RISK-BASED ASSESSMENT AND STRENGTHENING OF ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS SUBJECTED TO NATURAL HAZARDS
Open accessAbstract
Modern economic and social activities are dependent on a complex network of infrastructure systems that are highly interdependent. Electric power systems form the backbone of such complex network as most civil infrastructure systems cannot function properly without reliable power supply. Electric power systems are vulnerable to extensive damage due to natural hazards, as evident in recent hazard events. Hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, tornados and other natural hazards have caused billions of dollars in direct losses due to damage to power systems and indirect losses due to power outages, as well as social disruption. There is, therefore, a need for a comprehensive framework to assess and mitigate the risk posed by natural hazards to electric power systems. Electric power systems rely on various components that work together to deliver power from generating units to customers. Consequently, any reliable risk assessment methodology needs to take into account how the different components interact. This requires a system-level risk assessment approach. This research presents a framework for system-level risk assessment and management for electric power systems subjected to natural hazards. Specifically, risk due to hurricanes and earthquakes, as well as the combined effect of both is considered. The framework incorporates a topological-based system reliability model, probabilistic and scenario-based hazard analysis, climate change modeling, component vulnerability, component importance measure, multi-hazard risk assessment, and cost analysis. Several risk mitigation strategies are proposed; their efficiency and cost-effectiveness are studied. The developed framework is intended to assist utility companies and other stakeholders in making a risk-informed decision regarding short- and long-term investment in natural hazard risk mitigation for electric power systems. The framework can be used to identify certain parts of the system to strengthen, compare the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of various risk mitigation strategies using life-cycle cost analysis, compare risks posed by different natural hazards, and prioritize investment in the face of limited resources.
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In absence of cascading failures, the magnitude of a power system's performance drop during a windstorm is largely determined by the fragility of the powerline poles as a function of the wind strength.
“For example, in absence of cascading failures, the magnitude of a power system's performance drop during a windstorm is largely determined by the fragility of the powerline poles as a function of the wind strength [20,68,69].”
From Energy system resilience – A review (2021) · cites this paper as [68]
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Self-citationWood pole purchasing, inspection, and maintenance: a survey of utility practices.
Mankowski, M. E., Hansen, E., & Morrell, J. J. (2002) · USC Research Bank (University of the Sunshine Coast) · Cited by 27 · see citing works
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Degradation-path model for wood pole asset management
Li, Y., Yeddanapudi, S. R. K., McCalley, J. D., Chowdhury, A. A., & Moorehead, M. (2005) · North American Power Symposium (NAPS) · doi:10.1109/naps.2005.1560538 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Electric Power Distribution Equipment and Systems
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Risk Analysis of a Protected Hurricane-Prone Region. I: Model Development
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Modeling the impact of fire spread on the electrical distribution network of a virtual city
Bagchi, A., Sprintson, A., & Singh, C. (2009) · North American Power Symposium (NAPS) · doi:10.1109/naps.2009.5484082 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
A Web‐based distributed system for hurricane occurrence projection
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Reliability Modeling for the Advanced Electric Power Grid
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Seismic Performance Analysis for the LADWP Power System
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Fragility Assessment of Wood Poles in Power Distribution Networks against Extreme Wind Hazards
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Risky Business: Building a Resilient Power Sector
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Seismic Vulnerabilities and Retrofit of High-Voltage Electrical Substation Facilities
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Practical lessons from the Loma Prieta earthquake
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Flagged first, then by citations
3 of the 139 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Energy system resilience – A review
Jasiūnas, J., Lund, P. D., & Mikkola, J. (2021) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2021.111476 · Cited by 412 · see citing works
“powerline poles as a function of the wind strength [20,68,69].”
BackgroundEnhancing resilience of interdependent traffic-electric power system
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Resilience Modeling of Interdependent Traffic-Electric Power System Subject to Hurricanes
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Linking socio-economic aspects to power system disruption models
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Electrical Grid Smart Cable Detach Mechanism and Emergency Communication Network
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Framework of Fragility and Vulnerability Assessment for Power Distribution System Under Hurricane
Li, M., & Dai, Q. (2023) · IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference - Latin America (ISGT Latin America) · doi:10.1109/isgt-la56058.2023.10328225
- Authors
- Salman, A.
- Affiliations
- Michigan Technological University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Salman, Abdullahi
- ORCID
- Salman, Abdullahi
- Publisher
- Michigan Technological University
- Published
- 2016-01-01
- OpenAlex
- W2587250993
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 139
- Citations by year
- 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1
- Type
- dissertation
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Digital Commons - Michigan Tech (Michigan Technological University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Michigan Technological University
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Civil and Structural Engineering › Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality › Power System Reliability and Maintenance
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Risk and Safety Analysis
- Keywords
- power systems, natural hazards, risk assessment, hurricane risk, seismic risk, multi-hazard risk, system reliability, component importance measures, climate change modeling, risk mitigation strategies, life cycle cost analysis, investment prioritization, power outages
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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