PreprintCited by 20Insurance and Financial Risk ManagementAdvanced Causal Inference TechniquesBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

A Discrimination-Free Premium Under a Causal Framework

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Araiza Iturria, Carlos Andrés, Hardy, Mary, Marriott, Paul·2022·North American Actuarial Journal

Abstract

We examine the discrimination-free premium in Lindholm et al. within a theoretical causal inference framework, and we consider its societal context to assess when the pricing formula should be used. We consider the insurance pricing problem through the use of directed acyclic graphs. This particular tool allows us to rigorously define an insurance risk factor in a causal framework. We then use this definition in assessing the appropriate application of the discrimination-free premium through three simplified pricing examples, including a health insurance policy and two personal automobile insurance policies with different coverages. From our findings, we suggest criteria for the application of the discrimination-free premium that is dependent on the risk factors and the social context.

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Crossref · 10.2139/ssrn.4079068

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24 of 24 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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  • There is little research on insurance applications, particularly on insurance pricing as a regression problem.

    “However, there is little research on insurance applications, particularly on insurance pricing as a regression problem; see Lindholm et al. (2022a), Araiza Iturria, Hardy, and Marriott (2022), and Grari et al. (2022) as examples of recent research in this area.”

    From Antidiscrimination Insurance Pricing: Regulations, Fairness Criteria, and Models (2024) · cites this paper as Araiza Iturria, Hardy, and Marriott (2022)

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Authors
Araiza Iturria, C. A., Hardy, M., & Marriott, P.
Affiliations
University of Waterloo (CA)
Venue
North American Actuarial Journal
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2022
Volume
28
Issue
4
Pages
801-821
ISSN
1092-0277 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4392905885
Cited by
20
References
25
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2017: 1
FWCI
4.62
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • North American Actuarial Journal (publishedVersion)
  • SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (rgpin-2018-03754)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Insurance and Financial Risk Management
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Keywords
insurance pricing, causal inference, directed acyclic graphs, health insurance, automobile insurance

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