Seabirds and climate change: roadmap for the future
Open accessAbstract
Based in part on a symposium held at the first World Seabird Conference in September, 2010 in Victoria, BC, Canada, we present a Theme Section (TS) on the topic of seabirds and climate change.We introduce this TS with a meta-analysis of key attributes of the current seabird-climate literature, based on 108 publications representing almost 3000 seabird-climate associations (mostly correlations) published up to 2011.Using the papers in this TS and our metaanalysis, a brief roadmap for the future of seabird-climate change research is presented.Seabird studies have contributed substantially to the literature on marine climate effects.To improve our understanding of climate change effects on seabirds at the global scale, however, additional lowlatitude, mechanistic, and 'end-to-end' modeling studies, including integration of climatic, oceanographic, food web, and population dynamics models, should be conducted.This approach will enhance our understanding of the relationship between climate and population dynamics, and facilitate seabird conservation in a changing world.
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Most climate change impacts on upper trophic level species are likely to operate indirectly via shifts in habitat characteristics or food web quality.
“so most climate change impacts on them are likely to operate indirectly via shifts in habitat characteristics or food web quality [32].”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [32]
The Introduction says climatic effects on seabirds appear mostly indirect, operating through changes in food webs and pelagic habitat. The claim extends that finding from seabirds to upper trophic level species generally, which the cited paper does not establish. Page numbers were not supplied for these passages. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredChanges in temperature or ocean chemistry (oxygen concentrations or pH) are unlikely to directly affect physiological functions of upper trophic level species.
“Clearly, changes in temperature or ocean chemistry (oxygen concentrations or pH) are unlikely to directly affect physiological functions of upper trophic level species”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [32]
The Introduction and “Disparate Mechanisms of Response” say that climate effects on seabirds appear mostly indirect, often operating through food webs. They do not establish that changes in ocean temperature, oxygen or pH are unlikely to directly affect physiological functions across upper-trophic-level species; the latter section also notes that direct physiological stress from overheating is possible. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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Cites
Apex marine predator declines ninety percent in association with changing oceanic climate
VEIT, R., MCGOWAN, J., AINLEY, D., WAHL, T., & PYLE, P. (1997) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1046/j.1365-2486.1997.d01-130.x · Cited by 174 · see citing works
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Research works printed but not linked: 6
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- Hegerl GC, Zwiers FW, Braconnot P, Gillett NP and others (2007) Understanding and attributing climate change. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z and others (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge p 663-745
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Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems
Bakun, A., Black, B. A., Bograd, S. J., García-Reyes, M., Miller, A. J., Rykaczewski, R. R., & Sydeman, W. J. (2015) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-015-0008-4 · Cited by 470 · see citing works
Self-citationMigratory marine species: their status, threats and conservation management needs
Lascelles, B., Notarbartolo Di Sciara, G., Agardy, T., Cuttelod, A., Eckert, S., Glowka, L., Hoyt, E., Llewellyn, F., Louzao, M., Ridoux, V., et al. (2014) · Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems · doi:10.1002/aqc.2512 · Cited by 221 · see citing works
- Authors
- Sydeman, W., Thompson, S., & Kitaysky, A.
- Affiliations
- Farallon Institute (US)
- University of Alaska Fairbanks (US)
- ORCID
- Kitaysky, A
- Venue
- Marine Ecology Progress Series
- Publisher
- Inter-Research Science Center
- Published
- 2012-05-21
- Volume
- 454
- Pages
- 107-117
- ISSN
- 0171-8630 (ISSN-L)
- 1616-1599
- OpenAlex
- W2118357186
- Cited by
- 148
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 22 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 7.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- Marine Ecology Progress Series (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Marisla Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Avian ecology and behavior
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine animal studies overview
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Marine and fisheries research
- Keywords
- seabirds, climate change, population dynamics, food web modeling, ocean modeling, seabird conservation, mechanistic modeling
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