Spiegelhalter, David J.

Non-invasive detection of endothelial dysfunction in children and adults at risk of atherosclerosis

Celermajer, D. S., Sorensen, K. E., Gooch, V. M., Spiegelhalter, D. J., Miller, O. I., Sullivan, I. D., Lloyd, J. K., & Deanfield, J. E. (1992) · The Lancet

Cardiovascular Health and Disease PreventionNitric Oxide and Endothelin Effects

Cited by 4,742

A Re-Evaluation of Random-Effects Meta-Analysis

Higgins, J. P. T., Thompson, S. G., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2009) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society

Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 2,569

The BUGS project: evolution, critique and future directions

Lunn, D., Spiegelhalter, D., Thomas, A., & Best, N. (2009) · Statistics in Medicine

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceMarkov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods

Cited by 1,876

League Tables and Their Limitations: Statistical Issues in Comparisons of Institutional Performance

Goldstein, H., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (1996) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society)

Educational Assessment and ImprovementStatistics Education and Methodologies

Cited by 1,069

Funnel plots for comparing institutional performance

Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2005) · Statistics in Medicine

Healthcare Quality and ManagementStatistical Methods in Epidemiology

Cited by 832

Bayesian approaches to randomized trials

Spiegelhalter, D. J., Freedman, L. S., & Parmar, M. K. B. (1994) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society)

Statistical Methods in Clinical TrialsStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 720

Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future

Spiegelhalter, D., Pearson, M., & Short, I. (2011) · Science

Data Visualization and AnalyticsRisk Perception and Management

Cited by 682

Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: a comparative study

Smith, T. C., Spiegelhalter, D. J., & Thomas, A. (1995) · Statistics in Medicine

Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 568

Sequential updating of conditional probabilities on directed graphical structures

Spiegelhalter, D. J., & Lauritzen, S. L. (1990) · Networks

Bayesian Modeling and Causal InferenceLogic, Reasoning, and Knowledge

Cited by 521

Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science

van der Bles, A. M., van der Linden, S., Freeman, A. L. J., Mitchell, J., Galvao, A. B., Zaval, L., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2019) · Royal Society Open Science

Climate Change Communication and PerceptionRisk Perception and Management

Cited by 456

Use and misuse of process and outcome data in managing performance of acute medical care: avoiding institutional stigma.

Lilford, R., Mohammed, M. A., Spiegelhalter, D., & Thomson, R. (2004) · The Lancet

Healthcare Quality and ManagementPatient Satisfaction in Healthcare

Cited by 448

Infant wellbeing at 2 years of age in the Growth Restriction Intervention Trial (GRIT): multicentred randomised controlled trial

Thornton, J. G., Hornbuckle, J., Vail, A., Spiegelhalter, D. J., & Levene, M. (2004) · The Lancet

Infant Development and Preterm CarePregnancy and preeclampsia studies

Cited by 385

The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers

van der Bles, A. M., van der Linden, S., Freeman, A. L. J., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Risk Perception and ManagementClimate Change Communication and Perception

Cited by 348

Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and relative risk scales

Warn, D. E., Thompson, S. G., & Spiegelhalter, D. J. (2002) · Statistics in Medicine

Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 277

Risk and Uncertainty Communication

Spiegelhalter, D. (2017) · Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Risk Perception and ManagementPatient-Provider Communication in Healthcare

Cited by 248

Efficacy of a theory-based behavioural intervention to increase physical activity in an at-risk group in primary care (ProActive UK): a randomised trial

Kinmonth, A.-L., Wareham, N. J., Hardeman, W., Sutton, S., Prevost, A. T., Fanshawe, T., Williams, K. M., Ekelund, U., Spiegelhalter, D., & Griffin, S. J. (2008) · The Lancet

Physical Activity and HealthBehavioral Health and Interventions

Cited by 200

Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit

Spiegelhalter, D. J., Best, N. G., Carlin, B. P., & Van Der Linde, A. (2002) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceMarkov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods

Cited by 151

Policy: Twenty tips for interpreting scientific claims

Sutherland, W. J., Spiegelhalter, D., & Burgman, M. (2013) · Nature

Research, Science, and AcademiaConservation, Ecology, Wildlife Education

Cited by 129

Systematic qualitative review of the literature on data monitoring committees for randomized controlled trials

Sydes, M. R., Spiegelhalter, D. J., Altman, D. G., Babiker, A. B., Parmar, M. K., & DAMOCLES Group (2004) · Clinical Trials

Statistical Methods in Clinical TrialsEthics in Clinical Research

Cited by 76

The ProActivetrial protocol – a randomised controlled trial of the efficacy of a family-based, domiciliary intervention programme to increase physical activity among individuals at high risk of diabetes [ISRCTN61323766]

Williams, K., Prevost, A. T., Griffin, S., Hardeman, W., Hollingworth, W., Spiegelhalter, D., Sutton, S., Ekelund, U., Wareham, N., & Kinmonth, A. L. (2004) · BMC Public Health

Physical Activity and HealthBehavioral Health and Interventions

Cited by 72

What determines the cost-effectiveness of diabetes screening?

Glümer, C., Yuyun, M., Griffin, S., Farewell, D., Spiegelhalter, D., Kinmonth, A. L., & Wareham, N. J. (2006) · Diabetologia

Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of LifeHealth Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention

Cited by 54

Reported use of data monitoring committees in the main published reports of randomized controlled trials: a cross-sectional study

Sydes, M. R., Altman, D. G., Babikera, A. B., Parmar, M. K., Spiegelhalter, D. J., & DAMOCLES group (2004) · Clinical Trials

Statistical Methods in Clinical TrialsMeta-analysis and systematic reviews

Cited by 49

Prior Distributions

Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2003) · Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health‐Care Evaluation

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

Cited by 26

Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)

Spiegelhalter, D. (2024) · Nature

Probability and Statistical ResearchLiterary, Cultural, Historical Analysis

Cited by 19