Reconstructing Global Chlorophyll-a Variations Using a Non-linear Statistical Approach
Open accessAbstract
Monitoring the spatio-temporal variations of surface chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl, a proxy of phytoplankton biomass) greatly benefited from the availability of continuous and global ocean color satellite measurements from 1997 onward. These two decades of satellite observations are however still too short to provide a comprehensive description of Chl variations at decadal to multi-decadal timescales. This paper investigates the ability of a machine learning approach (a non-linear statistical approach based on Support Vector Regression, hereafter SVR) to reconstruct global spatio-temporal Chl variations from selected surface oceanic and atmospheric physical parameters. With a limited training period (13 years), we first demonstrate that Chl variability from a 32-years global physical-biogeochemical simulation can generally be skillfully reproduced with a SVR using the model surface variables as input parameters. We then apply the SVR to reconstruct satellite Chl observations using the physical predictors from the above numerical model and show that the Chl reconstructed by this SVR more accurately reproduces some aspects of observed Chl variability and trends compared to the model simulation. This SVR is able to reproduce the main modes of interannual Chl variations depicted by satellite observations in most regions, including El Niño signature in the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans. In stark contrast with the trends simulated by the biogeochemical model, it also accurately captures spatial patterns of Chl trends estimated by satellite data, with a Chl increase in most extratropical regions and a Chl decrease in the center of the subtropical gyres, although the amplitude of these trends are underestimated by half. Results from our SVR reconstruction over the entire period (1979–2010) also suggest that the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation drives a significant part of decadal Chl variations in both the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans. Overall, this study demonstrates that non-linear statistical reconstructions can be complementary tools to in situ and satellite observations as well as conventional physical-biogeochemical numerical simulations to reconstruct and investigate Chl decadal variability.
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Decreasing Chl-a concentrations have been recently reported in all five subtropical gyres.
“Decreasing Chl-a concentrations have been recently reported in all five subtropical gyres (Martinez et al., 2020;Signorini et al., 2015;Vantrepotte & Mélin, 2009).”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Martinez et al., 2020
The 'Reconstruction of Satellite Chl Interannual to Decadal Variability and Trends' section reports generally negative chlorophyll-a trends in the centers of gyres over 1998–2010 and identifies declines in Atlantic and Pacific oligotrophic gyres. It does not establish a decrease in each of the five subtropical gyres, so 'all five' is more specific than the evidence supports. The supplied copy gives no page number for these passages. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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Biological and Chemical Response of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean to the 1997-98 El Niño
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- Wilson, C., and Coles, V. J. (2005). Global climatological relationships between satellite biological and physical observations and upper ocean properties. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 110:C10001. doi: 10.1029/2004JC002724 · DOI
- Yoder, J. A., and Kennelly, M. A. (2003). Seasonal and ENSO variability in global ocean phytoplankton chlorophyll derived from 4 years of SeaWiFS measurements. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 17:1112. doi: 10.1029/2002GB001942 · DOI
- Zhan, H., Shi, P., and Chen, C. (2003). Retrieval of oceanic chlorophyll concentration using support vector machines. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 41, 2947-2951. doi: 10.1109/tgrs.2003.819870 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Siemer, J. P., Machín, F., González‐Vega, A., Arrieta, J. M., Gutiérrez‐Guerra, M. A., Pérez‐Hernández, M. D., Vélez‐Belchí, P., Hernández‐Guerra, A., & Fraile‐Nuez, E. (2021) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans · doi:10.1029/2021jc017268 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
- Authors
- Martinez, E., Gorgues, T., Lengaigne, M., Sauzède, R., Menkes, C., Uitz, J., Di Lorenzo, E., & Fablet, R.
- Affiliations
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Ifremer (FR)
- Venue
- Frontiers in Marine Science
- Publisher
- Frontiers Media SA
- Published
- 2020-06-30
- Volume
- 7
- Pages
- e00464
- ISSN
- 2296-7745 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3038073891
- Cited by
- 43
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 6 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 2
- FWCI
- 3.00
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Frontiers in Marine Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Institutional Archive of Ifremer (French Research Institute for Exploitation of the Sea) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Chemistry › Aquatic Ecosystems and Phytoplankton Dynamics
- Keywords
- chlorophyll a, phytoplankton biomass, ocean color remote sensing, support vector regression, decadal variability, interannual variability, El Niño, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, tropical Pacific, Indian Ocean, subtropical gyre, chlorophyll trends
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