Cited by 13Topic ModelingNatural Language Processing TechniquesDomain Adaptation and Few-Shot Learning

Adaptation with Self-Evaluation to Improve Selective Prediction in LLMs

Open access
Chen, Jiefeng, Yoon, Jinsung, Ebrahimi, Sayna, Arik, Sercan, Pfister, Tomas, Jha, Somesh·2023·Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2023

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) have recently shown great advances in a variety of tasks, including natural language understanding and generation.However, their use in high-stakes decision-making scenarios is still limited due to the potential for errors.Selective prediction is a technique that can be used to improve the reliability of the LLMs by allowing them to abstain from making predictions when they are unsure of the answer.In this work, we propose a novel framework for adaptation with self-evaluation to improve the selective prediction performance of LLMs.Our framework is based on the idea of using parameter-efficient tuning to adapt the LLM to the specific task at hand while improving its ability to perform self-evaluation.We evaluate our method on a variety of question-answering (QA) datasets and show that it outperforms state-of-the-art selective prediction methods.For example, on the CoQA benchmark, our method improves the AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63% and improves the AUROC from 74.61% to 80.25%.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

ASPIRE is a two-stage parameter-efficient tuning framework that adapts an LLM to a target QA task and then trains a soft prompt for self-evaluation, combining normalized likelihood with a learned self-eval score for selective prediction. It reports state-of-the-art AUACC/AUROC across CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD with OPT and GPT-2 models, e.g., improving CoQA AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63% and AUROC from 74.61% to 80.25%.

Key findings

  • On CoQA with adapted OPT-2.7B, ASPIRE improves AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63% and AUROC from 74.61% to 80.25% over the Semantic Entropy baseline (Table 1; abstract).
  • Across datasets and models, ASPIRE outperforms baselines: on TriviaQA with adapted OPT-2.7B it reaches AUACC 55.06% and AUROC 84.44%; on SQuAD it reaches AUACC 94.73% and AUROC 82.60% (Table 1).
  • ASPIRE with adapted OPT-2.7B can outperform Self-eval and P(True) baselines with pre-trained OPT-30B in selective prediction, even when OPT-30B has better TriviaQA accuracy.
  • With 2K training samples, ASPIRE can outperform baselines without soft prompt tuning by a large margin, and more training samples improve performance (Table 5); α = 0.25 is best, and sampling different high-likelihood answers is important.

Methods

  • Two-stage soft prompt tuning: first train θp on target QA data with standard LLM loss; then generate high-likelihood answers with beam search, label correct/wrong via Rouge-L threshold γ = 0.9, and train θs to predict “correct”/“wrong”; the selection score combines normalized likelihood and learned self-eval score with α = 0.25.
  • Data and models: CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD; CoQA/SQuAD evaluated zero-shot, TriviaQA 5-shot; default 50K training examples; OPT-350M/1.3B/2.7B/30B and GPT2-Medium/Large/XL; baselines include Perplexity, Predictive Entropy, Semantic Entropy, Self-eval, and P(True); metrics are AUACC and AUROC with Rouge-L threshold γ = 0.7 by default.
  • Training details: 10 epochs with AdamW, batch size 8, learning rate 0.01, cosine schedule; soft prompt length l = 50; k = 10, kc = 2, kw = 10; test-time complexity is O(l_max).

Limitations

  • Stated: the work does not include fine-tuning experimental results with the largest and strongest LLMs (up to 2.7B parameters) due to computational constraints; larger-scale LLMs are left to future work.
  • Stated: the obtained selective prediction performances are still not perfect.
  • Evident from the text: evaluation is limited to QA datasets and OPT/GPT-2 models; hyperparameters were selected on TriviaQA validation with OPT-2.7B and reused across datasets/models; correctness labels rely on Rouge-L thresholds with manual labeling for γ selection.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.18653/v1/2023.findings-emnlp.345

Cites

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 5 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    On the CoQA benchmark, ASPIRE improves AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63%.

    “on the CoQA benchmark, our method improves the AUACC from 91.23% to 92.63%”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    After training θp via soft prompt tuning, the accuracy of LLMs is improved significantly.

    “The results in Table 3 show that after training θ p via soft prompt tuning, the accuracy of LLMs is improved significantly.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    With approximately 2k training samples, ASPIRE can outperform baselines without soft prompt tuning significantly on different datasets.

    “with ∼2k samples, ASPIRE can outperform the baselines without soft prompt tuning significantly on different datasets”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    More training samples lead to enhanced performance for ASPIRE.

    “More training samples lead to enhanced performance”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    ASPIRE outperforms state-of-the-art selective prediction methods on question-answering datasets (CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD) using OPT and GPT-2 models.

    “We evaluate our method on a variety of question-answering (QA) datasets and show that it outperforms state-of-the-art selective prediction methods.”
    • Also stated in: § 1 Introduction · plain
      “We show that ASPIRE achieves the state-of-the-art selective prediction performance on three question answering datasets: CoQA, TriviaQA and SQuAD, using OPT and GPT-2 models.”
    • Also stated in: § 6 Experiments · plain
      “(A1) By learning self-evaluation, we can significantly improve selective prediction performance across different datasets and LLMs (see Table 1).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 14
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 3
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 15
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only using the normalized likelihood (α = 0) or only using the learned self-eval score (α = 1) leads to much worse performance.

    “Only using the normalized likelihood (i.e., α = 0) or only using the learned self-eval score (i.e., α = 1) leads to much worse performance.”
    • Also stated in: § J The Effect of the Hyper-parameter α · boosted
      “Only using the normalized likelihood (i.e., α = 0) or only using the learned self-eval score (i.e., α = 1) consistently leads to much worse performance.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    ASPIRE scores for correct predictions are consistently higher than for wrong predictions, whereas semantic entropy scores for correct predictions are sometimes lower than for wrong predictions.

    “The examples below show that some semantic entropy scores for correct predictions are lower than some semantic entropy scores for wrong predictions while the AS-PIRE scores for correct predictions are consistently”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Adaptation with θp improves accuracy of GPT2-XL, GPT2-Large, GPT2-Medium, OPT-350M, OPT-1.3B, and OPT-2.7B on CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD.

    “Pre-trained GPT2-XL | 46.27 | 11.80 | 7.41 | | | | | | | Adapted GPT2-XL with θ p 69.18 | 17.45 | 75.44”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    Self-Consistency might lead to worse accuracy.

    “We also observe that Self-Consistency might lead to worse accuracy”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Larger values of γ lead to higher recall but lower precision, while lower values of γ lead to higher precision but lower recall.

    “The results in Table 7 show that larger values of γ lead to higher recall but lower precision, while the lower values of γ lead to higher precision but lower recall.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    For OPT-2.7B, ASPIRE with α=0.25 achieves the highest AUACC and AUROC among α values 0.0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, and 1.0 on CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD.

    “ASPIRE (α = 0.0) 90.80 OPT-2.7B ASPIRE (α = 0.25) 92.63 ASPIRE (α = 0.5) 92.56 | 74.23 80.25 80.18 | TriviaQA 53.56 81.74 55.06 84.44 54.61 84.33 | SQuAD 92.86 75.72 94.73 82.60 94.59 82.16”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    ASPIRE outperforms Self-Consistency in AUACC and AUROC for adapted OPT-350M, OPT-1.3B, and OPT-2.7B on CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD.

    “Adapted OPT-350M with θ p | Self-Consistency 59.03 ASPIRE (ours) 59.46 | 74.09 75.55 | 7.41 8.25 | 18.40 19.00 | 63.87 64.74 | 79.99 82.59”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For OPT-2.7B, ASPIRE with α=0.25 achieves higher AUACC and AUROC than ASPIRE with α=0.0 on CoQA, TriviaQA, and SQuAD.

    “ASPIRE (α = 0.0) 90.80 OPT-2.7B ASPIRE (α = 0.25) 92.63 ASPIRE (α = 0.5) 92.56 | 74.23 80.25 80.18 | TriviaQA 53.56 81.74 55.06 84.44 54.61 84.33 | SQuAD 92.86 75.72 94.73 82.60 94.59 82.16”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For OPT-2.7B, increasing the Rouge threshold γ from 0.1 to 0.9 increases recall and decreases precision for identifying wrong answers.

    “0.1 | 100.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.62 | 100.00 | 7.91”
    • Also stated in: § Additional information · plain
      “0.9 | 80.71 | 99.38 | 80.00 | 100.00 | 69.85 | | 100.00”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Heuristic prompts may only work for the LLM used in Kadavath et al. (2022) and may not generalize to other types of LLMs such as OPT and GPT2 models.

    “However, those prompts may only work for the LLM used in Kadavath et al. (2022) and may not generalize to other types of LLMs (e.g., OPT and GPT2 models evaluated in our work).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Kadavath et al., 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Soft prompt tuning is effective in obtaining strong generalization with a small amount of target task data.

    “Towards this end, parameter efficient tuning techniques (e.g., soft prompt tuning (Lester et al., 2021) and LoRA (Hu et al., 2021)) might be employed to adapt the pre-trained LLM on the task, given their effectiveness in obtaining strong generalization with small amount of target task data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Lester et al., 2021

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Hu et al., 2021

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The second stage can reuse the states in the first stage instead of recomputing them to save computational cost.

    “Since the query of the second stage is constructed by appending some additional tokens to the query of the first stage, the second stage can reuse the states in the first stage instead of recomputing them to save some computational cost (see Fig. 3).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Semantic entropy or self-consistency usually require generating multiple output sequences to obtain the uncertainty measure for an input sequence, which introduces high computational cost and latency at test time.

    “However, they usually require generating multiple output sequences to obtain the uncertainty measure for an input sequence, which introduces high computational cost and latency at test time.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Kuhn et al., 2023

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Wang et al., 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Similar improvements are expected when applying the framework to larger-scale LLMs.

    “and similar improvements are expected.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The framework proposed can be used to improve selective prediction performance of LLMs and make their deployments more reliable.

    “The framework proposed in our work can be used to improve selective prediction performance of LLMs and make their deployments more reliable.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: LLMs can generate wrong or misleading answers to questions, which can cause serious consequences in safety-critical applications.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Removing data points with |x|+|y|>700 removes a very small portion of training data (4.02% CoQA, 0% TriviaQA, 0.04% SQuAD).

    “This only removes a very small portion of data points from the training set for each dataset (remove 4.02% training data points in CoQA, 0% training data points in Trivi-aQA and 0.04% training data points in SQuAD).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Hyperparameters were chosen based on performance on the validation set from TriviaQA using the OPT-2.7B model.

    “We choose these hyper-parameters based on the performance on the validation set from TriviaQA using the OPT-2.7Bmodel.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    If the Rouge-L score is equal to 0 (or 1), then it is mostly sure that the predicted answer is wrong (or correct).

    “If the Rouge-L score is equal to 0 (or 1), then it is mostly sure that the predicted answer is wrong (or correct).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The obtained selective prediction performances are still not perfect.

    “However, it is noted that the obtained selective prediction performances are still not perfect.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For generating an output sequence, the maximum number of forward passes is 1 + l_max and the complexity is O(l_max).

    “Thus, for generating the output sequence, the maximum number of forward passes is 1 + l max and the complexity is O(l max ).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The LLM can be consistently wrong.

    “meaning that the LLM can be consistently wrong.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The proposed framework can be applied to LLMs of any size.

    “However, the proposed framework can be applied to LLMs of any size”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The study did not include fine-tuning experimental results with the largest and strongest LLMs, only up to 2.7B parameters, due to computational constraints.

    “Our work does not include fine-tuning experimental results with the largest and the strongest LLMs in the literature (we have fine-tuning results with LLMs up to 2.7B parameters), due to our computational constraints.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Fine-tuning can improve selective prediction performance because it not only improves prediction accuracy but also enhances the likelihood of correct output sequences.

    “Such fine-tuning can improve selective prediction performance because it not only improves the prediction accuracy, but also enhances the likelihood of correct output sequences.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
24 of 24
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    LLMs are not guaranteed to be accurate for all queries.

    “However, LLMs are not guaranteed to be accurate for all queries, so it is important to understand which queries they are reliable for.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    LLMs are just trained to predict the next token given a context but are not guaranteed to always predict the correct next token.

    “Selective prediction for LLMs is challenging because LLMs are just trained to predict the next to-ken given a context but are not guaranteed to always predict the correct next token.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    LLMs generate an output sequence in an auto-regressive way and do not directly produce a confidence score for the output sequence.

    “Also, since LLMs generate an output sequence in an auto-regressive way, they don't directly produce a confidence score for the output sequence.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    PEFT approaches only fine-tune a small number of extra model parameters while freezing most parameters of the pretrained LLMs, thereby greatly decreasing computational and storage costs.

    “PEFT approaches only fine-tune a small number of (extra) model parameters while freezing most parameters of the pretrained LLMs, thereby greatly decreasing the computational and storage costs.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    PEFT approaches are better than fine-tuning in low-data regimes and generalize better to out-of-domain scenarios.

    “It has also been shown that PEFT approaches are better than fine-tuning in the low-data regimes and generalize better to out-of-domain scenarios.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    If prompts that effectively stimulate self-evaluation can be developed, it should be possible to discover these prompts through soft prompt tuning in conjunction with targeted training objectives.

    “The driving force behind this approach lies in the recognition that if we can develop prompts that effectively stimulate self-evaluation, it should be possible to discover these prompts through soft prompt tuning in conjunction with targeted training objectives.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    LLMs can generate wrong or misleading answers to questions, which can cause serious consequences in safety-critical applications.

    “However, they can generate wrong or misleading answers to questions, which can cause serious consequences in some safety critical applications.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Accepting a wrong answer is more costly compared to rejecting a correct answer that is different from the reference answers.

    “We propose this work for safety-critical applications where accepting a wrong answer is more costly compared to rejecting a correct answer that is different from the reference answers.”
8 of 8

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Recent approaches for large language models include selective prediction, self-evaluation and calibration, semantic uncertainty, and self-evaluation-based selective prediction.

    “In the context of LLMs, recent approaches such as selective prediction, self-evaluation and calibration, semantic uncertainty, and self-evaluation-based selective prediction have been proposed [20] (see references there-in).”

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References 32 · Cited by 13

Research works printed but not linked: 4

  1. Xiao Liu, Yanan Zheng, Zhengxiao Du, Ming Ding, Yujie Qian, Zhilin Yang, and Jie Tang. 2021b. Gpt understands, too. arXiv preprint arXiv:2103.10385. · arXiv
  2. R OpenAI. 2023. Gpt-4 technical report. arXiv.
  3. Alec Radford, Jeffrey Wu, Rewon Child, David Luan, Dario Amodei, Ilya Sutskever, et al. 2019. Lan- guage models are unsupervised multitask learners. OpenAI blog, 1(8):9.
  4. Ashish Vaswani, Noam Shazeer, Niki Parmar, Jakob Uszkoreit, Llion Jones, Aidan N Gomez, Łukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin. 2017. Attention is all you need. Advances in neural information process- ing systems, 30.

Authors
Chen, J., Yoon, J., Ebrahimi, S., Arik, S., Pfister, T., & Jha, S.
Affiliations
  • University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
  • Google (United States) (US)
Venue
Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2023
Published
2023
Pages
5190-5213
OpenAlex
W4389519963
Cited by
13
References
32
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 4
FWCI
2.30
Type
conference paper
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by
Locations
  • Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP (Findings of EMNLP) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
  • arXiv (Cornell University)
Funders
  • National Science Foundation (2046710, 1804648, 2008559, 1652140, 1836978)
  • Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (885000)
  • Army Research Office (W911NF-17-1-0405, W911NF)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Topic Modeling
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Natural Language Processing Techniques
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Domain Adaptation and Few-Shot Learning
Keywords
selective prediction, self-assessment, large language models, parameter-efficient fine-tuning, question answering, uncertainty estimation

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