The Prognostic Value of Fasting Plasma Glucose, Two-Hour Postload Glucose, and HbA1c in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease: A Report From EUROASPIRE IV
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OBJECTIVE: Three tests are recommended for identifying dysglycemia: fasting glucose (FPG), 2-h postload glucose (2h-PG) from an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), and glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c). This study explored the prognostic value of these screening tests in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: FPG, 2h-PG, and HbA1c were used to screen 4,004 CAD patients without a history of diabetes (age 18–80 years) for dysglycemia. The prognostic value of these tests was studied after 2 years of follow-up. The primary end point included cardiovascular mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure and a secondary end point of incident diabetes. RESULTS: Complete information including all three glycemic parameters was available in 3,775 patients (94.3%), of whom 246 (6.5%) experienced the primary end point. Neither FPG nor HbA1c predicted the primary outcome, whereas the 2h-PG, dichotomized as <7.8 vs. ≥7.8 mmol/L, was a significant predictor (hazard ratio 1.38, 95% CI 1.07–1.78; P = 0.01). During follow-up, diabetes developed in 78 of the 2,609 patients (3.0%) without diabetes at baseline. An FPG between 6.1 and 6.9 mmol/L did not predict incident diabetes, whereas HbA1c 5.7–6.5% and 2h-PG 7.8–11.0 mmol/L were both significant independent predictors. CONCLUSIONS: The 2h-PG, in contrast to FPG and HbA1c, provides significant prognostic information regarding cardiovascular events in patients with CAD. Furthermore, elevated 2h-PG and HbA1c are significant prognostic indicators of an increased risk of incident diabetes.
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Post-prandial glucose has been suggested to independently predict vascular disease, even in individuals without a previous history of diabetes.
“Post-prandial glucose has been suggested to independently predict vascular disease, even in individuals without a previous history of diabetes.141”
From 2023 ESC guidelines for the management of cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes. (2023) · cites this paper as [141]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Shahim, B., De Bacquer, D., De Backer, G., Gyberg, V., Kotseva, K., Mellbin, L., Schnell, O., Tuomilehto, J., Wood, D., & Rydén, L.
- Affiliations
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- Department of Public Health, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
- Ghent University (BE)
- Forschergruppe Diabetes e.V., Munich, Germany
- Universität für Weiterbildung Krems (AT)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Shahim, Bahira
- Venue
- Diabetes Care
- Publisher
- American Diabetes Association
- Published
- 2017-06-21
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 1233-1240
- ISSN
- 0149-5992 (ISSN-L)
- 1935-5548
- PMC
- PMC5566283
- OpenAlex
- W2664436676
- Cited by
- 114
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 18 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 9.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Diabetes Care (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Ghent University Academic Bibliography (Ghent University) (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- European Society of Cardiology
- Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Keywords
- coronary artery disease, fasting blood glucose, HbA1c, new-onset diabetes, cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure hospitalization, prognostic factors, EUROASPIRE IV
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Blood Glucose, Cholesterol, Coronary Artery Disease, Diabetes Mellitus, Fasting, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Glucose Tolerance Test, Glycated Hemoglobin, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Surveys and Questionnaires, Societies, Medical, Cohort Studies, Exercise, Proportional Hazards Models, Postprandial Period
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