The Swine Flu Episode and the Fog of Epidemics1
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The 1918 influenza pandemic has shaped research and public health for nearly a century. In 1976, the specter of 1918 loomed large when a pandemic threatened the country again. Public health officials initiated a mass vaccination campaign, but the anticipated pandemic failed to occur. An examination of the available data in 1976 and the decision to vaccinate, as well as lessons learned from the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the early 1980s, may help shape an appropriate public health response to future threats from avian influenza or other infectious diseases.
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False alarms about emerging infectious diseases can be politically costly, as seen in the 1976 H1N1 influenza scare and the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, which had a relatively low mortality rate of 0.1-0.7%.
“There is no doubt that false alarms about emerging infectious diseases can be politically costly, as was seen during the H1N1 influenza scare in 1976—an epidemic that never occurred91, 92—and the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, which ultimately had a relatively low mortality rate of 0·1–0·7%.93”
From The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future from the COVID-19 pandemic (2022) · cites this paper as [92]
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Cites
Characterization of the 1918 influenza virus polymerase genes
Taubenberger, J. K., Reid, A. H., Lourens, R. M., Wang, R., Jin, G., & Fanning, T. G. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04230 · Cited by 1,065 · see citing works
And the Band Played on: Politics, People, and the AIDS Epidemic
Zurlinden, J. K., & Shilts, R. (1988) · AJN American Journal of Nursing · doi:10.2307/3426023 · Cited by 820 · see citing works
INFLUENZA: THE NEWE ACQUAYANTANCE
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Research works printed but not linked: 2
- [2]Krause RM. Introduction. In: Krause RM, editor. Emerging infections. New York: Academic Press; 1998. p. 1–22.
- [6]Francis T Jr. On the doctrine of original antigenic sin. Proc Am Philos Soc. 1960; 104: 572.
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The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future from the COVID-19 pandemic
Sachs, J. D., Karim, S. S. A., Aknin, L., Allen, J., Brosbøl, K., Colombo, F., Barron, G. C., Espinosa, M. F., Gaspar, V., Gaviria, A., et al. (2022) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(22)01585-9 · Cited by 842 · see citing works
- Authors
- Krause, R.
- Affiliations
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Corresponding author
- Krause, Richard
- Venue
- Emerging Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2006-01
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 40-43
- ISSN
- 1080-6040 (ISSN-L)
- 1080-6059
- PMC
- PMC3291407
- OpenAlex
- W2119483297
- Cited by
- 35
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2023: 2 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2017: 3 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 4 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 3.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Emerging infectious diseases (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Influenza Virus Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Global Security and Public Health
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Emergency Medical Services › Disaster Response and Management
- Keywords
- 1918 influenza pandemic, pandemic preparedness, mass vaccination campaigns, public health response, HIV/AIDS epidemic, avian influenza, lessons learned
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Disease Outbreaks, Humans, Influenza, Human, Influenza A virus, United States, Uncertainty, History, 20th Century
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