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Rates of Crime and Unemployment: An Analysis of Aggregate Research Evidence
Abstract
The unemployment/crime rate relationship (U-C) has been described recently as “inconsistent,” “insignificant,” and “weak.” Prior assessments of the U-C relationship have used no more than 18 U-C studies, and no more than 7 with 1970s data. In this paper, I review the findings of 63 U-C studies, 40 of which involve data from the 1970s when unemployment rose dramatically. My analysis shows the conditional nature of the U-C relationship. Property crimes, 1970s data, and sub-national levels of aggregation produce consistently positive and frequently significant U-C results. I discuss the implications of these results and argue that it is premature to abandon “this now well-plowed terrain” and suggest potentially fruitful paths for future studies of the U-C relationship.
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Merton, R. K. (2017) · Gangs · doi:10.4324/9781351157803-1 · Cited by 3,694
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Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Literature
Chalfin, A., & McCrary, J. (2017) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.20141147 · Cited by 727
The Impact of Incarceration on Wage Mobility and Inequality
Western, B. (2002) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.1177/000312240206700403 · Cited by 711
The Political Economy of Imprisonment in Affluent Western Democracies, 1960–1990
Sutton, J. R. (2004) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.1177/000312240406900202 · Cited by 213
THE CRIMINOGENIC EFFECTS OF IMPRISONMENT: EVIDENCE FROM STATE PANEL DATA, 1974–2002
VIERAITIS, L. M., KOVANDZIC, T. V., & MARVELL, T. B. (2007) · Criminology & Public Policy · doi:10.1111/j.1745-9133.2007.00456.x · Cited by 103
Metadata
- Authors
- Chiricos, T. G.
- Venue
- Social Problems
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1987-04
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 187-212
- ISSN
- 0037-7791 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-8533
- OpenAlex
- W2167928903
- Cited by
- 582
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 14.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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