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Regressive or Progressive?The Effect of Tobacco Taxes in Ukraine
Open accessAbstract
Tobacco taxes are usually considered regressive as the poorest individuals allocate larger shares of their budget towards the purchase of tobacco related products. However, because these taxes also discourage tobacco use, some of the most adverse effects and their economic costs are reduced, including lower life expectancy at birth, higher medical expenses, increased years of disability among smokers, and the effects of secondhand smoke. This paper projects the effects of an increase in the tobacco tax on household welfare in Ukraine. It considers three price-elasticity scenarios among income deciles of the population. Results show that although tobacco taxes are often criticized for being regressive in the short-run, a more comprehensive scenario that includes medical expenses and working years, the benefits of tobacco taxes far exceed the increase in tax liability, benefitting in large measure lower income households. Our results also indicate that lower health expenditure seems to be the main driver because of the reduction in tobacco-related diseases that require expensive treatments. Tobacco taxes are also associated with positive distributional effects related to the higher long-term price elasticities of tobacco consumption.
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The WB used an analysis from 2016 that concluded that high tobacco taxes lead to greater reductions in tobacco-caused morbidity and mortality among low income smokers who are more likely to reduce their consumption.
“The WB used an analysis from 2016 that concluded that high tobacco taxes lead to greater reductions in tobacco-caused morbidity and mortality among low income smokers who are more likely to reduce their consumption (IDI3 IDI8).54”
From Seven-year tobacco tax plan in Ukraine: a case study of the actors, tactics and factors motivating policy passage (2022) · cites this paper as [54]
The indexed passages under “106 downloads” are repository metadata and an abstract, not passages from the paper’s full text. Searches for low-income smokers’ consumption responses and tobacco-related morbidity and mortality returned no full-text passage establishing the claimed comparison or the reference to a 2016 analysis. (LLM, conf=0.72)
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Paraje, G. R., Jha, P., Savedoff, W., & Fuchs, A. (2023) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2023-011866 · Cited by 52
Self-citationVerguet, S., Kearns, P. K. A., & Rees, V. W. (2021) · Tobacco Control · doi:10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2019-055315 · Cited by 33
Weiger, C., Hoe, C., & Cohen, J. E. (2022) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049833 · Cited by 10
Metadata
- Authors
- Fuchs, A., & Meneses, F.
- Affiliations
- Duke University (US)
- World Bank (US)
- Venue
- World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks
- Publisher
- World Bank, Washington, DC
- Published
- 2017-09-27
- OpenAlex
- W4253232250
- Cited by
- 27
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 1 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 12
- FWCI
- 12.67
- Type
- book
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- hdl.handle.net
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks (publishedVersion)
- The World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (World Bank) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Fiscal Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
- Keywords
- tobacco taxation, regressive taxation, household welfare, income deciles, health care costs, smoking-related diseases, passive smoking, disability, life expectancy, tax revenue, Ukraine
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