Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes May Be Underestimated in the Chinese Population: Evidence From 21.7 Million People Between 2007 and 2017
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Previous reports of the annual incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in China were conducted using retrospective hospital cases, which may not reflect the reality. This longitudinal study estimated T1D incidence in a Chinese population of 21.7 million from 2007 to 2017. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A population-based registry of T1D was performed by the Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center. Annual incidence and 95% CIs were calculated by age group and sex. The association of sex with T1D incidence and predicted new cases of T1D were assessed using Poisson regression models. Annual percentage change and average annual percentage of change were assessed using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Overall, there were 6,875 individuals who developed T1D from 2007 to 2017 in this population. T1D incidence (/100,000 persons) (95% CI) significantly increased from 2.72 (2.51, 2.93) in 2007 to 3.60 (3.38, 3.78) in 2017 (P < 0.001). The T1D onset peak was in the 10–14-year-old age group. While no significant trend was found in the 0–14- and 15–29-year-old age groups, T1D incidence markedly increased from 1.87 to 3.52 in the ≥30-year-old age group (P < 0.05). The prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis was highest in the 0–4-year-old age group. We predicted new cases of T1D will increase 1.57-fold over the next decade. CONCLUSIONS: T1D incidence in this large Chinese population is higher than has been reported previously. From 2007 to 2017, although the incidence peak was in the 10–14-year age group, the T1D incidence increased sharply in adults but not in youth.
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In China, type 1 diabetes mellitus incidence was 1.49 per 100,000 person-years among those aged ≥75 years, more than four times higher than the 0.37 per 100,000 person-years reported in a separate Chinese study.
“In China, using a population-based registry, the incidence of T1DM was reported as 1.49 (95% CI 0.97–2.29) per 100,000 person-years among those aged ≥75 years22. This figure is more than four times higher than the incidence of 0.37 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 0.27–0.51) reported for those aged ≥75 years in a separate Chinese study23.”
From The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults (2025) · cites this paper as [22]
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The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults
Tomic, D., Harding, J. L., Jenkins, A. J., Shaw, J. E., & Magliano, D. J. (2025) · Nature Reviews Endocrinology · doi:10.1038/s41574-024-01046-z · Cited by 58 · see citing works
“In China, using a population-based registry, the incidence of T1DM was reported as 1.49 (95% CI 0.97–2.29) per 100,000 person-years among those aged ≥75 years 22 .”
Influential
- Authors
- Liu, C., Yuan, Y.-C., Guo, M.-N., Xin, Z., Chen, G.-J., Bentley, A. R., Hua, L., Zheng, J.-P., Ekoru, K., & Yang, J.-K.
- Affiliations
- Beijing Tongren Hospital (CN)
- Department of Endocrinology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
- Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center, Beijing, China
- The Center for Research on Genomics and Global Health, National Human Genome Research Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Capital Medical University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Yang, Jin-Kui
- Venue
- Diabetes Care
- Publisher
- American Diabetes Association
- Published
- 2021-08-19
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2503-2509
- ISSN
- 0149-5992 (ISSN-L)
- 1935-5548
- PMC
- PMC8546282
- OpenAlex
- W3194518908
- Cited by
- 55
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 2
- FWCI
- 5.08
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Diabetes Care (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (81930019)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Diabetes and associated disorders
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, incidence, China, age-specific incidence, sex differences, diabetic ketoacidosis, incidence trends, adult-onset type 1 diabetes, type 1 diabetes in children, population-based registry
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, China, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Retrospective Studies, Incidence, Young Adult
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