytoscience · doi:10.1186/s40816-021-00308-x · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Low Rate of SARS-CoV-2 Infections in Symptomatic Patients Attending a Pediatric Emergency Department
Zurl, C., Eber, E., Siegl, A., Loeffler, S., Stelzl, E., Kessler, H. H., Egger, M., Schweintzger, N. A., Zenz, W., & Strenger, V. (2021) · Frontiers in Pediatrics · doi:10.3389/fped.2021.637167 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
English, A. R., McDaid, D., Lynch, S. M., McLaughlin, J., Cooper, E., Wingfield, B., Kelly, M. G., Bhavsar, M., McGilligan, V., Irwin, R. E., et al. (2023) · JMIR Research Protocols · doi:10.2196/50733 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Marincowitz, C., Stone, T., Hasan, M., Campbell, R., Bath, P. A., Turner, J., Pilbery, R., Thomas, B., Sutton, L., Bell, F., et al. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058628 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationDiagnostic Accuracy and Predictive Value of Clinical Symptoms for the Diagnosis of Mild COVID-19
Popovych, V., Koshel, I. V., Haman, Y., Leshak, V., & Duplikhin, R. (2021) · Journal of Biosciences and Medicines · doi:10.4236/jbm.2021.96013 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Baghdadi, F., Evans, B. A., Goodacre, S. W., John, P. A., Hettiarachchi, T., John, A. M., Lyons, R. A., Porter, A. M., Safari, S., Siriwardena, A. N., et al. (2023) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2022-069596 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationBatman, A. (2024) · SiSli Etfal Hastanesi Tip Bulteni / The Medical Bulletin of Sisli Hospital · doi:10.14744/semb.2023.36699 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Farquhar, D., Choong, K., Anderson, J., Peters, S., & Subedi, S. (2023) · Internal Medicine Journal · doi:10.1111/imj.16302 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Radiography-based triage for COVID-19 in the Emergency Department in a Spanish cohort of patients
Sempere, A., Llaneras, J., Pinal‐Fernandez, I., Cañas‐Ruano, E., Orozco-Gálvez, O., Baldrich, E. D., Vegas, X. M., Meza, B., García-Vives, E., Gil‐Vila, A., et al. (2022) · Medicina Clínica (English Edition) · doi:10.1016/j.medcle.2021.05.021
Triage performance in adolescent patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Israel
Levy, N., Friedman, N., Kaplan, O., Padeh, G., Krupik, D., Buchshtav, N., Gamsu, S., Weiser, G., Cohen, N. K., Schnapp, Z., et al. (2022) · The American Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ajem.2022.06.061
METİN, S., Eraybar, S., Aygün, H., Ercan, İ., & Demir, C. (2022) · The European Research Journal · doi:10.18621/eurj.1140623
English, A. R., McDaid, D., Lynch, S. M., McLaughlin, J., Cooper, E., Wingfield, B., Kelly, M. G., Bhavsar, M., McGilligan, V., Irwin, R. E., et al. (2023) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3029026/v1
- Authors
- Goodacre, S., Thomas, B., Lee, E., Sutton, L., Loban, A., Waterhouse, S., Simmonds, R., Biggs, K., Marincowitz, C., Schutter, J., Connelly, S., Sheldon, E., Hall, J., Young, E., Bentley, A., Challen, K., Fitzsimmons, C., Harris, T., Lecky, F., Lee, A., Maconochie, I., & Walter, D.
- Affiliations
- University of Sheffield (GB)
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Sheffield Children's NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Barts Health NHS Trust (GB)
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Goodacre, Steve
- Thomas, Ben
- Lee, Ellen
- Sutton, Laura
- Loban, Amanda
- Waterhouse, Simon
- Simmonds, Richard
- Biggs, Katie
- Marincowitz, Carl
- Connelly, Sarah
- Sheldon, Elena
- Hall, Jamie
- Young, Emma
- Bentley, Andrew
- Challen, Kirsty
- Fitzsimmons, Chris
- Harris, Tim
- Lecky, Fiona
- Lee, Andrew
- Maconochie, Ian
- Walter, Darren
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLOS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2020-11-25
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- e0240206
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7688143
- OpenAlex
- W3110518214
- Cited by
- 30
- References
- 18
- Citations by year
- 2024: 1 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 13
- FWCI
- 0.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- medRxiv (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research Explorer (The University of Manchester) (publishedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Research Explorer (The University of Manchester) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Health Technology Assessment Programme (11/46/07)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Emergency Medicine › Emergency and Acute Care Studies
- Keywords
- COVID-19 pandemic, emergency department presentation, suspected COVID-19, hospitalization, organ support, mortality, sex differences, ethnicity, children, performance status, NEWS2 score, SARS-CoV-2, United Kingdom, emergency department utilization, resource allocation, health disparities, pediatric emergency department, children's hospitals
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Age Factors, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Emergency Service, Hospital, Female, United Kingdom, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Admission, Prospective Studies, Retrospective Studies, Triage, Comorbidity, Pandemics
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review