The incidence of Type I diabetes has not increased but shifted to a younger age at diagnosis in the 0–34 years group in Sweden 1983 to 1998
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Aims/hypothesis To analyse the incidence of Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in the 0-34 years age group in Sweden 1983-1998.Methods Incidence and cumulative incidence per 100 000 and Poisson regression analysis of age-period effects was carried out using 11 751 cases from two nation-wide prospective registers.Results Incidence (95%-CI) was 21.4 (20.8-21.9) in men and 17.1 (16.6-17.5) in women between 0 and 34 years of age. In boys aged 0-14 and girls aged 0-12 years the incidence increased over time, but it tended to decrease at older age groups, especially in men. Average cumulative incidence at 35 years was 748 in men and 598 in women. Cumulative incidence in men was rather stable during four 4-year periods (736, 732, 762, 756), while in women it varied more (592, 542, 617, 631). In males aged 0-34 years, the incidence did not vary between the 4-year periods ( p=0.63), but time changes among the 3-year age groups differed ( p<0.001). In females the incidence between the periods varied ( p<0.001), being lower in 1987-1990 compared to 1983-1986, but time changes in the age groups did not differ ( p=0.08). For both sexes median age at diagnosis was higher in 1983-1986 than in 1995-1998 ( p<0.001) (15.0 and 12.5 years in males; 11.9 and 10.4 in females, respectively).Conclusion/interpretation During a 16-year period the incidence of Type I diabetes did not increase in the 0-34 years age group in Sweden, while median age at diagnosis decreased. A shift to younger age at diagnosis seems to explain the increasing incidence of childhood Type I diabetes.
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Many reports indicate an excess of type 1 diabetes cases in male adults after the pubertal years, with a male-to-female ratio of at least 1.5, in populations of European origin.
“Many reports indicate an excess of T1D cases in male adults after the pubertal years (male-female ratio ≥1.5) in populations of European origin 31–34.”
From Epidemiology of type 1 diabetes (2010) · cites this paper as [33]
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BackgroundSvensson, J., Lyngaae-Jørgensen, A., Carstensen, B., Simonsen, L. B., Mortensen, H. B., & Danish Childhood Diabetes Registry (2008) · Pediatric Diabetes · doi:10.1111/j.1399-5448.2008.00483.x · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Puberty, Developmental Processes, and Health Interventions
Viner, R., Allen, N. B., & Patton, G. C. (2017) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-0423-6_ch9 · Cited by 77 · see citing works
The risk factors of ketoacidosis in children with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes mellitus
Szypowska, A., & Skórka, A. (2010) · Pediatric Diabetes · doi:10.1111/j.1399-5448.2010.00689.x · Cited by 75 · see citing works
Zipris, D. (2009) · Clinical Immunology · doi:10.1016/j.clim.2008.12.011 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
Glycaemic control and diabetes care utilization in young adults with Type 1 diabetes1
Sparud‐Lundin, C., Öhrn, I., Danielson, E., & Forsander, G. (2008) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2008.02521.x · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Lamb, M. M., Yin, X., Zerbe, G. O., KLINGENSMITH, G. J., Dabelea, D., Fingerlin, T. E., Rewers, M., & Norris, J. M. (2009) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-009-1428-2 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of 1990–2003 Incidence Time Trends of Childhood Diabetes in Italy
Bruno, G., Maule, M. M., Merletti, F., Novelli, G., Falorni, A., Iannilli, A., Iughetti, L., Altobelli, E., d’Annunzio, G., Piffer, S., et al. (2010) · Diabetes · doi:10.2337/db10-0151 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Söderström, U., Åman, J., & Hjern, A. (2012) · Acta Paediatrica · doi:10.1111/j.1651-2227.2011.02410.x · Cited by 88 · see citing works
“In Sweden, this has been accompanied by a shift to a younger age at onset (4).”
BackgroundDiabetes: a growing epidemic of all ages.
Moore, P. A., Zgibor, J. C., & Dasanayake, A. P. (2003) · PubMed · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Age-Dependent Influences on the Origins of Autoimmune Diabetes
Leslie, R. D., & Castelli, M. D. (2004) · Diabetes · doi:10.2337/diabetes.53.12.3033 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
“In support of accelerated disease progression, the disease incidence rose in the young (age 0‐14 years) with a coincident fall later (15‐34 or 39 years) ( 27 ,28).”
BackgroundGenetic and perinatal factors as risk for childhood type 1 diabetes
Larsson, K., Larsson, H. E., Cedervall, E., Kockum, K., Neiderud, J., Sjöblad, S., Lindberg, B. A., Lernmark, B., Cilio, C., Ivarsson, S. A., et al. (2004) · Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews · doi:10.1002/dmrr.506 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Increased Risk of Childhood Type 1 Diabetes in Children Born After 1985
Svensson, J., Carstensen, B., Mølbak, A. G., Christau, B., Mortensen, H. B., Nerup, J., Borch‐Johnsen, K., & the Danish Study Group of Diabetes in Childhood (DSBD) (2002) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.25.12.2197 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Continuous rise in incidence of childhood Type 1 diabetes in Germany
Ehehalt, S., Blumenstock, G., Willasch, A. M., Hub, R., Ranke, M. B., Neu, A., & for the DIARY‐study Group Baden‐Württemberg (2008) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2008.02450.x · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Derraik, J. G. B., Reed, P., Jefferies, C., Cutfield, S. W., Hofman, P. L., & Cutfield, W. S. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0032640 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Diabetes Incidence in 0- to 14-Year Age-Group in Italy
Carle, F., Gesuita, R., Bruno, G., Coppa, G. V., Falorni, A., Lorini, R., Martinucci, M., Pozzilli, P., Prisco, F., Songini, M., et al. (2004) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.27.12.2790 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
for the Swedish Better Diabetes Diagnosis Study Group, Carlsson, A., Kockum, I. S., Lindblad, B., Engleson, L., Nilsson, A. C., Forsander, G., Karlsson, A., Kernell, A., Ludvigsson, J., et al. (2011) · International Journal of Obesity · doi:10.1038/ijo.2011.122 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Li, Z., Yang, N., He, L., Wang, J., Yang, Y., Ping, F., Xu, L., Zhang, H., Li, W., & Li, Y. (2024) · The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer s Disease · doi:10.14283/jpad.2024.21 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
“The age of onset of metabolic risk factors tended to be younger (35-36).”
Epidemiological Perspectives on Type 1 Diabetes in Childhood and Adolescence in Germany
Ehehalt, S., Dietz, K., Willasch, A. M., Neu, A., & for the Baden-Württemberg Diabetes Incidence Registry (DIARY) Group (2009) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc09-1503 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Galli, E., Härkönen, T., Sainio, M. T., Ustav, M., Toots, U., Urtti, A. O., Yliperttula, M. L., Lindahl, M., Knip, M., Saarma, M., et al. (2016) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep29058 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Pozzilli, P., Guglielmi, C., Pronina, E. A., & Petryaykina, E. E. (2007) · Pediatric Diabetes · doi:10.1111/j.1399-5448.2007.00338.x · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Pathogenesis of Type 1 Diabetes: Implications for Incidence Trends
Knip, M. (2011) · Hormone Research in Paediatrics · doi:10.1159/000329169 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
“Whether this is a population-wide increase or a consequence of decreasing average age at disease presentation is controversial. A recent Swedish study reported that there was no significant change in the overall incidence of T1D over a 16-year period in the Swedish population below the age of 35 years, but a shift tow…”
BackgroundGlutathione-s-transferase M1 and T1 polymorphisms and associations with type 1 diabetes age-at-onset
Bekris, L. M., Shephard, C., Peterson, M., Hoehna, J. L., Yserloo, B. V., Rutledge, E. A., Farin, F. M., Kavanagh, T. J., & Lernmark, Å. (2005) · Autoimmunity · doi:10.1080/08916930500407238 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
The emerging global epidemic of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease – causes and consequences
Malmborg, P., & Hildebrand, H. (2015) · Journal of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1111/joim.12413 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Liu, C., Yuan, Y.-C., Guo, M.-N., Xin, Z., Chen, G.-J., Bentley, A. R., Hua, L., Zheng, J.-P., Ekoru, K., & Yang, J.-K. (2021) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc21-0342 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
The Increasing Onset of Type 1 Diabetes in Children
Hummel, K., McFann, K., Realsen, J., Messer, L. H., KLINGENSMITH, G. J., & Chase, H. P. (2012) · The Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1016/j.jpeds.2012.03.061 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
Samuelsson, U., Lindblad, B., Carlsson, A., Forsander, G., Ivarsson, S. A., Kockum, I. S., Lernmark, Å., Marcus, C., Ludvigsson, J., & Better Diabetes Diagnosis (BDD) study group (2012) · Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews · doi:10.1002/dmrr.2365 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
“All factors mentioned previously may contribute to the less good metabolic control of girls with T1D, but are there differences also in disease process? Thus, we know that T1D is twice as common in boys as in girls after the age of 15 years [9], in contrast to other autoimmune diseases that tend to be more common in w…”
ResultPiedmont Study Group for Diabetes Epidemiology, Bruno, G., Novelli, G., Panero, F., Perotto, M., Monasterolo, F., Bona, G., Perino, A., Rabbone, I., Cavallo‐Perin, P., et al. (2009) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-009-1538-x · Cited by 48 · see citing works
“susceptible individuals rather than a true lifetime increasing risk of the disease has been suggested by the few studies that extended the recruitment of incident cases up to adults [ 4 , 5].”
BackgroundResultDemirbilek, H., Mehmet, N. Ö., & Baran, R. T. (2013) · Journal of Clinical Research in Pediatric Endocrinology · doi:10.4274/jcrpe.954 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Cord blood islet autoantibodies and seasonal association with the type 1 diabetes high-risk genotype
Lynch, K. F., Lernmark, B., Merlo, J., Cilio, C., Ivarsson, S., Lernmark, Å., & for the Diabetes Prediction in Skåne (DiPiS) Study Group (2008) · Journal of Perinatology · doi:10.1038/sj.jp.7211912 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Lamb, M. M., Yin, X., Barriga, K. J., Hoffman, M., Barón, A. E., Eisenbarth, G. S., Rewers, M., & Norris, J. M. (2008) · The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism · doi:10.1210/jc.2008-0886 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Dahlquist, G. G., Pundziūtė-Lyckå, A., Nyström, L., & Groups, S. C. D. S. A. T. D. I. S. I. S. (. (2005) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-005-1759-6 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
“The completeness of the register varied between 86 and 97% (mean 91%) [ 7 ].”
InfluentialSelf-citationJoner, G., Stene, L. C., Sövik, O., & the Norwegian Childhood Diabetes Study Group (2004) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.27.7.1618 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Pundziūtė-Lyckå, A., Urbonaitė, B., Ostrauskas, R., Zalinkevicius, R., & Dahlquist, G. G. (2003) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.26.3.671 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Self-citationType 1 diabetes and associated autoimmune diseases
Frommer, L., & Kahaly, G. J. (2020) · World Journal of Diabetes · doi:10.4239/wjd.v11.i11.527 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
More Than 20 Years of Registration of Type 1 Diabetes in Sardinian Children
Bruno, G., Maule, M. M., Biggeri, A., Ledda, A., Mannu, C., Merletti, F., Songini, M., & the Sardinian Group for Diabetes Epidemiology (2013) · Diabetes · doi:10.2337/db12-1771 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Gong, C., Meng, X., Jiang, Y., Wang, X., Cui, H., & Chen, X. (2014) · Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1089/dia.2014.0205 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Schölin, A., Törn, C., Nyström, L., Berne, C., Arnqvist, H. J., Blohmé, G., Bolinder, J., Eriksson, J. W., Kockum, I. S., Landin‐Olsson, M., et al. (2004) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2004.01175.x · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Self-citationMoore, P. A., Zgibor, J. C., & Dasanayake, A. P. (2003) · The Journal of the American Dental Association · doi:10.14219/jada.archive.2003.0369 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Rask, C., Evertsson, S., Telemo, E., & Wold, A. E. (2005) · Scandinavian Journal of Immunology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-3083.2005.01598.x · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Type 1 diabetes in Africa: an immunogenetic study in the Amhara of North-West Ethiopia
Balcha, S. A., Demisse, A. G., Mishra, R., Vartak, T., Cousminer, D. L., Hodge, K. M., Voight, B. F., Lorenz, K., Schwartz, S., Jerram, S. T., et al. (2020) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-020-05229-x · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Teeäär, T., Liivak, N., Heilman, K., Kool, P., Šor, R., Paal, M., Einberg, Ü., & Tillmann, V. (2009) · Pediatric Diabetes · doi:10.1111/j.1399-5448.2009.00535.x · Cited by 39 · see citing works
“This has been shown to be the case in some European countries, where an increase in childhood incidence was associated with a decrease in adult incidence (10, 11).”
BackgroundEising, S., Svensson, J., Skogstrand, K., Nilsson, A., Lynch, K. F., Andersen, P. S., Lernmark, Å., HOUGAARD, D. M., Pociot, F., Nørgaard‐Pedersen, B., et al. (2007) · Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology · doi:10.1111/j.1365-3016.2007.00846.x · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Sella, T., Shoshan, A., Goren, I., Shalev, V., Blumenfeld, O., Laron, Z., & Chodick, G. (2010) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2010.03174.x · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Svensson, M. K. E., Tyrberg, M., Nyström, L., Arnqvist, H. J., Bolinder, J., Östman, J., Guðbjörnsdóttir, S., Landin‐Olsson, M., & Eriksson, J. W. (2014) · Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews · doi:10.1002/dmrr.2574 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
“Since 1983, the DISS has aimed to register all newly diagnosed cases of diabetes, except gestational diabetes, in the age group 15–34 years [16].”
Self-citationFranke, B., Galloway, T. S., & Wilkin, T. J. (2005) · Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews · doi:10.1002/dmrr.554 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
“The Swedish study reported no change in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in the age group 0 to 34 over a 16year period, but the median age at diagnosis significantly decreased during this period [13].”
BackgroundHolmberg, H., Vaarala, O., Sadauskaitė – Kuehne, V., Ilonen, J., Padaiga, Ž., & Ludvigsson, J. (2006) · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2005.10.022 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Lindehammer, S. R., Larsson, K., Örtqvist, E., Carlsson, A., Cedervall, E., Cilio, C., Ivarsson, S. A., Jönsson, B., Larsson, H. E., Lynch, K. F., et al. (2008) · Acta Diabetologica · doi:10.1007/s00592-008-0048-5 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
“According to several studies in trends of incidence, the overall increase in Sweden at 0–34 years of age seems to have reached a plateau, concurrently as the onset of disease has shifted to younger ages [4].”
BackgroundSelf-citationStahl‐Pehe, A., Kamrath, C., Prinz, N., Kapellen, T. M., Menzel, U., Kordonouri, O., Schwab, K., Pozza, S. B., Rosenbauer, J., & Holl, R. W. (2022) · Journal of Diabetes · doi:10.1111/1753-0407.13339 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Excess Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetic Women: A Case for Intensive Treatment
Recarti, C., Sep, S. J. S., Stehouwer, C. D. A., & Unger, T. (2015) · Current Hypertension Reports · doi:10.1007/s11906-015-0554-0 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Chapter 5.2: Major public health problems — diabetes
Eliasson, M., & Boström, G. (2006) · Scandinavian Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1080/14034950600676883 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“Since the disease starts at increasingly low ages, however, increasing numbers will contract it during childhood, instead of as young adults [6].”
BackgroundChildhood growth and age at diagnosis with Type 1 diabetes in Colorado young people
Vehik, K., Hamman, R. F., Lezotte, D. C., Norris, J. M., KLINGENSMITH, G. J., & Dabelea, D. (2009) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2009.02819.x · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Hussen, H. I., Persson, M., & Moradi, T. (2013) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2013-003418 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
- Authors
- and the Swedish Childhood Diabetes Study Group, Pundziute-Lyckå, A., Dahlquist, G., Nyström, L., Arnqvist, H., Björk, E., Blohmé, G., Bolinder, J., Eriksson, J., Sundkvist, G., & Östman, J.
- Affiliations
- Umeå University (SE)
- Linköping University (SE)
- Uppsala University Hospital (SE)
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- Skåne University Hospital (SE)
- Venue
- Diabetologia
- Published
- 2002-05-08
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 783-791
- ISSN
- 0012-186X (ISSN-L)
- 1432-0428
- OpenAlex
- W1996624137
- Cited by
- 234
- References
- 40
- Citations by year
- 2025: 3 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 7 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 13 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 8.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Diabetologia (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Lund University Publications (Lund University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Medical Research Council
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Diabetes and associated disorders
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, incidence trends, age at diagnosis, pediatric diabetes, sex differences, Sweden, diabetes registry, cumulative incidence
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Female, Humans, Infant, Male, Regression Analysis, Sex Characteristics, Sweden, Time Factors, Incidence, Poisson Distribution, Age of Onset, Age Distribution
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