The DOI matches its Crossref record; 30 of the 30 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Dynamics of Commodity Spot and Futures Markets: A Primer
Abstract
I discuss the short-run dynamics of commodity prices, production, ami inventories, as well as the sources and effects of market volatility. I explain how prices, rates of production, and inventory levels are interrelated, and are determined via equilibrium in two interconnected markets: a cash market for spot purchases and sales of the commodity, and a market for storage. I show how equilibrium in these markets affects and is affected by changes in the level of price volatility. I also explain the role and behavior of commodity futures markets, and the relationship between spot prices, futures prices, and inventory behavior. I illustrate these ideas with data for the petroleum complex - crude oil, heating oil, and gasoline - over the past two decades.
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Citations
Cites
Schwartz, E. S., Dixit, A. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2329279 · Cited by 9,498
Self-citationDixit, R. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994) · doi:10.1515/9781400830176 · Cited by 9,029
Self-citationThe Econometrics of Financial Markets
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (2012) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.2307/j.ctt7skm5 · Cited by 5,875
The Econometrics of Financial Markets
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997) · doi:10.1515/9781400830213 · Cited by 5,008
“Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives”
(2016) · AMBER – ABBS Management Business and Entrepreneurship Review · doi:10.23874/amber/2016/v7/i1/121351 · Cited by 5,007
Moffitt, R. A. (2009) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.99.2.660 · Cited by 4,694
The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging
SCHWARTZ, E. S. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02721.x · Cited by 2,113
Short-Term Variations and Long-Term Dynamics in Commodity Prices
Schwartz, E., & Smith, J. E. (2000) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.46.7.893.12034 · Cited by 1,095
Option Valuation of Claims on Real Assets: The Case of Offshore Petroleum Leases
Paddock, J. L., Siegel, D. R., & Smith, J. L. (1988) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/1885541 · Cited by 811
The Excess Co-Movement of Commodity Prices
Pindyck, R. S., & Rotemberg, J. J. (1990) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/2233966 · Cited by 755
Self-citation
Cited by
What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?
Alquist, R., & Kilian, L. (2010) · Journal of Applied Econometrics · doi:10.1002/jae.1159 · Cited by 744
The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements
Känzig, D. R. (2021) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20190964 · Cited by 448
Procrastinating reform: The impact of the market stability reserve on the EU ETS
Perino, G., & Willner, M. (2016) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2016.09.006 · Cited by 128
No-arbitrage conditions for storable commodities and the modeling of futures term structures
Liu, P. (., & Tang, K. (2010) · Journal of Banking & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.03.013 · Cited by 28
Does Speculation Affect Spot Price Levels? The Case of Metals with and without Futures Markets
Korniotis, G. M. (2009) · Finance and Economics Discussion Series · doi:10.17016/feds.2009.29 · Cited by 16
Metadata
- Authors
- Pindyck, R. S.
- Venue
- The Energy Journal
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2001-07
- Volume
- 22
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1-29
- ISSN
- 0195-6574 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-9089
- OpenAlex
- W2014933671
- Cited by
- 591
- References
- 30
- FWCI
- 23.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.