Guidelines for evaluating and expressing the uncertainty of NIST measurement results
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TL;DR
This NIST Technical Note 1297 (1994) gives guidelines for evaluating and expressing measurement uncertainty at NIST, adopting the CIPM/ISO Guide approach. It defines Type A and Type B evaluations, combined and expanded uncertainty, and reporting conventions, with \(k=2\) as the NIST default coverage factor.
Key findings
- NIST policy: represent each uncertainty component by a standard uncertainty \(u_i\), combine them by the root-sum-of-squares method into the combined standard uncertainty \(u_c\), and report expanded uncertainty \(U = k u_c\) with \(k=2\) by convention, or report \(u_c\); other \(k\) values require established and documented requirements.
- Type A evaluations use statistical methods; Type B evaluations use other means. The A/B distinction is not the same as “random”/“systematic.” Type B examples include dividing a quoted 95% interval by 1.960 and a 99% interval by 2.576; for a rectangular distribution \(u_j = a/\sqrt{3}\), for triangular \(u_j = a/\sqrt{6}\), and for normal models \(u_j \approx 1.48a\) for a 50% interval, \(u_j \approx a\) for 67%, and \(u_j \approx a/3\) for 99.73%.
- Coverage: when the normal distribution applies and \(u_c\) has negligible uncertainty, \(U=2u_c\) defines an interval with approximately 95% confidence and \(U=3u_c\) greater than 99%. Table B.1 gives \(t\)-factors; for example, if \(\nu_{\text{eff}}=8\), \(k_{95}=2.3\) rather than 2.0.
- Reporting examples use a nominal 100 g mass standard: \(m_s=(100.02147 \pm 0.00070)\) g with \(u_c=0.35\) mg and \(k=2\) gives approximately 95% confidence; a second example uses \(k=2.26\) based on \(t\) for \(\nu=9\); a third reports \(u_c=0.35\) mg with approximately 68% confidence. An end-gauge calibration uncertainty budget example gives combined standard uncertainty \(u_c(l)=34\) nm.
Methods
- Design: consensus/guideline document, the 1994 second edition of NIST TN 1297, based on the CIPM 1981 recommendation and the ISO *Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement*; intended for NIST measurement results.
- Data or sample: no empirical sample; illustrative examples include a nominal 100 g mass standard and an end-gauge calibration uncertainty budget.
- Main analysis: conceptual and policy guidance with formulas, including the law of propagation of uncertainty Eq. (A-3), Type A standard deviation of the mean Eq. (A-5), Type B assumed distributions, the Welch-Satterthwaite effective degrees of freedom, and \(t\)-distribution coverage factors.
Limitations
- Stated in the paper: the guidance is not NIST policy unless directly quoted; the Technical Note does not give detailed statistical techniques for Type A evaluations; Type B degrees of freedom are “more problematic”; the coverage-factor procedure is approximate and “should not be interpreted as being rigourous”; and it is generally not possible to know all uses of a measurement result.
- Stated in the paper: Type B evaluations depend on scientific judgment and available information, and Type A evaluations based on limited data are not necessarily more reliable than soundly based Type B evaluations.
- Evident from the text: this is a policy/guidance document rather than an empirical validation study, and its numerical examples are illustrative rather than generalizable results.
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Claims the paper makes
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- Findingown data§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results
According to Table B.1, if ν_eff = 8, k_95 = 2.3 rather than 2.0.
“Table B.1 (to be discussed below), if ν eff = 8, k 95 = 2.3 rather than 2.0.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
In the common case where x_i is the sample mean and u(x_i) is the estimated standard deviation of the mean, the degrees of freedom of u(x_i) is ν = n - 1.
“In the common case discussed in subsection A.4 where x i = X i and u(x i ) = s(X i ), the degrees of freedom of u(x i ) is ν = n 1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
NIST policy is that the value of k used at NIST for calculating U is, by convention, k = 2.
“To be consistent with current international practice, the value of k to be used at NIST for calculating U is, by convention, k = 2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results
The terms 'random uncertainty' and 'systematic uncertainty' can be misleading when generally applied.
“Thus the terms”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
If m parameters are estimated by fitting a curve to n data points by least squares, the degrees of freedom of the standard uncertainty of each parameter is n - m.
“If m i parameters are estimated by fitting a curve to n data points by the method of least squares, the degrees of freedom of the standard uncertainty of each paramter is n m.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Interpretationreasoning
Under the assumption that Type B evaluations are carried out so that underestimation is avoided and limits are chosen so the probability of lying outside is extremely small, the degrees of freedom of u(x_i) may be taken to be ν_i → ∞.
“Under the assumption that this practice is followed, the degrees of freedom of u(x i ) may be taken to be ν i → ∞.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: It is common practice to carry out Type B evaluations in a manner that ensures underestimation is avoided.
- Rests on an assumption: When lower and upper limits are set for Type B evaluations, they are usually chosen so that the probability of the quantity lying outside these limits is extremely small.
- Interpretationreasoning
The effective degrees of freedom ν_eff is a key factor in determining the coverage factor k_p.
“Hence ν eff is a key factor in determining k .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
For a combined standard uncertainty u_c(y), the effective degrees of freedom ν_eff, approximated by combining the degrees of freedom of its components, is a measure of its uncertainty.
“For a combined standard uncertainty u ( y), the”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results
The result of a measurement after correction can unknowably be very close to the unknown value of the measurand, and thus have negligible error, even though it may have a large uncertainty.
“For example, the result of a measurement after correction (see subsection 5.2) can unknowably be very close to the unknown value of the measurand, and thus have negligible error, even though it may have a large uncertainty (see the Guide [2]).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
For a rectangular distribution with a 100% probability interval half-width a, the standard uncertainty u_j is a/√3.
“The best estimate of the value of the quantity is then (a + + a ) / 2 with u j = a / ⎯ √3, where a = (a + a ) / 2.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
NIST policy is that values of k other than 2 are only to be used for specific applications dictated by established and documented requirements.
“Values of k other than 2 are only to be used for specific applications dictated by established and documented requirements.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
For an estimate of the standard deviation of a normal distribution, the degrees of freedom of the estimate is a measure of its uncertainty.
“For an estimate of the standard deviation of a normal distribution, the degrees of freedom of the estimate, which depends on the size of the sample on which the estimate is based, is a measure of its uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The new NIST policy on expressing measurement uncertainty is based on the CIPM approach recommended in 1981 and elaborated in the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement.
“The new NIST policy is based on the approach to expressing uncertainty in measurement recommended by the CIPM 1 in 1981 [1] and the elaboration of that approach given in the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (hereafter called the Guide), which was prepared by individuals nominated by the BIPM, IEC, ISO, or OIML [2].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Rests on an assumption: In October 1992, a new policy on expressing measurement uncertainty was instituted at NIST.
- Premisereasoning
The probability distribution characterized by the measurement result y and its combined standard uncertainty u_c(y) is approximately normal when the conditions of the Central Limit Theorem are met.
“The probability distribution characterized by the measurement result and its combined standard uncertainty is approximately normal when the conditions of the Central Limit Theorem are met.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
NIST policy allows the use of established and documented methods equivalent to the RSS method, such as the numerically based bootstrap.
“The NIST policy also allows the use of established and documented methods equivalent to the”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
The Guide [2] and Dietrich [10] give an approximate solution to establishing the relation between k and p.
“The Guide [2] and Dietrich [10] give an approximate solution to this problem”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [2]
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- cites [10]
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- Interpretationcitation
NIST policy allows any valid statistical method that is technically justified under the existing circumstances to be used to determine the equivalent of u_i, u_c, or U.
“It is understood that any valid statistical method that is technically justified under the existing circumstances may be used to determine the equivalent of u i , u , or U.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
The degrees of freedom of a standard uncertainty u(x_i) obtained from a Type A evaluation is determined by appropriate statistical methods.
“The degrees of freedom of a standard uncertainty u(x i ) obtained from a Type A evaluation is determined by appropriate statistical methods [7].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationcitation
NIST policy is to use expanded uncertainty U to report the results of all NIST measurements other than those for which u_c has traditionally been employed.
“Use expanded uncertainty U to report the results of all NIST measurements other than those for which u c has traditionally been employed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Rests on an assumption: For some commercial, industrial, and regulatory applications of NIST results, a measure of uncertainty that defines an interval about the measurement result within which the value of the measurand is confidently believed to lie is often required.
- Interpretationnone given
For a triangular distribution with half-width a, the standard uncertainty u_j is a/√6.
“If the distribution used to model the quantity is triangular rather than rectangular, then u j = a / ⎯ √6.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
NIST policy requires that when reporting a measurement result and its uncertainty, a list of all components of standard uncertainty, together with their degrees of freedom where appropriate, and the resulting value of u_c be included.
“A list of all components of standard uncertainty, together with their degrees of freedom where appropriate, and the resulting value of u .The c components should be identified according to the method used to estimate their numerical values:”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationnone given
If u_c(y) has non-negligible uncertainty, the level of confidence associated with an interval based on u_c will differ from 68 percent.
“If u ( y) has non-negligible uncertainty, the level of confidence c will differ from 68 percent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
For a quantity z described by a normal distribution with expectation μ and standard deviation σ, the interval μ ± kσ encompasses 68.27, 90, 95.45, 99, and 99.73 percent of the distribution for k = 1, 1.645, 2, 2.576, and 3, respectively.
“For a quantity z described by a normal distribution with expectation µ and standard deviation σ, the interval µ ± kσ z z encompasses 68.27, 90, 95.45, 99, and 99.73 percent of the distribution for k = 1, k = 1.645, k = 2, k = 2.576, and k = 3, respectively”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Table B.1
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
For a normal distribution whose limits contain approximately 99.73% of possible values, the standard uncertainty u_j is approximately a/3, where a is the half-width.
“Thus, if the limits a and a + of a normally distributed quantity with mean (a + + a ) / 2 are considered to contain”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
For a normal distribution with about a 67% probability interval half-width a, the standard uncertainty u_j is approximately a.
“Model the quantity in question by a normal distribution and estimate lower and upper limits a and a + such that the best estimated value of the quantity is (a + + a ) / 2 and there is about a 2 out of 3 chance (i.e., a 67 percent probability) that the value of the quantity lies in the interval a to a + .Then u j ≈ a, where a = (a + a ) / 2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
For a standard whose possible estimated values are approximately normally distributed with approximate standard deviation u_c, the unknown value of the standard is believed to lie in the interval m_s ± u_c with a level of confidence of approximately 68 percent.
“Since it can be assumed that the possible estimated values of the standard are approximately normally distributed with approximate standard deviation u , the c unknown value of the standard is believed to lie in the interval m s ± u c with a level of confidence of approximately 68 percent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The possible estimated values of the standard are approximately normally distributed with approximate standard deviation u_c.
- Interpretationreasoning
It is difficult in practice to choose a specific value of k that produces an interval corresponding to a well-defined level of confidence p because it requires knowing in considerable detail the probability distribution of each quantity upon which the measurand depends and combining those distributions.
“This is difficult to do in practice because it requires knowing in considerable detail the probability distribution of each quantity upon which the measurand depends and combining those distributions to obtain the distribution of the measurand.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results
A high-quality Zener voltage standard calibrated by comparison with a Josephson effect voltage reference based on the conventional value of the Josephson constant has a relative combined standard uncertainty u_c(V_S)/V_S of 2×10^-8 when V_S is reported in terms of the conventional value, but 4×10^-7 when V_S is reported in terms of the SI unit volt, because of the additional uncertainty associated
“The relative combined standard uncertainty u (V S ) / V S of the calibrated potential difference V S of the c Zener standard is 2×10 8 when V S is reported in terms of the conventional value, but u (V S ) / V S is 4×10 7 when V S is reported in c terms of the SI unit of potential difference, the volt (V), because of the additional uncertainty associated with the SI value of the Josephson constant.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Guide
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationnone given
When an unknown standard is calibrated in terms of a known reference standard at lower levels of the measurement hierarchy, the uncertainty of the result of calibration may have as few as two components: a single Type A standard uncertainty evaluated from the pooled experimental standard deviation that characterizes the calibration process; and a single Type B (or possibly Type A) standard不确定性.
“When an unknown standard is calibrated in terms of a known reference standard at lower levels of the measurement hierarchy, the uncertainty of the result of calibration may have as few as two components: a single Type A standard uncertainty evaluated from the pooled experimental standard deviation that characterizes the calibration process; and a single Type B (or possibly”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationnone given
For a measurand defined by a standard method of measurement, the uncertainty depends not only on the repeatability and reproducibility of the measurement results, but also on how well one believes the standard measurement method has been implemented.
“In this case, the uncertainty depends not only on the repeatability and reproducibility of the measurement results (see subsections D.1.1.2and D.1.1.3),but also on how well one believes the standard measurement method has been implemented.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 49
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
- May combine two claims. 10
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThere is not always a simple correspondence between the classification of uncertainty components into categories A and B and the commonly used classification of uncertainty components as 'random' and 'systematic'.
“There is not always a simple correspondence between the classification of uncertainty components into categories A and B and the commonly used classification of uncertainty components as”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone given§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsWhen details of NIST measurement results are provided to users by referring to published documents, the referenced documents must be kept up-to-date so that they are consistent with the measurement process in current use.
“it is imperative that the referenced documents be kept up-to-date so that they are consistent with the measurement process in current use.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. The quote only partly states this claim.
InterpretationcitationIn cases where a valid statistical method is used or agreements require deviation, the report of uncertainty must document what was done and why.
“In both cases, the report of uncertainty must document what was done and why.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationnone givenEstimating a coverage factor k_p requires taking into account the uncertainty of u_c(y).
“To estimate the value of such a coverage factor 1/2 (A-5) requires taking into account the uncertainty of u c ( y), that is,”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationWhen a probability interpretation, such as a level of confidence, is provided for the interval defined by U or u_c, the basis for such a statement must be given.
“When this is done, the c basis for such a statement must be given.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
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InterpretationcitationNIST policy requires a description of how k was chosen when k is not taken equal to 2.
“A description of how k was chosen when k is not taken equal to 2.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe four-step coverage factor procedure is expected to find broad international acceptance because of its computational convenience, similar to k = 2 becoming the conventional coverage factor.
“The four-step procedure is included in these guidelines because it is expected to find broad acceptance internationally, due in part to its computational convenience, in much the same way that k = 2 has become the conventional coverage factor.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationNIST policy regarding reporting uncertainty is to report U together with the coverage factor k used to obtain it, or report u_c.
“Report U together with the coverage factor k used to obtain it, or report u .c”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSince the early 1980s, an international consensus has been developing on a uniform approach to the expression of uncertainty in measurement.
“Since the early 1980s, an international consensus has been developing on a uniform approach to the expression of uncertainty in measurement.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenThe CIPM approach does not specify how the relation between k and p is to be established.
“The CIPM approach does not specify how the relation between k and p is to be established.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationCommonly, combined standard uncertainty u_c is used for reporting results of determinations of fundamental constants, fundamental metrological research, and international comparisons of realizations of SI units.
“Commonly, u is used for reporting results of c determinations of fundamental constants, fundamental metrological research, and international comparisons of realizations of SI units.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationNIST policy requires a detailed description of how each component of standard uncertainty was evaluated.
“A detailed description of how each component of standard uncertainty was evaluated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsAn uncertainty component arising from a systematic effect may in some cases be evaluated by method A while in other cases by method B, as may an uncertainty component arising from a random effect.
“In principle, an uncertainty component arising from a systematic effect may in some cases be evaluated by method A while in other cases by method B (see subsection 2.2), as may be an uncertainty component arising from a random effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenOnly if quantitative and thoroughly documented statements of uncertainty accompany the results of NIST calibrations can the users of NIST calibration services establish their level of traceability to the U.S. standards of measurement maintained at NIST.
“For example, only if quantitative and thoroughly documented statements of uncertainty accompany the results of NIST calibrations can the users of our calibration services establish their level of traceability to the U.S. standards of measurement maintained at NIST.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: It is generally agreed that the usefulness of measurement results, and thus much of the information that NIST provides as an institution, is to a large extent determined by the quality of the statements of uncertainty that accompany them.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationreasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsWhen ν_eff is comparatively small and an interval with a level of confidence close to a specified level is required, the uncertainty of u_c(y) is unlikely to be considered negligible and the small ν_eff would probably be taken into account when determining k_p.
“In this case, and in other similar cases where ν ( y) is comparatively small and an interval eff of u c having a level of confidence close to a specified level is required, it is unlikely that the uncertainty of u ( y) would be c considered negligible.Instead, the small value of ν eff , and thus the uncertainty of u ( y), would probably be taken into c account when determining k p .”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationNIST policy recognizes that international, national, or contractual agreements to which NIST is a party may occasionally require deviation from NIST policy.
“Further, it is recognized c that international, national, or contractual agreements to which NIST is a party may occasionally require deviation from NIST policy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
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Interpretationnone givenThe interval defined by U in the second example might be a conventional confidence interval (at least approximately) if all components of uncertainty are obtained from Type A evaluations.
“In this regard, the interval defined by U in the second example might be a conventional confidence interval (at least approximately) if all the components of uncertainty are obtained from Type A evaluations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn a 1986 recommendation, the CIPM requested that combined standard uncertainty u_c be used by all participants in giving the results of all international comparisons or other work done under the auspices of the CIPM and Comités Consultatifs.
“It should also be noted that in a 1986 recommendation [9], the CIPM requested that what is now termed combined standard uncertainty u be used”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe use of a single approach within NIST rather than many different approaches would ensure the consistency of NIST outputs, thereby simplifying their interpretation.
“The use of a single approach within the Institute rather than many different approaches would ensure the consistency of our outputs, thereby simplifying their interpretation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Although the vast majority of NIST measurement results are accompanied by quantitative statements of uncertainty, there has never been a uniform approach at NIST to the expression of uncertainty.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe four-step coverage factor procedure is based on a proven approximation but should not be interpreted as rigorous because the approximation is extrapolated to situations where its applicability has not been fully investigated.
“However, although the procedure is based on a proven approximation, it should not be interpreted as being rigourous because the approximation is extrapolated to situations where its applicability has yet to be fully investigated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisereasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsEquation (A-3) is based on a first-order Taylor series approximation of Y = f(X_1, X_2, ..., X_N) and is referred to as the law of propagation of uncertainty.
“Equation (A-3 ) is based on a first-order Taylor series approximation of Y = f(X 1 , X 2 , . . ., X N ) and is conveniently referred to as the law of propagation of uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenThere are national as well as international standards that discuss the characterization of test methods by interlaboratory comparisons.
“There are national as well as international standards that discuss the characterization of test methods by interlaboratory comparisons.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIf a standard uncertainty is obtained from a source outside of the current measurement process and the nature of its individual components are unknown, it may be classified as having been obtained from a Type B evaluation.
“If a standard uncertainty is obtained from a source outside of the current measurement process and the nature of its individual components are unknown (which will often be the case), it may be classified as having been obtained from a Type B evaluation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationWhen NIST authors participate in such characterization or measurement programs, NIST policy allows for the results to be expressed as required by the relevant standards.
“When NIST authors participate in such characterization or measurement programs, NIST policy allows for the results to be expressed as required by the relevant standards (see Appendix C, section 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
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Interpretationnone givenBoth u(xi) and u_i(y) can be viewed as components of uncertainty that give rise to the combined standard uncertainty u_c(y) of the measurement result y.
“In short, both u(x i ) and u i ( y) can be viewed as components of uncertainty that give rise to the combined standard uncertainty u ( y) of the measurement result y.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone given§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsWhen a measurement result is expressed in terms of a conventional reference value rather than the relevant SI unit, this is an example of a situation in which all significant components of uncertainty are not taken into account.
“(This is an example of a situation in which all significant components of uncertainty are not taken into account.)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIf the combined standard uncertainty u_c(y) of the measurement result y is obtained from Type A standard uncertainties (and covariances) only, it too may be considered Type A, even though no direct observations were made.
“In this same vein, if the combined standard uncertainty u ( y) of the measurement result y is obtained from Type A c standard uncertainties (and covariances) only, it too may be considered Type A, even though no direct observations were”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIn Eq. (D-1), both u(xi) and u_i(y) can be considered components of uncertainty of the measurement result y.
“In Eq. (D-1), both u(x i ) and u i ( y) can be considered components of uncertainty of the measurement result y.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenSuch identification can also be given in a table which lists the components of standard uncertainty.
“However, such identification can also be given in a table which lists the components of standard uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone given§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsA valid statement of reproducibility requires specification of the conditions changed.
“A valid statement of reproducibility requires specification of the conditions changed.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationreasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsThe t_p of this Technical Note and of the Guide and t_{1-α} are related by p = 1 - 2α.
“Thus t of this Technical Note and of the p Guide and t 1 α are related by p 1 2α.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone given§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsIf a combined standard uncertainty is obtained from Type B standard uncertainties (and covariances) only, it too may be considered Type B.
“Similarly, if a combined standard uncertainty is obtained from Type B standard uncertainties (and covariances) only, it too may be considered Type B.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationreasoning§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsThe values of t_p(ν) defined in reference [D.2] differ from the values of t_p(ν) defined as in this Technical Note and the Guide, and given in Table B.1.
“Clearly, the values of t p (ν ) defined in this way differ from the values of t p (ν ) defined as in this Technical Note and in the Guide, and given in Table B.1 (which is of the same form as that given in reference [10]).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMany of NIST's sister national standards laboratories and important metrological organizations, including WECC and EUROMET, have adopted the approach recommended by the CIPM in 1981 and reaffirmed in 1986.
“Many of NIST's sister national standards laboratories as well as a number of important metrological organizations, including the Western European Calibration Cooperation (WECC) and EUROMET, have adopted the approach recommended by the International Committee for Weights and Measures (CIPM) in 1981 [1] and reaffirmed by the CIPM in 1986 [2].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsNIST SP 811 elaborates upon the NIST policy regarding the SI and explains why abbreviations such as ppm and ppb and terms such as normality and molarity should not be used.
“In particular, it elaborates upon the NIST policy regarding the SI and explains why abbreviations such as ppm and ppb and terms such as normality and molarity should not be used.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [D.3]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenA standard uncertainty known to be composed of components obtained from Type A evaluations alone should be classified as a Type A standard uncertainty, while a standard uncertainty known to be composed of components obtained from Type B evaluations alone should be classified as a Type B standard uncertainty.
“On the other hand, a standard uncertainty known to be composed of components obtained from Type A evaluations alone should be classified as a Type A standard uncertainty, while a standard uncertainty known to be composed of components obtained from Type B evaluations alone should be classified as a Type B standard uncertainty.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone given§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsIn such cases the magnitude of the uncertainty ascribable to the measurement result may be significantly smaller than when that result is expressed in the relevant SI unit.
“In such cases the magnitude of the uncertainty ascribable to the measurement result may be significantly smaller than when that result is expressed in the relevant SI unit.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIf the input estimates xi are uncorrelated, Eq. (A-3) of Appendix A may be written as Eq. (D-1).
“For example, if the input estimates x i are uncorrelated, Eq. (A-3) of Appendix A may be written as (D-1)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIf a test method is employed at NIST to obtain measurement results for reasons other than those described above, it is expected that the uncertainties of these measurement results will be evaluated and reported according to section 2 of the NIST policy.
“If a test method is employed at NIST to obtain measurement results for reasons other than those described above, it is expected that the uncertainties of these measurement results will be evaluated and reported according to section 2 of the NIST policy (see Appendix C).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Appendix C
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIn many cases a measurand Y is not measured directly, but is determined from N other quantities X1...XN through a functional relation f.
“In many cases a measurand Y is not measured directly, but is determined from N other quantities X 1 , X 2 , . . ., X N through a functional relation f: Y f (X 1 , X 2 , . . ., X N ).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsAs pointed out in the Guide, the result of a measurement is sometimes expressed in terms of the adopted value of a measurement standard or in terms of a conventional reference value rather than in terms of the relevant unit of the SI.
“As pointed out in the Guide, the result of a measurement is sometimes expressed in terms of the adopted value of a measurement standard or in terms of a conventional reference value rather than in terms of the relevant unit of the SI.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Guide
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationnone givenThe approach to evaluating and expressing the uncertainty of a measurement result on which the NIST policy and this Technical Note are based is applicable to evaluating and expressing the uncertainty of the estimated value of a measurand that is defined by a standard method of measurement.
“The approach to evaluating and expressing the uncertainty of a measurement result on which the NIST policy and this Technical Note are based is applicable to evaluating and expressing the uncertainty of the estimated value of a measurand that is defined by a standard method of measurement.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationNIST policy on the use of units that are not part of the SI requires that SI units be stated first, with the units that are not part of the SI in parentheses.
“This situation is similar to the NIST policy on the use of units that are not part of the SI: the SI units must be stated first, with the units that are not part of the SI in parentheses (see subsection D.6.2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe function f of Eq. (A-1) should express not simply a physical law but a measurement process, and in particular, it should contain all quantities that can contribute a significant uncertainty to the measurement result.
“Thus the function f of Eq. (A-1) should express not simply a physical law but a measurement process, and in particular, it should contain all quantities that can contribute a significant uncertainty to the measurement result.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsNIST Special Publication 811, 1995 Edition, gives guidance on the use of the SI and on the rules and style conventions regarding quantity and unit symbols.
“NIST Special Publication 811, 1995 Edition [D.3], gives guidance on the use of the SI and on the rules and style conventions regarding quantity and unit symbols.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [D.3]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe development of the Guide is providing further impetus to the worldwide adoption of the CIPM approach.
“The development of the Guide is providing further impetus to the worldwide adoption of the CIPM approach.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenExecution of test methods according to these standards, both in the characterization stage and in subsequent measurement programs, often calls for the expression of uncertainties in terms of defined measures of repeatability and reproducibility.
“Execution of test methods according to these standards, both in the characterization stage and in subsequent measurement programs, often calls for the expression of uncertainties in terms of defined measures of repeatability and reproducibility.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationISO 3534-1 views the concept of precision as encompassing both repeatability and reproducibility.
“Further, it views the concept of precision as encompassing both repeatability and reproducibility (see subsections D.1.1.2and D.1.1.3)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [D.2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIncluded among the quantities Xi are corrections (or correction factors) as described in subsection 5.2, as well as quantities that take into account other sources of variability, such as different observers, instruments, samples, laboratories, and times at which observations are made.
“Included among the quantities X i are corrections (or correction factors) as described in subsection 5.2, as well as quantities that take into account other sources of variability, such as different observers, instruments, samples, laboratories, and times at which observations are made (e.g., different days).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe CIPM approach is based on Recommendation INC-1 (1980) of the Working Group on the Statement of Uncertainties.
“The CIPM approach is based on Recommendation INC-1 (1980) of the Working Group on the Statement of Uncertainties [3].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe CIPM approach has come into use in a significant number of areas at NIST and is becoming accepted in U.S. industry.
“Equally important, the CIPM approach has come into use in a significant number of areas at NIST and is also becoming accepted in U.S. industry.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIf the standard uncertainty from an outside source is known to be composed of components obtained from both Type A and Type B evaluations but the magnitudes of the individual components are unknown, then one may indicate this by using (A,B) rather than (B) in a table such as D.1.
“If the standard uncertainty from an outside source is known to be composed of components obtained from both Type A and Type B evaluations but the magnitudes of the individual components are unknown, then one may indicate this by using (A,B) rather than (B) in a table such as D.1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisecitation§ Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement ResultsAs pointed out in the Guide, the t-distribution is often tabulated in quantiles.
“As pointed out in the Guide, the t-distribution is often tabulated in quantiles.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Guide
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
The paper relies on this without support.
In October 1992, a new policy on expressing measurement uncertainty was instituted at NIST.
“In October 1992, a new policy on expressing measurement uncertainty was instituted at NIST.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In general, the result of a measurement is only an approximation or estimate of the value of the measurand, and thus the result is complete only when accompanied by a quantitative statement of its uncertainty.
“In general, the result of a measurement is only an approximation or estimate of the value of the specific quantity subject to measurement, that is, the measurand, and thus the result is complete only when accompanied by a quantitative statement of its uncertainty.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Although the vast majority of NIST measurement results are accompanied by quantitative statements of uncertainty, there has never been a uniform approach at NIST to the expression of uncertainty.
“Although the vast majority of NIST measurement results are accompanied by quantitative statements of uncertainty, there has never been a uniform approach at NIST to the expression of uncertainty.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is generally agreed that the usefulness of measurement results, and thus much of the information that NIST provides as an institution, is to a large extent determined by the quality of the statements of uncertainty that accompany them.
“It is generally agreed that the usefulness of measurement results, and thus much of the information that we provide as an institution, is to a large extent determined by the quality of the statements of uncertainty that accompany them.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The Guide represents the current international view of how to express uncertainty in measurement based on the CIPM approach.
“Although the Guide represents the current international view of how to express uncertainty in measurement based on the CIPM approach, it is a rather lengthy document.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A correction (or correction factor) is applied to compensate for each recognized systematic effect that significantly influences the measurement result, and every effort has been made to identify such effects.
“It is assumed that a correction (or correction factor) is applied to compensate for each recognized systematic effect that significantly influences the measurement result and that every effort has been made to identify such effects.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The reliability of evaluations of components of uncertainty depends on the quality of the information available.
“Because the reliability of evaluations of components of uncertainty depends on the quality of the information available, it is recommended that all parameters upon which the measurand depends be varied to the fullest extent practicable so that the evaluations are based as much as possible on observed data.”
The paper relies on this without support.
For some commercial, industrial, and regulatory applications of NIST results, a measure of uncertainty that defines an interval about the measurement result within which the value of the measurand is confidently believed to lie is often required.
“for some commercial, industrial, and regulatory applications of NIST results (e.g., when health and safety are concerned), what is often required is a measure of uncertainty that defines an interval about the measurement result y within which the value of the measurand Y is confidently believed to lie.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The possible estimated values of the standard are approximately normally distributed with approximate standard deviation u_c.
“Since it can be assumed that the possible estimated values of the standard are approximately normally distributed with approximate standard deviation u , the c”
The paper relies on this without support.
Some users of NIST measurement results may automatically interpret U = 2u_c and u_c as defining intervals with levels of confidence of 95 percent and 68 percent, respectively.
“Some users of NIST measurement results may automatically interpret U = 2u and u as quantities that c c define intervals having levels of confidence corresponding to those of a normal distribution, namely, 95 percent and 68 percent, respectively.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is not possible to know in detail all uses to which a particular NIST measurement result will be put.
“In general, it is not possible to know in detail all of the uses to which a particular NIST measurement result will be put.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is common practice to carry out Type B evaluations in a manner that ensures underestimation is avoided.
“However, it is common practice to carry out such evaluations in a manner that ensures that an underestimation is avoided.”
The paper relies on this without support.
When lower and upper limits are set for Type B evaluations, they are usually chosen so that the probability of the quantity lying outside these limits is extremely small.
“For example, when lower and upper limits a and a + are set as in the case discussed in subsection A.5, they are usually chosen in such a way that the probability of the quantity in question lying outside these limits is in fact extremely small.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Precision is often taken to mean simply repeatability.
“Nevertheless, precision is often taken to mean simply repeatability.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It will take some time before the meanings of standard uncertainty, combined standard uncertainty, expanded uncertainty, and their relative forms become well known.
“However, since it will take some time before the meanings of these terms become well known, they should be defined at the beginning of a paper or when first used.”
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Research works printed but not linked: 6
- CIPM, BIPM Proc.-Verb. Com. Int. Poids et Mesures 54, 14, 35 (1986) (in French);
- CIPM, BIPM Proc. Verb. Com. Int. Poids et Mesures Measurement Results, NIST Technical Note 1297, 49, 8-9, 26 (1981) (in French);
- CIPM, BIPM Proc.-Verb. Com. Int. Poids et Mesures 54, 14, 35 (1986) (in French);
- R. Kaarls, "Rapport du Groupe de Travail sur l'Expression des Incertitudes au Comité International des Poids et Mesures," Proc.-Verb. Com. Int. Poids et Mesures 49, A1-A12 (1981) (in French);
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- Authors
- Taylor, B. N.
- Affiliations
- National Institute of Standards and Technology (US)
- Corresponding author
- Taylor, B N
- ORCID
- Taylor, B N
- Venue
- National Institute of Standards and Technology, NIST Technical Note 1297
- Publisher
- National Bureau of Standards
- Published
- 1994
- OpenAlex
- W4300497458
- Cited by
- 2,833
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 82 · 2025: 104 · 2024: 109 · 2023: 110 · 2022: 133 · 2021: 141 · 2020: 156 · 2019: 141 · 2018: 150 · 2017: 135 · 2016: 116 · 2015: 105 · 2014: 103 · 2013: 100 · 2012: 112
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Mechanical Engineering › Advanced Measurement and Metrology Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computational Theory and Mathematics › Numerical Methods and Algorithms
- Keywords
- measurement uncertainty, uncertainty analysis, uncertainty expression, measurement results, NIST guidelines
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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