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The Consequences of Negotiated Settlements in Civil Wars, 1945–1993
Abstract
We know very little about how civil wars end. Harrison Wagner has argued that negotiated settlements of civil wars are likely to break down because segments of power-sharing governments retain the capacity for resorting to civil war while victory destroys the losers' organization, making it very difficult to resume the war. An analysis of a data set of 91 post-1945 civil wars generally supports this hypothesis but only in wars over identity issues. Moreover, while military victories may be less likely to break down than negotiated settlements of identity civil wars, they are also more likely to be followed by acts of genocide. Outsiders concerned with minimizing violence thus face a dilemma.
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Cited by
Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset
GLEDITSCH, N. P., WALLENSTEEN, P., ERIKSSON, M., SOLLENBERG, M., & STRAND, H. (2002) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343302039005007 · Cited by 3,846
Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy: (504012013-001)
Collier, P., Elliot, V. L., Hegre, H., Hoeffler, A., Reynal-Querol, M., & Sambanis, N. (2003) · PsycEXTRA Dataset · doi:10.1037/e504012013-001 · Cited by 2,431
Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others?
Fearon, J. D. (2004) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343304043770 · Cited by 1,306
Institutionalizing Peace: Power Sharing and Post‐Civil War Conflict Management
Hartzell, C., & Hoddie, M. (2003) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/1540-5907.00022 · Cited by 709
Containing Fear: The Origins and Management of Ethnic Conflict
Lake, D. A., & Rothchild, D. (1996) · International Security · doi:10.1162/isec.21.2.41 · Cited by 698
Metadata
- Authors
- Licklider, R.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1995-09
- Volume
- 89
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 681-690
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W2036518322
- Cited by
- 736
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 31.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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