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The Power of Microbiome Studies: Some Considerations on Which Alpha and Beta Metrics to Use and How to Report Results
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Abstract
Background: Since sequencing techniques have become less expensive, larger sample sizes are applicable for microbiota studies. The aim of this study is to show how, and to what extent, different diversity metrics and different compositions of the microbiota influence the needed sample size to observe dissimilar groups. Empirical 16S rRNA amplicon sequence data obtained from animal experiments, observational human data, and simulated data were used to perform retrospective power calculations. A wide variation of alpha diversity and beta diversity metrics were used to compare the different microbiota datasets and the effect on the sample size. Results: Our data showed that beta diversity metrics are the most sensitive to observe differences as compared with alpha diversity metrics. The structure of the data influenced which alpha metrics are the most sensitive. Regarding beta diversity, the Bray–Curtis metric is in general the most sensitive to observe differences between groups, resulting in lower sample size and potential publication bias. Conclusion: We recommend performing power calculations and to use multiple diversity metrics as an outcome measure. To improve microbiota studies, awareness needs to be raised on the sensitivity and bias for microbiota research outcomes created by the used metrics rather than biological differences. We have seen that different alpha and beta diversity metrics lead to different study power: because of this, one could be naturally tempted to try all possible metrics until one or more are found that give a statistically significant test result, i.e., p -value < α. This way of proceeding is one of the many forms of the so-called p -value hacking. To this end, in our opinion, the only way to protect ourselves from (the temptation of) p -hacking would be to publish a statistical plan before experiments are initiated, describing the outcomes of interest and the corresponding statistical analyses to be performed.
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![FIGURE 3 Empirical power of a two-sample Kruskal–Wallis test for the univariate comparison of two simulated microbiome datasets X1 and X2 [Simulated dataset 1: this simulation generates data under an exist–non-exist binary scenario where bacterial features are either present or absent in X1 and X2. The data have the same phylogenetic structure of the Human Microbiome Project (HMP) Gut data described in Table 1] using different alpha diversity metrics (phylogenetic, Chao1, Shannon’s, and Simpson’s indices; see Equations 3–6 in section “Materials and Methods”). The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11) as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 1,000 replications. (A–F) The analysis of data simulations in which 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 75% of bacterial features are not present in dataset X2 with respect to X1, respectively.](/paper-figures/75aa016d2c764d33b3e3a03da0149cef/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-3.jpg)
![FIGURE 4 Empirical power of a permutational multivariate ANOVA (PERMANOVA) test for the multivariate comparison of two simulated microbiome datasets X1 and X2 [Simulated dataset 1: this simulation generates data under an exist–non-exist binary scenario where bacterial features are either present or absent in X1 and X2. The data have the same phylogenetic structure of the Human Microbiome Project (HMP) Gut data described in Table 1] using different beta diversity metrics [Bray–Curtis dissimilarity (B), Jaccard (J), unweighted UniFrac (UF), and weighted UniFrac (WUF) distances; see Equations (7)–(9), and (6) in section “Materials and Methods”]. The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11) as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 100 replications. (A–F) The analysis of data simulations in which 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 75% of bacterial features are not present in dataset X2 with respect to X1, respectively.](/paper-figures/ffcbf874805a485dba7819e5a1f84e43/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-4.jpg)
![FIGURE 5 Empirical power of a two-sample Kruskal–Wallis test for the univariate comparison of two simulated microbiome datasets X1 and X2 [Simulated dataset 2: This simulation thus generates data under a differential abundant scenario where bacterial features are present in the different compositions in X1 and X2. The data have the same phylogenetic structure of the Human Microbiome Project (HMP) Gut data described in Table 1] using different alpha diversity metrics [phylogenetic, Chao1, Shannon’s, and Simpson’s indices; see Equations (3)–(5), and (6) in section “Materials and Methods”]. The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11) as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 1,000 replications. (A–F) The analysis of data simulations in which one-fourth of bacterial features in X2 are 1, 2, 5, 10, 15, and 20% more abundant than in X1, respectively.](/paper-figures/1160c9c6cb934728ad75930d0d9befd5/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-5.jpg)
![FIGURE 6 Empirical power of a permutational multivariate ANOVA (PERMANOVA) test for the multivariate comparison of two simulated microbiome datasets X1 and X2 [Simulated dataset 2: This simulation thus generates data under a differential abundant scenario where bacterial features are present in the different compositions in X1 and X2. The data have the same phylogenetic structure of the Human Microbiome Project (HMP) Gut data described in Table 1] using different beta diversity metrics [Bray–Curtis dissimilarity (B), Jaccard (J), unweighted UniFrac (UF), and weighted UniFrac (WUF) distances; see Equations (7)–(9), and (6) in section “Materials and Methods”]. The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11) as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 100 replications. (A–F) The analysis of data simulations in which one-fourth of bacterial features in X2 are 1, 2, 5, 10, 15, and 20% more abundant than in X1, respectively.](/paper-figures/48d2ea32843246d5b2d72e1495876cac/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-6.jpg)
![FIGURE 7 Empirical power of a two-sample Kruskal–Wallis test for the univariate comparison of two experimental microbiome datasets X1 and X2 from the Human Microbiome Projects (skin, gut, oral, and vaginal microbiome: dataset characteristics are given in Table 1). Differences between any two datasets X1 and X2 is assessed using different alpha diversity metrics [observed richness, phylogenetic diversity, Chao1, Shannon’s, and Simpson’s indices; see Equations (2)–(5), and (6) in section “Materials and Methods”]. The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11). Empirical power is calculated as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 1,000 replications (resampling)/tests for each sample size. (A–F) Different pairwise comparisons [A (poultry dataset B, feed A vs. B); B (poultry dataset C, feed A vs. B), skin microbiome vs. oral microbiome, skin vs. gut, gut vs. oral, and skin vs. vaginal].](/paper-figures/cbcde1ba2b964bdab5c4009a3d938f59/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-7.jpg)
![FIGURE 8 Empirical power of a two-sample Kruskal–Wallis test for the univariate comparison of two experimental microbiome datasets X1 and X2 from the three chicken datasets illustrated in Table 1. Differences between any two datasets X1 and X2 are assessed using different beta diversity metrics [Bray–Curtis dissimilarity (B), Jaccard (J), unweighted UniFrac (UF), and weighted UniFrac (WUF) distances; see Equations (7)–(9) and (6) in section “Materials and Methods”]. The empirical power is calculated using Equation (11) as a function of the sample size n1 of group 1 (with n2 = n1 and total sample size n = n1 + n2) using K = 100 replications. (A) Analysis of chicken dataset A. (B) Analysis of chicken dataset B. (C) Analysis of chicken dataset C.](/paper-figures/b671b95317b1488680a5eb8121c9202b/the-power-of-microbiome-studies-some-considerations-on-which-alpha-and-beta-figure-8.jpg)

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“Data interpretation must be cautious due to high inter-individual variability, lack of standardization in pipelines, and the absence of a universally defined healthy microbiome [76,77].”
From The Seven Methods for the Evaluation of Nutritional Status—ABCDEFG: Narrative Review (2026) · cites this paper as [76]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Kers, J. G., & Saccenti, E.
- Affiliations
- Wageningen University & Research (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Saccenti, Edoardo
- Venue
- Frontiers in Microbiology
- Publisher
- Frontiers Media SA
- Published
- 2022-03-03
- Volume
- 12
- Pages
- 796025-796025
- ISSN
- 1664-302X (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8928147
- OpenAlex
- W4214875183
- Cited by
- 359
- References
- 70
- Citations by year
- 2026: 121 · 2025: 121 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 31 · 2022: 5
- FWCI
- 19.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Frontiers in Microbiology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek
- European Commission
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Gut microbiota and health
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Microbial Community Ecology and Physiology
- Health Sciences › Dentistry › Periodontics › Oral microbiology and periodontitis research
- Keywords
- microbiome, sample size determination, statistical power, 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing, Bray-Curtis distance, p-hacking, publication bias, statistical reporting, pre-analysis plan
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