PreprintCited by 38Misinformation and Its ImpactsMedia Influence and PoliticsElectoral Systems and Political Participation

Deepfake Warnings for Political Videos Increase Disbelief but Do Not Improve Discernment: Evidence from Two Experiments

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Ternovski, John, Kalla, Joshua, Aronow, P. M.·2021

Abstract

Recent advances in machine learning have led to the development of the “deepfake,” a convincingly realistic, computer-generated video of a public figure saying something they have not actually said. Policymakers have expressed concern that deepfakes could mislead voters and affect election outcomes, but existing research has found minimal persuasive effects. In this paper, we explore a downstream consequence of deepfakes: if voters are repeatedly warned of the existence and dangers of deepfakes, they may simply begin to distrust all political video footage – whether real or fake. Through two online survey experiments, we found that voters were unable to discriminate between a real video and a deepfake. Statements warning about the existence of deepfakes did not enhance participants’ ability to successfully spot manipulated video content. Instead, these warnings consistently induced participants to believe that the videos they watched were fake, even when the videos were real. The warnings were not specific to the video participants were watching; simply stating that deepfakes exist increased distrust of any accompanying video. Our findings suggest that even if deepfakes are not themselves persuasive, rhetoric about deepfakes can nevertheless be weaponized by politicians and campaigns to dismiss and disown real videos.

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Crossref · 10.31219/osf.io/dta97

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  • People's agreement with the content of a message significantly affects judgments of the authenticity of videos.

    “Studies have shown the importance of assessing message content itself as people ' s agreement with the content of a message signi fi cantly a ff ects judgments of the authenticity of videos [38, 39].”

    From Human Performance in Deepfake Detection: A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [39]

  • Providing warning labels may cause participants to doubt the authenticity of all videos watched, regardless of whether they are fake or not.

    “However, providing warning labels may have the unintended consequence of causing participants to doubt the authenticity of all videos watched, regardless of whether they fake or not [39].”

    From Human Performance in Deepfake Detection: A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [39]

  • Providing warnings about the potential for a video being deepfaked increases mistrust of authentic videos.

    “while providing warnings about the potential for a video being deepfaked seems to increase detection of deepfakes, but at the expense of mistrust of authentic videos [39].”

    From Human Performance in Deepfake Detection: A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [39]

  • Providing warnings about the potential for a video being deepfaked seems to increase detection of deepfakes.

    “while providing warnings about the potential for a video being deepfaked seems to increase detection of deepfakes, but at the expense of mistrust of authentic videos [39].”

    From Human Performance in Deepfake Detection: A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [39]

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Authors
Ternovski, J., Kalla, J., & Aronow, P. M.
Affiliations
Yale University (US)
Published
2021-01-14
OpenAlex
W4232480655
Cited by
37
References
24
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 1
Type
posted content
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion, public-domain)
  • OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Yale University
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Keywords
deepfakes, political videos, video manipulation detection, political campaigns, disinformation, voter persuasion

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