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Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

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Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

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Global patterns in base flow index and recession based on streamflow observations from 3394 catchments

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Reservoir operations under climate change: Storage capacity options to mitigate risk

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Global multi-model projections of local urban climates

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Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

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Climate model genealogy

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Enhanced upper ocean stratification with climate change in the CMIP3 models

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Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets

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Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

Knutti, R., Rugenstein, M. A. A., & Hegerl, G. C. (2017) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo3017 · Cited by 344 · see citing works

Regional climate change projections for Chicago and the US Great Lakes

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CMIP5 Scientific Gaps and Recommendations for CMIP6

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Tackling climate change with machine learning

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Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget

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Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information

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Multi-site evaluation of terrestrial evaporation models using FLUXNET data

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Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change

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Emission pathways consistent with a 2 °C global temperature limit

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Temporal ecology in the Anthropocene

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Uncertainty in hydrological analysis of climate change: multi-parameter vs. multi-GCM ensemble predictions

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The shifting influence of drought and heat stress for crops in northeast Australia

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Toward a Quantitative Estimate of Future Heat Wave Mortality under Global Climate Change

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A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions

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Characterizing Uncertainty of the Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change

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Global evaluation of runoff from 10 state-of-the-art hydrological models

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Evaluation of global ocean–sea-ice model simulations based on the experimental protocols of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (OMIP-2)

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Simulation of future climate scenarios with a weather generator

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Shifts in African crop climates by 2050, and the implications for crop improvement and genetic resources conservation

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Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

Knutti, R. (2008) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0169 · Cited by 279 · see citing works

Attribution of Extreme Events in Arctic Sea Ice Extent

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Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation?

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Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations

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Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty

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Improvements of an Ice-Phase Microphysics Parameterization for Use in Numerical Simulations of Tropical Convection

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Mapping model agreement on future climate projections

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Structural uncertainty in air mass factor calculation for NO 2 and HCHO satellite retrievals

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Design Criteria of Urban Drainage Infrastructures under Climate Change

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Skill and independence weighting for multi-model assessments

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Multi-model projections of future climate and climate change impacts uncertainty assessment for cotton production in Pakistan.

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Uncertainty in regional climate modelling: A review

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Maximum warming occurs about one decade after a carbon dioxide emission

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Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions

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Land use and climate change impacts on runoff and soil erosion at the hillslope scale in the Brazilian Cerrado

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Changes of heating and cooling degree‐days in Europe from 1981 to 2100

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Assessment of CMIP5 climate models and projected temperature changes over Northern Eurasia

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On the Effective Number of Climate Models

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Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts

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An appraisal of downscaling methods used in climate change research

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Probabilistic Projections of Climate Change over China under the SRES A1B Scenario Using 28 AOGCMs

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A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

Knutti, R., Allen, M. R., Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. M., Hegerl, G. C., Meehl, G. A., Meinshausen, M. A., Murphy, J. M., Plattner, G., Raper, S. C. B., et al. (2008) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/2007jcli2119.1 · Cited by 233 · see citing works

Potential impacts of climate change on European wind energy resource under the CMIP5 future climate projections

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Impacts of climate change on avian populations

Jenouvrier, S. (2013) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12195 · Cited by 230 · see citing works

Opposite latitudinal gradients in projected ocean acidification and bleaching impacts on coral reefs

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Multi‐model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes

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Climate Change and Water Resources Management: A Federal Perspective

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Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models

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ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing

Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Gutmann, E., Hammerling, D., Knutti, R., Leduc, M., Lorenz, R., Pincus, R., & Schmidt, G. (2019) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-10-91-2019 · Cited by 174 · see citing works

Climate change impacts on extreme precipitation in Morocco

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Intensification of future severe heat waves in India and their effect on heat stress and mortality

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Regional Differences in the Influence of Irrigation on Climate

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Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence: How Many Climate Models Are There?

Jun, M., Knutti, R., & Nychka, D. W. (2008) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1198/016214507000001265 · Cited by 214 · see citing works

Review of approaches for selection and ensembling of GCMs

Raju, K. S., & Kumar, D. N. (2020) · Journal of Water and Climate Change · doi:10.2166/wcc.2020.128 · Cited by 200 · see citing works

Blind testing of shoreline evolution models

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Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models.

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Multi-model ensembles

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Effects of climate model interdependency on the uncertainty quantification of extreme rainfall projections

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Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Regional Climate Change: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Multimodel Ensembles

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A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Heterogeneous RCM–GCM Multimodel Ensembles*

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