Aumento del número de generaciones de gusano cogollero (Spodoptera frugiperda) como indicador del calentamiento global
Open accessAbstract
Las pérdidas en los rendimientos están estrechamente relacionadas con el aumento de las plagas en los cultivos. Las temperaturas más elevadas pueden dar lugar a un establecimiento más temprano, ciclos de vida más cortos, más generaciones y mayor dispersión en un área geográfica. El maíz es un cultivo económico importante en todo el mundo. Una de sus principales plagas, Spodoptera frugiperda (gusano cogollero) está causandopérdidas de millones de dólares. Los mapas de escenarios climáticos muestran un aumento en el número de generaciones de gusano cogollero para el área de estudio. Mientras que actualmente tres y cuatro generaciones es lo más común, para 2060 cuatro y cinco generaciones pueden presentarse en la mayor parte del territorio estatal. En la actualidad, el mayor número de generaciones es de seis en pequeñas áreas. En un futuro se predicen áreas con siete generaciones de cogollero, lo cual no ocurre actualmente. Estos resultados muestran que un mayor número días con temperaturas cálidas en una temporada de cría pueden llevar a una disminución de la duración del ciclo de vida del gusano cogollero, permitiendo así más generaciones por temporada. Este aumento puede generar más presión en las zonas agrícolas con impactos económicos y sociales negativos en la oferta de maíz en el futuro. Los resultados de esta modelación podrían utilizarse para llevar a cabo políticas de mitigación y adaptación para garantizar la seguridad alimentaria en un clima mundial cambiante.
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Rising temperatures create ideal conditions for FAW, speeding up its life cycle and enabling it to produce more generations annually.
“Rising temperatures create ideal conditions for the FAW, speeding up its life cycle thus enabling it to produce more generations annually8.”
From Atmospheric cold plasma alters plant traits and negatively affects the growth and development of fall armyworm in rice (2025) · cites this paper as [8]
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- Authors
- Ramírez-Cabral, N., Medina-García, G., & Kumar, L.
- Affiliations
- Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y Pecuarias (MX)
- University of New England (AU)
- Venue
- Revista Chapingo Serie Zonas Áridas
- Publisher
- Universidad Autonoma Chapingo
- Published
- 2020-06-30
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-16
- ISSN
- 2007-526X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3041464216
- Cited by
- 15
- References
- 36
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 1.12
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- es
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Revista Chapingo Serie Zonas Áridas (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Insect Science › Insect-Plant Interactions and Control
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Entomological Studies and Ecology
- Keywords
- Spodoptera frugiperda, number of generations, global warming, climate change, maize pests, life cycle duration, temperature effects on insect development, crop yield loss, climate change scenarios, food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation
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