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Cited by 408

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 22 of the 22 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Stories of the Twentieth Century for the Twenty-First

Open access
Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, Obstfeld, Maurice·2011·National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

A key precursor of twentieth-century financial crises in emerging and advanced economies alike was the rapid buildup of leverage.Those emerging economies that avoided leverage booms during the 2000s also were most likely to avoid the worst effects of the twenty-first century's first global crisis.A discrete-choice panel analysis using 1973-2010 data suggests that domestic credit expansion and real currency appreciation have been the most robust and significant predictors of financial crises, regardless of whether a country is emerging or advanced.For emerging economies, however, higher foreign exchange reserves predict a sharply reduced probability of a subsequent crisis.

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Metadata

Authors
Gourinchas, P.-O., & Obstfeld, M.
Venue
National Bureau of Economic Research
Published
2011-07
OpenAlex
W2890497695
Cited by
408
References
22
Type
report
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Stories of the Twentieth Century for the Twenty-First. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.3386/w17252
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Gourinchas, P.-O., & Obstfeld, M. (2011). Stories of the Twentieth Century for the Twenty-First. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w17252

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