The DOI matches its Crossref record; 20 of the 20 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Projecting the Number of Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease in the United States to the Year 2015
Abstract
The size of the prevalent ESRD population in the United States increased dramatically during the 1990s, from 196,000 in 1991 to 382,000 in 2000. Incidence also increased considerably during the same period, from 53,000 to 93,000 per year. If previous trends in ESRD incidence and prevalence continue, then current levels of health care resources that are devoted to the care of these patients will eventually be unable to meet the demand. This study discusses a Markov model developed to predict ESRD incidence, prevalence, and mortality to the year 2015 and incorporating expected changes in age/race distributions, diabetes prevalence, ESRD incidence, and probability of death. The model predicted that by 2015 there will be 136,166 incident ESRD patients per year (lower/upper limits 110,989 to 164,550), 712,290 prevalent patients (595,046 to 842,761), and 107,760 ESRD deaths annually (96,068 to 118,220). Incidence and prevalence counts are expected to increase by 44 and 85%, respectively, from 2000 to 2015 and incidence and prevalence rates per million population by 32 and 70%, respectively. The financial and human resources that will be needed to care for these patients in 2015 will be considerably greater than in 2005.
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Cites
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Self-citationPrevalence of obesity, diabetes, and obesity-related health risk factors, 2001
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The Continuing Epidemics of Obesity and Diabetes in the United States
Mokdad, A. H. (2001) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.286.10.1195 · Cited by 2,730
Goodpasture syndrome during the course of a Schönlein-Henoch purpura
Carreras, L., Poveda, R., Bas, J., Mestre, M., Rama, I., & Carrera, M. (2002) · American Journal of Kidney Diseases · doi:10.1053/ajkd.2002.32799 · Cited by 1,474
Diabetes trends in the U.S.: 1990-1998.
Mokdad, A. H., Ford, E. S., Bowman, B. A., Nelson, D. E., Engelgau, M. M., Vinicor, F., & Marks, J. S. (2000) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.23.9.1278 · Cited by 1,042
The Public Health Impact of Obesity
Visscher, T. L., & Seidell, J. C. (2001) · Annual Review of Public Health · doi:10.1146/annurev.publhealth.22.1.355 · Cited by 1,008
Projection of Diabetes Burden Through 2050
Boyle, J. P., Honeycutt, A. A., Narayan, K. M. V., Hoerger, T. J., Geiss, L. S., Chen, H., & Thompson, T. J. (2001) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.24.11.1936 · Cited by 1,004
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Simulation model of renal replacement therapy: predicting future demand in England
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Cited by
Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2010 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
WRITING GROUP MEMBERS, Lloyd-Jones, D., Adams, R. J., Brown, T. M., Carnethon, M., Dai, S., De Simone, G., Ferguson, T. B., Ford, E., Furie, K., et al. (2010) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.109.192667 · Cited by 5,700
Prevalence of Chronic Kidney Disease in the United States
Coresh, J., Selvin, E., Stevens, L. A., Manzi, J., Kusek, J. W., Eggers, P., Van Lente, F., & Levey, A. S. (2007) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.298.17.2038 · Cited by 4,895
Mechanisms of Diabetic Complications
Forbes, J. M., & Cooper, M. E. (2013) · Physiological Reviews · doi:10.1152/physrev.00045.2011 · Cited by 2,890
Coresh, J., Astor, B. C., Greene, T., Eknoyan, G., & Levey, A. S. (2003) · American Journal of Kidney Diseases · doi:10.1053/ajkd.2003.50007 · Cited by 2,768
Body Mass Index and Risk for End-Stage Renal Disease
Hsu, C.-Y., McCulloch, C. E., Iribarren, C., Darbinian, J., & Go, A. S. (2006) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-144-1-200601030-00006 · Cited by 1,390
Metadata
- Authors
- Gilbertson, D. T., Liu, J., Xue, J. L., Louis, T. A., Solid, C. A., Ebben, J. P., & Collins, A. J.
- Venue
- Journal of the American Society of Nephrology
- Published
- 2005-12
- Volume
- 16
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 3736-3741
- ISSN
- 1046-6673 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2134891317
- Cited by
- 719
- References
- 20
- FWCI
- 42.95
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Gilbertson, D. T., Liu, J., Xue, J. L., Louis, T. A., Solid, C. A., Ebben, J. P., & Collins, A. J. (2005). Projecting the Number of Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease in the United States to the Year 2015. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology. https://doi.org/10.1681/asn.2005010112
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
