COVID-19: Trade restrictions are worst possible response to safeguard food security
Open accessAbstract
As COVID-19 spreads around the globe, fears of a deep global recession are mounting. Some also fear that food supplies may start running short, especially if supply chains are disrupted. Others fear that agricultural production may be disrupted by containment measures that restrict workers fromharvesting and handling crops. While we should take these concerns seriously — especially for fruits and vegetables, which have complex supply chains, or foods sold primarily through restaurants — they should not be overstated either, especially not for basic staples such as rice, wheat, and maize. Global markets are well supplied, stocks are healthy, production of key staples is unlikely to be disrupted, and prices have remained relatively stable. Trade is allowing production to move from areas of surplus to areas of shortage, avoiding the drastic shortages and food insecurity associated with reliance only on local production.
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Export restrictions and speculation are driving up international prices and worsening the food security situation, as seen during the 2007-2008 food crisis.
“as seen during the 2007–2008 food crisis, export restrictions and speculation are driving up international prices and worsening the situation.”
From Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? (2022) · cites this paper as [33]
Export restrictions pushed up international market prices during the 2007-2008 food crisis.
“As seen during the 2007–2008 food crisis, instead of controlling price rises, export restrictions pushed up international market prices [33].”
From Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? (2022) · cites this paper as [33]
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- Authors
- Glauber, J., Laborde Debucquet, D., Martin, W., & Vos, R.
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- IFPRI E-brary (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- CGSPace A Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- International Food Policy Research Institute (International Food Policy Research Institute) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Security and Socioeconomic Dynamics
- Keywords
- COVID-19 pandemic, food security, trade barriers, food supply chain, agricultural production, food prices, global food markets, food trade, containment measures, staple crops, global recession
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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