The DOI matches its Crossref record; 49 of the 49 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate change and the global pattern of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods
Open accessAbstract
Abstract. Despite recent research identifying a clear anthropogenic impact on glacier recession, the effect of recent climate change on glacier-related hazards is at present unclear. Here we present the first global spatio-temporal assessment of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) focusing explicitly on lake drainage following moraine dam failure. These floods occur as mountain glaciers recede and downwaste. GLOFs can have an enormous impact on downstream communities and infrastructure. Our assessment of GLOFs associated with the rapid drainage of moraine-dammed lakes provides insights into the historical trends of GLOFs and their distributions under current and future global climate change. We observe a clear global increase in GLOF frequency and their regularity around 1930, which likely represents a lagged response to post-Little Ice Age warming. Notably, we also show that GLOF frequency and regularity – rather unexpectedly – have declined in recent decades even during a time of rapid glacier recession. Although previous studies have suggested that GLOFs will increase in response to climate warming and glacier recession, our global results demonstrate that this has not yet clearly happened. From an assessment of the timing of climate forcing, lag times in glacier recession, lake formation and moraine-dam failure, we predict increased GLOF frequencies during the next decades and into the 22nd century.
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Cites
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Cited by
Climate Extremes and Compound Hazards in a Warming World
AghaKouchak, A., Chiang, F., Huning, L. S., Love, C. A., Mallakpour, I., Mazdiyasni, O., Moftakhari, H., Papalexiou, S. M., Ragno, E., & Sadegh, M. (2020) · Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences · doi:10.1146/annurev-earth-071719-055228 · Cited by 1,103
Rapid worldwide growth of glacial lakes since 1990
Shugar, D. H., Burr, A., Haritashya, U. K., Kargel, J. S., Watson, C. S., Kennedy, M. C., Bevington, A. R., Betts, R. A., Harrison, S., & Strattman, K. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0855-4 · Cited by 677
Self-citationGlobal glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters
Rounce, D. R., Hock, R., Maussion, F., Hugonnet, R., Kochtitzky, W., Huss, M., Berthier, E., Brinkerhoff, D., Compagno, L., Copland, L., et al. (2023) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abo1324 · Cited by 676
Glacial change and hydrological implications in the Himalaya and Karakoram
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Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation
Zheng, G., Allen, S. K., Bao, A., Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A., Huss, M., Zhang, G., Li, J., Yuan, Y., Jiang, L., Yu, T., et al. (2021) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01028-3 · Cited by 426
Metadata
- Authors
- Harrison, S., Kargel, J. S., Huggel, C., Reynolds, J., Shugar, D. H., Betts, R. A., Emmer, A., Glasser, N., Haritashya, U. K., Klimeš, J., Reinhardt, L., Schaub, Y., Wiltshire, A., Regmi, D., & Vilímek, V.
- Venue
- The Cryosphere
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2018-04-09
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1195-1209
- ISSN
- 1994-0416 (ISSN-L)
- 1994-0424
- OpenAlex
- W2765724164
- Cited by
- 444
- References
- 49
- FWCI
- 18.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Harrison, S., Kargel, J. S., Huggel, C., Reynolds, J., Shugar, D. H., Betts, R. A., Emmer, A., Glasser, N., Haritashya, U. K., Klimeš, J., Reinhardt, L., Schaub, Y., Wiltshire, A., Regmi, D., & Vilímek, V. (2018). Climate change and the global pattern of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods. The Cryosphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1195-2018
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