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Expected Losses, Unexpected Costs? Evidence from SME Credit Access under IFRS 9
Open accessAbstract
This paper examines lending effects of European banks switching to an expected credit loss (ECL) model under IFRS 9. I find evidence that ECL transition deteriorates the credit landscape for SMEs—as risky, opaque, and bank-dependent borrowers. Post-ECL, affected banks reduced SME lending by over 10 percent, and these effects persisted during the most recent downturn during the COVID-19 pandemic. Banks’ financial reporting objectives and implementation difficulties seem to explain these findings. Additional tests at the borrower and loan-contract levels indicate rising loan rejection rates, interest spreads, and collateral requirements, as well as declining loan amounts, maturities, and subsequent capital investments, for SMEs that do business with affected banks. JEL Classifications: G21; G28; G38; M41.
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Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Evidence
Oster, E. (2019) · Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · doi:10.1080/07350015.2016.1227711 · Cited by 5,367
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Goldsmith-Pinkham, P., Sorkin, I., & Swift, H. (2020) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20181047 · Cited by 2,521
Mandated Financial Reporting and Corporate Innovation
Breuer, M., Leuz, C., & Vanhaverbeke, S. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3449813 · Cited by 27
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Metadata
- Authors
- Ertan, A.
- Affiliations
- London Business School (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Ertan, Aytekin
- ORCID
- Ertan, Aytekin
- Venue
- The Accounting Review
- Publisher
- American Accounting Association
- Published
- 2025-05-27
- Volume
- 100
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 443-473
- ISSN
- 0001-4826 (ISSN-L)
- 1558-7967
- OpenAlex
- W4410120772
- Cited by
- 39
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 9
- FWCI
- 2.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Accounting Review (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
- London Business School Research Online (London Business School) (acceptedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Finance › Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
- Keywords
- IFRS 9, expected credit loss model, small business lending, bank credit access, credit risk accounting, COVID-19 pandemic, interest rate spreads, collateral requirements, bank financial reporting, accounting standards transition
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