The boomer penalty: excess mortality among baby boomers in Canada and the United States
Open accessAbstract
Studies suggest that, relative to adjacent cohorts, baby boomers in Canada and the United States have experienced a slowdown, or even a deterioration, in mortality improvements.These findings are counterintuitive and surprising since the unprecedented improvements in early life conditions experienced by baby boomers should have led to declines in morbidity and mortality in later life, as was the case for earlier generations.The present study explores the mechanisms that could have produced this "excess" mortality among the baby boom cohorts in Canada and in three racial/ethnic groups in the United States.Using micro-level mortality data from vital statistics systems, we analyzed the contributions of the causes of death that are likely driving this cohort's excess mortality, and their dynamics over time.The analyses were done using demographic decomposition, visual, and statistical methods.We found evidence of a higher susceptibility of the trailing edge boomers (those born around 1960) to behavioral causes of death: namely, mortality from drugs, alcohol, HIV/AIDS, hepatitis C, COPD, and suicide.Most of these causes contributed to the all-cause mortality disadvantage of baby boomers through sustained cohort effects that followed the cohorts over time.This finding calls into question the assumption that secular improvements in early life conditions lead to a monotonic decline in cohort mortality rates.Instead, there may be important disruptions in the continuous progress in health and mortality, and it is possible that the baby boom generation represents one such disruption.This insight calls for a rethinking of the mechanisms that drive current age-period-cohort mortality patterns.The mechanisms that can generate the observed cohort disadvantage of baby boomers -such as the higher levels of distress and frustration as well as the riskier attitudes toward drug use and sexual practices that are constituent of the boomer generation identity -are addressed and discussed.
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Bourbeau, R. R., & Ouellette, N. (2016) · Canadian Studies in Population · doi:10.25336/p6801v · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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Sauer, T., Ebeling, M., & Rau, R. (2018) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.2018.304671 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Acosta, E., Mehta, N., Myrskylä, M., & Ebeling, M. (2022) · The Journals of Gerontology: Series B · doi:10.1093/geronb/gbac032 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
“There is evidence that these cohorts exhibit general excess mortality for several behavior-related causes of death, including drug- and alcohol-related causes (Acosta et al., 2020).”
BackgroundSelf-citationInsights into US life expectancy stagnation from birth cohort mortality dynamics
Abrams, L., Bramajo, O., van Raalte, A., Myrskylä, M., & Mehta, N. K. (2026) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2519356123 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Research has pointed to a series of age–period interactions from successive historical crises including HIV/AIDS and the heroine and opioid epidemics, as well as the long - term disadvantages of the scar-ring effects these events caused (30).”
Self-citation
- Authors
- Acosta, E., Gagnon, A., Ouellette, N., Bourbeau, R. R., Nepomuceno, M., & van Raalte, A. A.
- Affiliations
- Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (DE)
- Université de Montréal (CA)
- Published
- 2020-01
- OpenAlex
- W3002219306
- Cited by
- 5
- References
- 126
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- Keywords
- baby boomers, excess mortality, cohort effects, age-period-cohort analysis, causes of death, drug-related deaths, alcohol-related mortality, HIV mortality, hepatitis C, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, suicide, racial and ethnic groups, mortality trends, Canada, United States
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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