Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy: (504012013-001)
Abstract
3.5 Modeling the duration of civil war 80 4.1 Recurrent conflicts example 1: Afghanistan 104 4.2 Recurrent conflicts example 2: Angola 105 5.1 A comparison of Botswana and Sierra Leone 127 5.2 Transparency of oil revenues in Chad 131 5.3 The rough diamond trade and the Kimberley process 143 5.4 The Khmer Rouge and the logs of war 145 C O N T E N T S viii 4.8 Development of risk of civil war for the marginalized and successful developers, 2000-2020 103 4.9 The conflict trap: risk of civil war relative to a country with no recent war 106 4.10 The conflict trap by type of country 107 4.11 Risk components for marginalized countries in the conflict trap, relative to the same countries preconflict 107 4.12 The conflict trap in 2000: annual flows into and out of conflict 109 4.13a The conflict trap in 2020: annual flows into and out of conflict 111 4.13b The conflict trap in 2050: annual flows into and out of conflict 111 4.14 The incidence of civil war in South and East Asia and in Oceania, 1950-2001 112 4.15 The incidence of civil war in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1950-2001 113 4.16 The incidence of civil war in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, 1950-2001 113 4.17 The incidence of civil war in the Middle East and North Africa, 1950-2001 114 4.18 The incidence of civil war in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1950-2001 114 4.19 The incidence of civil war in Africa and other developing countries, 1950-2001 115 5.1 The contribution to peace of faster growth in the successful developers 124 5.…
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According to Collier et al. (2003), the dire socio-economic consequences of civil violence prepare the ground for renewed conflict by locking countries into a 'conflict trap.'
“According to Collier et al. (2003), the dire socio-economic consequences of civil violence prepare the ground for renewed conflict by locking countries into a 'conflict trap.'”
From Dynamics and Logics of Civil War (2017) · cites this paper as Collier et al. (2003)
Several impacts of armed conflict involve factors that also increase the risk of conflict outbreak, reflecting endogenous conditions that jointly comprise a conflict trap.
“Several of these impacts involve factors that also increase the risk of conflict outbreak, reflecting endogenous conditions that jointly comprise a conflict trap (22).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [22]
These plots jointly depict an endogenous relationship between underdevelopment and armed conflict that increases social vulnerability to climatic hazards, conflict sensitivity to climatic impacts, and vulnerability effects of armed conflict.
“These plots jointly depict an endogenous relationship between underdevelopment and armed conflict (22,95) that increases social vulnerability to climatic hazards (Section 2.1), conflict sensitivity to climatic impacts (Section 2.2), and vulnerability effects of armed conflict (Section 2.3).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [22]
Many civil wars flare up again within the first couple of years of termination; the best predictor of war for any given country is that the country was engaged in war the previous year.
“Many civil wars flare up again within the first couple of years of termination, to the extent that the best predictor of war for any given country is that the country was engaged in war the previous year (22,24).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [22]
Actors with incentives to initiate violence find conditions more conducive to radicalization and mobilization in poor, post-conflict societies.
“actors who have incentives to initiate violence will find the conditions more conducive to radicalization and mobilization in poor, post-conflict societies (22,185).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [22]
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- Authors
- Collier, P., Elliot, V. L., Hegre, H., Hoeffler, A., Reynal-Querol, M., & Sambanis, N.
- Venue
- PsycEXTRA Dataset
- Published
- 2003
- OpenAlex
- W2133462023
- Cited by
- 2,431
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 105 · 2023: 102 · 2022: 82 · 2021: 125 · 2020: 136 · 2019: 138 · 2018: 83 · 2017: 112 · 2016: 100 · 2015: 121 · 2014: 122 · 2013: 99 · 2012: 107
- Type
- dataset
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- PsycEXTRA Dataset (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Yale University
- Agence Française de Développement
- Consortium pour la recherche économique en Afrique
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Natural Resources and Economic Development
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Peacebuilding and International Security
- Keywords
- conflict trap, civil war, development policy, conflict duration, Kimberley Process, Khmer Rouge, marginalization
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