Global carbon uptake of cement carbonation accounts 1930–2021
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Abstract. The main contributor to the greenhouse gas (GHG) footprint of the cement industry is the decomposition of alkaline carbonates during clinker production. However, systematic accounts for the reverse of this process – namely carbonation of calcium oxide and other alkaline oxides and/or hydroxides within cement materials during cements' life cycles – have only recently been undertaken. Here, adopting a comprehensive analytical model, we provide the most updated estimates of CO2 uptake by cement carbonation. The accumulated amount of global CO2 uptake by cements produced from 1930 to 2021 is estimated to be 22.9 Gt CO2 (95 % confidence interval, CI: 19.6–26.6 Gt CO2). This amount includes the CO2 uptake by concrete, mortar, construction waste and kiln dust, accounting for 30.1 %, 58.5 %, 4.0 % and 7.1 % respectively. The cumulative carbon uptake by cement materials from 1930 to 2021 offsets 55.1 % of the emissions from cement production (41.6 Gt CO2, 95 % CI: 38.7–47.2 Gt CO2) over the same period, with the greater part coming from mortar (58.5 % of the total uptake). China has the highest cement carbon uptake, with cumulative carbonation of 7.06 Gt CO2 (95 % CI: 5.22–9.44 Gt CO2) since 1930. In addition, the carbon uptake amounts of the USA, EU, India and the rest of the world took 5.0 %, 23.2 %, 5.6 % and 34.8 % separately. As a result of rapidly increased production in recent years, over three-quarters of the cement carbon uptake has occurred since 1990. Additionally, our results show little impact by the COVID-19 pandemic on cement production and use, with carbon uptake reaching about 0.92 Gt CO2 (95 % CI: 0.78–1.10 Gt CO2) in 2020 and 0.96 Gt CO2 (95 % CI: 0.81–1.15 Gt CO2) in 2021. Our uniformly formatted and most updated cement uptake inventories provide coherent data-based support for including cement carbon uptake into future carbon budgets from the local to global scale. The latest version contains the uptake data till 2021, showing the global uptake's increasing pattern and offering more usable and relevant data for evaluating cement's carbon uptake capacity. All the data described in this study are accessible at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7516373 (Bing et al., 2023).
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The large amount of cement used in products to date arguably renders recarbonation a sizeable global CO2 sink which is not yet fully accounted for in climate models and mitigation plans.
“Nonetheless, the large amount of cement used in products to date, arguably renders recarbonation a sizeable global CO2 sink which is not yet fully accounted for in climate models and mitigation plans [12 -16].”
From Isotope chemistry to trace carbon mineralization in construction materials (2026) · cites this paper as [14]
The Abstract estimates 22.9 Gt of global CO₂ uptake by cement produced from 1930 to 2021, supporting the description of recarbonation as a sizeable sink. Section 3.3 says IPCC inventory guidelines lacked methods for accounting for this uptake and that global carbon budgets have only started to consider it. The paper does not establish whether climate models or mitigation plans specifically account for it fully. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Substantial global carbon uptake by cement carbonation
Xi, F., Davis, S. J., Ciais, P., Crawford-Brown, D., Guan, D., Pade, C., Shi, T., Syddall, M., Lv, J., Ji, L., et al. (2016) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2840 · Cited by 689 · see citing works
Self-citationCarbon dioxide sequestration in cement kiln dust through mineral carbonation
Huntzinger, D. N., Gierke, J. S., Kawatra, S. K., Eisele, T. C., & Sutter, L. L. (2009) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es802910z · Cited by 442 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 26
- Andersson, R., Fridh, K., Stripple, H., and Häglund, M.: Calcu- lating CO 2 Uptake for Existing Concrete Structures during and after Service Life, Environ. Sci. Tech. Let., 47, 11625-11633, https://doi.org/10.1021/es401775w, 2013. · DOI · Paper page
- Andrew, R. M.: Global CO 2 emissions from cement pro- duction, 1928-2018, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 1675-1710, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1675-2019, 2019. · DOI
- Antunes, M., Santos, R. L., Pereira, J., Rocha, P., Horta, R. B., and Colaço, R.: Alternative Clinker Technologies for Reducing Car- bon Emissions in Cement Industry: A Critical Review, Materials, 15, 209, https://doi.org/10.3390/ma15010209, 2021. · DOI
- Cao, Z., Shen, L., Løvik, A. N., Müller, D. B., and Liu, G.: Elab- orating the History of Our Cementing Societies: An in-Use Stock Perspective, Environ. Sci. Tech. Let., 51, 11468-11475, https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b03077, 2017. · DOI
- Cao, Z., Myers, R. J., Lupton, R. C., Duan, H., Sacchi, R., Zhou, N., Miller, T. R., Cullen, J. M., Ge, Q., and Liu, G.: The sponge effect and carbon emission mitigation potentials of the global cement cycle, Nat. Commun., 11, 3777, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467- 020-17583-w, 2020. · DOI
- China Cement Association (CCA): China Cement Almanac, China Building Industry Press, Beijing, China, ISBN 9787516007594, 2001-2015.
- Chiang, P. C. and Pan, S. Y.: CO 2 Mineralization and Utilization via Accelerated Carbonation, in: Carbon Dioxide Mineralization and Utilization, Springer, Singapore, https://doi.org/10.1007/978- 981-10-3268-4_3, 2017. · DOI
- Damineli, B. L., Kemeid, F. M., Aguiar, P. S., and John, V. M.: Measuring the eco-efficiency of ce- ment use, Cement Concrete Comp., 32, 555-562, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cemconcomp.2010.07.009, 2010. · DOI
- Damtoft, J. S., Lukasik, J., Herfort, D., Sorrentino, D., and Gartner, E. M.: Sustainable development and climate change initiatives, Cement Concrete Res., 38, 115-127, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cemconres.2007.09.008, 2008. · DOI
- Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Anthoni, P., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bel- louin, N., Bopp, L., Chau, T. T. T., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Currie, K. I., Decharme, B., Djeutchouang, L. M., Dou, X., Evans, W., Feely, R. A., Feng, L., Gasser, T., Gilfil- lan, D., Gkritzalis, T., Grassi, G., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Houghton, R. A., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Luijkx, I. T., Jain, A., Jones, S. D., Kato, E., Kennedy, D., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Lienert, S., Liu, J., Marland, G., McGuire, P. C., Melton, J. R., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Niwa, Y., Ono, T., Pier- rot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Rosan, T. M., Schwinger, J., Schwingshackl, C., Séférian, R., Sutton, A. J., Sweeney, C., Tanhua, T., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G. R., Vuichard, N., Wada, C., Wanninkhof, R., Watson, A. J., Willis, D., Wiltshire, A. J., Yuan, W., Yue, C., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., and Zeng, J.: Global Carbon Budget 2021, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 1917-2005, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022, 2022. · DOI
- Guo, R., Wang, J., Bing, L., Tong, D., Ciais, P., Davis, S. J., An- drew, R. M., Xi, F., and Liu, Z.: Global CO 2 uptake by ce- ment from 1930 to 2019, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 1791-1805, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-1791-2021, 2021. · DOI
- Hargis, C. W., Chen, I. A., Devenney, M., Fernandez, M. J., Gilliam, R. J., and Thatcher, R. P.: Calcium Carbonate Cement: A Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) Technique, Materials, 14, 2709, https://doi.org/10.3390/ma14112709, 2021. · DOI
- Kaliyavaradhan, S. K., Ling, T.-C., and Mo, K. H.: CO 2 sequestra- tion of fresh concrete slurry waste: Optimization of CO 2 uptake and feasible use as a potential cement binder, J. CO2 Util., 42, 101330, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcou.2020.101330, 2020. · DOI · Paper page
- Low, M.-S.: Material flow analysis of concrete in the United States, S.M., Department of Architecture, Thesis, Massachusetts In- stitute of Technology, USA, http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/33030, 2005. MIIT: Building materials, http://www.miit.gov.cn/n1146312/ n1146904/n1648356/n1648361/index.html (last access: 22 August 2020), 2019.
- Pade, C. and Guimaraes, M.: The CO 2 uptake of concrete in a 100 year perspective, Cement. Concrete. Res., 37, 1348-1356, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cemconres.2007.06.009, 2007. · DOI
- Possan, E., Thomaz, W. A., Aleandri, G. A., Felix, E. F., and dos Santos, A. C. P.: CO 2 uptake potential due to concrete carbon- ation: a case study, Case Studies in Construction Materials, 6, 147-161, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cscm.2017.01.007, 2017. · DOI
- Renforth, P., Washbourne, C.-L., Taylder, J., and Manning, D. A. C.: Silicate Production and Availability for Min- eral Carbonation, Environ. Sci. Tech. Let., 45, 2035-2041, https://doi.org/10.1021/es103241w, 2011. · DOI · Paper page
- Sanjuán, M.Á., Andrade, C., Mora, P., and Zaragoza, A.: Carbon dioxide uptake by cement-based materials: a Spanish case study, Appl. Sci., 10, 339, https://doi.org/10.3390/app10010339, 2020. · DOI
- Schlorke, S., Tu, L., Stec, M., Mallagray, J. V., and Kaleem, H.: The Impact of COVID-19 on the Cement Industry, Interna- tional Finance Corporation, Washington, DC, http://hdl.handle. net/10986/35233, 2020.
- Shen, L., Zhao, J., Wang, L., Liu, L., Wang, Y., Yao, Y., Geng, Y., Gao, T., and Cao, Z.: Calculation and evaluation on carbon emis- sion factor of cement production in China, Chinese Sci. Bull., 61, 2926-2938, https://doi.org/10.1360/N972016-00037, 2016. · DOI
- Skocek, J., Zajac, M., and Haha, M. B.: Carbon capture and utiliza- tion by mineralization of cement pastes derived from recycled concrete, Sci. Rep., 10, 5614, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598- 020-62503-z, 2020. Trading Economics: Russia cement production, https: //tradingeconomics.com/russia/cement-production (last ac- cess: 10 March 2023), 2021. USGS: https://www.usgs.gov/centers/ national-minerals-information-center/ cement-statistics-and-information, last access: 15 March 2023. · DOI
- Xu, J.-H., Fleiter, T., Eichhammer, W., and Fan, Y.: Energy con- sumption and CO 2 emissions in China's cement industry: A per- spective from LMDI decomposition analysis, Energ. Policy, 50, 821-832, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.038, 2012. · DOI
- Xu, J.-H., Fleiter, T., Fan, Y., and Eichhammer, W.: CO 2 emissions reduction potential in China's cement industry compared to IEA's Cement Technology Roadmap up to 2050, Appl. Energy, 130, 592-602, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.03.004, 2014. · DOI
- Xuan, D. and Poon, C. S.: 16 -Sequestration of carbon diox- ide by RCAs and enhancement of properties of RAC by ac- celerated carbonation, in: New Trends in Eco-efficient and Re- cycled Concrete, edited by: de Brito, J. and Agrela, F., Wood- head Publishing, 477-497, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08- 102480-5.00016-6, 2019. · DOI
- Yang, K.-H., Song, J.-K., and Song, K.-I.: Assessment of CO 2 re- duction of alkali-activated concrete, J. Clean Prod., 39, 265-272, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.08.001, 2013. · DOI
- Yang, K.-H., Seo, E.-A., and Tae, S.-H.: Carbonation and CO 2 uptake of concrete, Environ. Impact Assess. Rev., 46, 43-52, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2014.01.004, 2014. · DOI · Paper page
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Isotope chemistry to trace carbon mineralization in construction materials
Jansen, D., Matschei, T., Van Geldern, R., Barth, J., & Snellings, R. (2026) · RILEM Technical Letters · doi:10.21809/rilemtechlett.2026.232
- Authors
- Huang, Z., Wang, J., Bing, L., Qiu, Y., Guo, R., Yu, Y., Ma, M., Niu, L., Tong, D., Andrew, R. M., Friedlingstein, P., Canadell, J. G., Xi, F., & Liu, Z.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Tsinghua University (CN)
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
- CICERO Center for International Climate Research (NO)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU)
- University of Hong Kong (HK)
- Corresponding author
- Xi, Fengming
- Liu, Zhu
- ORCID
- Venue
- Earth System Science Data
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2023-11-07
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 4947-4958
- ISSN
- 1866-3508 (ISSN-L)
- 1866-3516
- OpenAlex
- W4388464034
- Cited by
- 50
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 18 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 5.84
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Earth system science data (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Informationszentrum Lebenswissenschaften (ZB MED) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UNC Libraries
- Funders
- Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (2020201, Y202050)
- Foundation for Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41977290)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAEMP202201)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Civil and Structural Engineering › Concrete and Cement Materials Research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
- Keywords
- ation, CO2 sequestration, concrete, mortar, construction waste, cement kiln dust, global carbon balance, alkali metal carbonates
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review