Climate Driven Population Fluctuations in Rain Forest Frogs
Abstract
A deme of Eleutherodactylus coqui was followed from 1979 to 1993 at El Verde, Puerto Rico, to determine seasonal and annual variation in numbers and activity patterns. All visible frogs and predatory spiders in a 50 x 2 m transect in the forest were counted for three consecutive nights semi- monthly for two years, then annually or biannually thereafter for a total of 255 evening counts. Ten all- night counts were made at five different times of the year to determine time of maximal activity during the night. Population size varied seasonally, with numbers increasing from June until December followed by a gradual decline until May. The number of adults varied from 1 to 29/100 m2, whereas the number of juveniles varied from 0 to 221/100 m2. The maximum single count of all frogs was 244. Counts of >100 juveniles occurred during October through January in the years 1979 to 1982, and in 1989. A marked drop in the numbers of frogs occurred in 1984; from 1979 to 1983, 3-50% of the counts yielded >15 adults whereas the maximum count from 1984 until 1989 was 11 adults. The drop in numbers was correlated with an increased number of periods of days with <3 mm of rain. Over the period 1979 to 1989, the number of frogs observed was negatively correlated with the longest dry period during the previous year. Popu- lation size began to decrease in 1983 and never regained prior levels although numbers were increasing early in 1989 before Hurricane Hugo. Juveniles apparently cannot survive extensive drought, and extended dry periods may be lethal to adults who are inhibited from feeding because of potential desiccation. Predatory ctenid spider populations crashed two years following the decline of frog populations, then disappeared following the hurricane as did other arthropod predators. Rather than total monthly or annual rainfall, it is the distribution of the rain that is important to these subtropical wet forest species.
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Quasi-Poisson regressions of E. coqui numbers against time and MnMaxT for Stewart's Activity Transect were both negative and significant.
“The quasi-Poisson regressions of E. coqui numbers vs. time and MnMaxT for Stewart’s Activity Transect were both negative and significant (Fig. 7 A and B) (28).”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [28]
Only during Stewart's earlier E. coqui census did the proportion of higher temperature rise steadily from 0.0 in 1982 to 0.1 in 1992.
“Only during Stewart’s earlier E. coqui census (28) did the proportion of higher temperature rise steadily from 0.0 in 1982 to 0.1 in 1992.”
From Climate-driven declines in arthropod abundance restructure a rainforest food web (2018) · cites this paper as [28]
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- Authors
- Stewart, M. M.
- Corresponding author
- Stewart, Margaret M.
- Venue
- Journal of Herpetology
- Publisher
- JSTOR
- Published
- 1995-09
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 437
- ISSN
- 0022-1511 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2319207025
- Cited by
- 111
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 3 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 7 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 2.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Herpetology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Amphibian and Reptile Biology
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Physiological and biochemical adaptations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies
- Keywords
- Eleutherodactylus coqui, population fluctuations, seasonal variation, rainfall distribution, drought, juvenile survival, predatory spiders, Hurricane Hugo
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