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Is older age associated with COVID-19 mortality in the absence of other risk factors? General population cohort study of 470,034 participants
Open accessAbstract
Introduction: Older people have been reported to be at higher risk of COVID-19 mortality. This study explored the factors mediating this association and whether older age was associated with increased mortality risk in the absence of other risk factors. Methods: In UK Biobank, a population cohort study, baseline data were linked to COVID-19 deaths. Poisson regression was used to study the association between current age and COVID-19 mortality. Results: Among eligible participants, 438 (0.09%) died of COVID-19. Current age was associated exponentially with COVID-19 mortality. Overall, participants aged ≥75 years were at 13-fold (95% CI 9.13–17.85) mortality risk compared with those <65 years. Low forced expiratory volume in 1 second, high systolic blood pressure, low handgrip strength, and multiple long-term conditions were significant mediators, and collectively explained 39.3% of their excess risk. The associations between these risk factors and COVID-19 mortality were stronger among older participants. Participants aged ≥75 without additional risk factors were at 4-fold risk (95% CI 1.57–9.96, P = 0.004) compared with all participants aged <65 years. Conclusions: Higher COVID-19 mortality among older adults was partially explained by other risk factors. ‘Healthy’ older adults were at much lower risk. Nonetheless, older age was an independent risk factor for COVID-19 mortality.
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“chronological age is still the single greatest risk factor for COVID-19 mortality13”
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Retracted
Metadata
- Authors
- Ho, F. K., Petermann-Rocha, F., Gray, S. R., Jani, B. D., Katikireddi, S. V., Niedzwiedz, C. L., Foster, H., Hastie, C. E., Mackay, D. F., Gill, J. M. R., O'Donnell, C., Welsh, P., Mair, F., Sattar, N., Celis-Morales, C. A., & Pell, J. P.
- Affiliations
- University of Glasgow (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Pell, Jill P.
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLOS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2020-11-05
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- e0241824
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7644030
- OpenAlex
- W3095294932
- Cited by
- 319
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 49 · 2023: 65 · 2022: 115 · 2021: 67
- FWCI
- 8.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- ENLIGHTEN (Jurnal Bimbingan dan Konseling Islam) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_17228, MR/R024774/1)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Keywords
- COVID-19 mortality, old age, older adults, risk factors, healthy aging, FEV1, systolic blood pressure, grip strength, chronic disease, UK Biobank
- MeSH terms
- Betacoronavirus, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, United Kingdom, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pneumonia, Viral, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Coronavirus Infections, Risk Assessment, Pandemics
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